Match Analysis: David Allen vs Arslanbek Makhmudov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Sheffield Arena, United Kingdom

Game Overview

This heavyweight boxing match features David Allen (24-7-2, 19 KOs) facing Arslanbek Makhmudov (20-2, 19 KOs) at Sheffield Arena. Allen is the younger and more experienced fighter, with 11 more pro fights and considerably more professional rounds (144) compared to Makhmudov (57). Makhmudov holds a physical advantage with 3 inches in height and reach and a higher knockout percentage (95% vs Allen's 79%). Allen recently impressed with a fifth-round TKO and is known for his grit and entertaining personality. Makhmudov is under pressure after going 2-2 in his last four bouts but aims to reestablish momentum with a decisive win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Allen has recent momentum from a convincing TKO victory and boasts greater in-ring experience and endurance, while Makhmudov possesses superior knockout power and size advantages but has been inconsistent with recent results (2-2 in last four fights).
• There is no direct head-to-head history. Both fighters use orthodox stance. Makhmudov's power and youth (36 years old) contrast with Allen's slight youth advantage (33 years old) and 11 more professional bouts.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the match.
• The fight is streamed live on DAZN from Sheffield Arena, with a high-profile atmosphere. Makhmudov faces increased pressure to avoid further setbacks that could end his career trajectory.
• Allen carries confidence from recent victory and fan support, motivated to prove himself against a power puncher. Makhmudov is driven to rebound strongly amid career uncertainty, seeking a performance that restores his status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov: -105, David Allen: -125	Arslanbek Makhmudov to win	★★★☆☆ 53%
Over/under	Over 6.5 rounds: -125, Under 6.5 rounds: -105	Over 6.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Arslanbek Makhmudov 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 6.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Arslanbek Makhmudov at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arslanbek Makhmudov’s power and physical advantages give him the edge to win, though Allen’s experience and resilience make it competitive. Makhmudov is favored to win by decision or late TKO, but the fight could extend into later rounds if Allen effectively uses his ring generalship.

Predicted Score: Arslanbek Makhmudov wins by 8th round TKO

Match Analysis: Johnny Fisher vs David Allen – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-17
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Copper Box Arena, London

Game Overview

Johnny Fisher and David Allen face off in a rematch for the WBA Intercontinental Heavyweight Title. Their first bout ended in controversy with Fisher winning by a split decision, setting the stage for a highly anticipated rematch.

Key Factors to Consider

• Johnny Fisher is undefeated and coming off a close win against Allen, while David Allen is motivated by a desire for redemption.
• Fisher won the first bout via split decision, but Allen felt he should have won.
• No major injuries reported for either fighter.
• The rematch is taking place in London, which might favor Fisher due to home support.
• Allen is highly motivated to prove himself after the disputed loss, while Fisher aims to prove his doubters wrong.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Johnny Fisher: -250, David Allen: 200	Johnny Fisher	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds: -160, Under 8.5 rounds: 130	Over 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Johnny Fisher -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 8.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Johnny Fisher is favored to win due to his recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Fisher by decision

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Omar Cande Trinidad vs. Alexander Espinoza Prediction	Under 7.5 rounds	-115	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Johnny Fisher vs. David Allen Prediction	Johnny Fisher Win	-250	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
George Liddard vs. Aaron Sutton Prediction	Over 8.5	-125	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +371

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $94.23