Match Analysis: Davey Grant vs Charles Jourdain – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rogers Arena

Game Overview

Davey Grant (Home, UK, 17-7-0, #7 Bantamweight) faces Charles Jourdain (Away, Canada, 16-8-1, moving down from Featherweight) in a UFC Bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night: de Ridder vs. Allen[2]. Grant is on a two-fight win streak, 4-1 in his last five; Jourdain is 3-2 in his last five, coming off a submission win. Both enter with momentum, but bookmakers favor Jourdain, reflecting his technical striking and recent form[3][4]. The fight is scheduled for three rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Davey Grant is a submission specialist (9 of 17 wins by submission) but also carries knockout power (4 KOs). He is a busy striker, uses kicks for range, and is coming off two consecutive wins, showing improved form[1][8]. Charles Jourdain, a former Featherweight, is a dynamic, aggressive striker with flashy attacks and a willingness to take risks, but lacks technical defense and has been outgrappled in past fights[3]. He recently won by submission, but historically is more prone to being taken down.
• No previous head-to-head encounters between these fighters. Both have faced high-level opposition, but Jourdain’s move to Bantamweight introduces unknowns regarding weight cut impact[2][3].
• No public reports of significant injuries affecting either fighter’s preparation for this bout.
• Jourdain’s drop to Bantamweight could affect his stamina and durability. Grant is more experienced at the weight class, which could be an advantage in later rounds. The fight takes place in Vancouver, potentially giving Jourdain a slight home-crowd edge as a Canadian[2].
• Grant is a veteran looking to climb the rankings; Jourdain is seeking to establish himself at Bantamweight after mixed results at Featherweight. Both are highly motivated for a statement win[3].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Jourdain -166 | Grant +140	Jourdain wins by decision	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Jourdain -3.5 (+110) | Grant +3.5 (-150)	Grant covers the spread (+3.5)	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-200) | Under 2.5 (+154)	Over 2.5 rounds (fight goes the distance)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Charles Jourdain 42%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Charles Jourdain at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charles Jourdain is favored by bookmakers, reflecting his explosive striking and recent momentum[4]. However, Davey Grant’s grappling edge, durability at Bantamweight, and recent form make him a live underdog, especially if the fight hits the mat. Expect a competitive, high-paced bout, with Jourdain’s aggression and striking volume giving him the edge in a close, possibly split, decision.

Predicted Score: Charles Jourdain def. Davey Grant by split decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)

Match Analysis: Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

The UFC Fight Night Bantamweight bout features Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant on July 26, 2025, at Etihad Arena. Blackshear, an American prospect with a 17-7-1 record, faces the UK veteran Grant in a 3-round contest. Both fighters are known for finishing potential, but the fight is expected to go the distance given the tactical approaches apparent in recent fights.

Key Factors to Consider

• Da'Mon Blackshear has a solid 17-7-1 record with notable submission victories and striking versatility. He tends to push a high pace and impose volume striking. Davey Grant, with a record of 17-7-1, brings veteran experience and technical striking, often favoring decisions and strategic volume. Both have recent finishes but also show adaptability to opponents.
• This will be the first meeting between Blackshear and Grant, so no direct head-to-head data is available. Both fighters have comparable UFC experience and records, making this a competitive matchup based on styles and recent form.
• No reported or publicly known injuries for either fighter ahead of the match, implying both are entering in full health and training condition.
• The fight is held in Abu Dhabi at Etihad Arena during a stacked UFC Fight Night card, potentially adding pressure and high energy environment. Travel and acclimatization might favor Blackshear (USA) due to recent activity, while Grant (UK) is the more experienced fighter on big stages.
• Blackshear aims to cement his rise in the bantamweight rankings with a notable win over an established veteran. Grant looks to maintain veteran status and rebound from any recent setbacks by using his experience to outpoint the younger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear: -330, Davey Grant: 270	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★★☆ 77%
Spread	Blackshear -1.5 rounds: -120, Grant +1.5 rounds: 100	Blackshear -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -130, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Over 2.5 rounds (Fight goes distance)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the pace and volume style of Da’Mon Blackshear, combined with his finishing ability and home crowd momentum, the prediction favors Blackshear winning by decision after three competitive rounds.

Predicted Score: Blackshear wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Davey Grant Prediction	Da'Mon Blackshear Win	-330	★★★★☆ 77% (77%)
Jose Augusto vs. Marek Samociuk Prediction	Jose Augusto Win	-240	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Chris Gonzalez vs. Jacob Rosales Prediction	Chris Gonzalez Win	-265	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +154

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $50.85

Match Analysis: Daniel Santos vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This matchup between Daniel Santos and Davey Grant promises to be highly competitive, with both fighters seeking to assert their dominance in the bantamweight division. Both fighters are known for their aggressive styles, which could result in a closely contested bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Daniel Santos has a strong background in Chute Boxe's aggressive fighting style, with a record of 12-2-0. Davey Grant brings an unorthodox fighting approach, having compiled a record of 16-7-0. Both fighters have shown resilience in their recent performances, with Grant winning his last bout via unanimous decision.
• There are no direct head-to-head matches between Daniel Santos and Davey Grant to draw upon.
• No reported injuries that could significantly impact either fighter's performance at the time of this analysis.
• The fight will take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for both fighters, potentially reducing external influences on the bout's outcome.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win, with Santos seeking to build momentum after a long layoff and Grant aiming to continue his recent success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Santos: -148, Grant: +124	Daniel Santos	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Santos: -3.5 +110, Grant: +3.5 -150	Daniel Santos	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -200, Under 2.5: +154	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Santos is favored to win due to his aggressive style and recent performance improvements.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Daniel Santos