Match Analysis: Filip Hrgović vs David Adeleye – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Heavyweight boxing bout between Filip Hrgović and David Adeleye scheduled for 10 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Filip Hrgović is highly favored with an 82-83% estimated chance to win based on recent form and expert odds analysis. Adeleye is viewed as an underdog with limited recent success at this elite level.
• No prior head-to-head matchups; Hrgović's greater experience at top level gives him a significant edge.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• Fight takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, a neutral venue but with potential motivational boost for Hrgović as the recognized favorite. Broadcast on DAZN PPV.
• Hrgović motivated to solidify status as a top heavyweight contender; Adeleye seeking a major upset to launch his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Hrgović -500, Adeleye +350	Hrgović	★★★★☆ 83%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds -150, Under 8.5 rounds +120	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Filip Hrgović -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 8.5 54%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Filip Hrgović to win decisively within 10 rounds

Predicted Score: Hrgović wins by TKO or unanimous decision by Round 9

Top EV Parlay for Boxing – August 16, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Raymond Ford vs. Abraham Nova Prediction	Under 10.5	165	59%
Filip Hrgović vs. David Adeleye Prediction	Under 8.5	120	54%
Moses Itauma vs. Dillian Whyte Prediction	Under 4.5	105	33%

Combined Odds: +1095 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $239.03

Match Analysis: David Adeleye vs Jeamie Tshikeva – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Saturday, April 5, 2025
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Co-op Live Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

David Adeleye and Jeamie Tshikeva are set to face off for the British heavyweight title. Adeleye, known for his knockout power, seeks redemption after losing his first title bid, while Tshikeva aims to capitalize on his recent victory and gain prominence.

Key Factors to Consider

• David Adeleye boasts a strong knockout record with 13 wins and 12 KOs, demonstrating significant power in his recent first-round knockout of Solomon Dacres. Jeamie Tshikeva, with 8 wins and 5 KOs, relies on a solid jab and pressure but is less experienced.
• Both fighters have sparred and know each other's styles. However, they have never faced each other in a professional bout.
• There is no reported injury for either fighter prior to the match.
• The match is part of a major event, which might add pressure, but both fighters are well-prepared. The absence of major external distractions suggests a fairly level playing field.
• Adeleye is motivated to redeem himself after his last title loss, while Tshikeva sees this as a breakout opportunity. Both fighters are highly motivated to win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	David Adeleye: -600, Jeamie Tshikeva: 400	David Adeleye	★★★★☆ 85%
Over_under	Over 5.5: -120, Under 5.5: -110	Under 5.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

David Adeleye is expected to win, likely by knockout, given his superior knockout record and experience.

Predicted Score: David Adeleye wins via knockout within the first 5 rounds.