Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Appalachian St Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 16, 2025
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hanover, New Hampshire (Dartmouth Home)

Game Overview

Appalachian State (2-2, 0-2 away) travels to face Dartmouth (0-2, 0-1 home) in a non-conference college basketball matchup. App State enters as a slight favorite despite their 0-2 road record, while Dartmouth searches for their first win of the season at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Appalachian State shows a 2-2 overall record with strong home performance (2-0) but struggles significantly on the road (0-2). They've scored 287 points and allowed 257 across four games. Dartmouth remains winless at 0-2 overall with a minus-26 point differential, averaging just 65.5 PPG while conceding 78.5 PPG. App State's K. Jennings leads with 17.0 PPG on 42.6% FG, while Dartmouth's K. Thomas contributes 16.0 PPG on 38.1% FG.
• No prior matchup history available between these programs in recent seasons.
• Appalachian State's guard KJ Vasser underwent foot surgery on November 7 and will miss the entire 2025-26 season, representing a significant loss to their backcourt depth.
• This is an out-of-conference matchup with neutral motivation considerations. App State's road woes (0-2) present concern despite their overall record advantage. Dartmouth plays at home where they have a slight edge, though they haven't won there yet.
• Dartmouth is desperate for their first win of the season and will have home court advantage. Appalachian State aims to break their road skid and capitalize on their overall record superiority. App State's injury to Vasser may limit their depth in closing situations.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Appalachian St -122 / Dartmouth +102	Appalachian St Mountaineers	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Appalachian St -1.5 -104 / Dartmouth +1.5 -118	Appalachian St -1.5	★★★☆☆ 61%
Over/under	Over 141.5 -110 / Under 141.5 -110	Under 141.5	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Appalachian St Mountaineers 20%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 141.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Appalachian St Mountaineers at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Appalachian State wins this matchup but the margin is tighter than the spread suggests. While App State has the superior overall record and roster talent, their 0-2 road record combined with Dartmouth's home court provides significant value. The total trends toward the under given both teams' defensive capabilities and limited offensive explosiveness.

Predicted Score: Appalachian State 72, Dartmouth 69

Match Analysis: Bryant Bulldogs vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 13, 2025
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Bryant University (Away)

Game Overview

Dartmouth Big Green (0-1) travel to face Bryant Bulldogs (0-2) in an early-season matchup between two struggling programs. Both teams are off to disappointing starts with significant offensive limitations and defensive vulnerabilities. This is a low-quality contest between two of the weakest teams in Division 1, making prediction challenging but creating potential value in contrarian positions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dartmouth is averaging just 56.0 PPG (357th nationally) on 34.7% FG with a 15.0% 3PT rate. Bryant is similarly inefficient at 33.6% FG (352nd), averaging 55.5 PPG. Both teams are turning the ball over excessively (Dartmouth 20.0 TO/game, Bryant 18.0 TO/game). Dartmouth showed slightly better offensive execution in their loss but remains highly inefficient. Bryant has lost two consecutive games including a 28-point home loss to Georgia Tech.
• No recent history available between these programs. This appears to be a non-conference matchup with limited historical context.
• No injury information provided in available data.
• This is an extremely early season matchup (both teams 0+ games played) played at an unusual 1:30 AM UTC time slot (potentially streaming-only on ESPN+). Both programs rank among the weakest in Division 1 by power ratings. Dartmouth has a neutral court advantage rating while Bryant shows slight home court consistency.
• Both teams are winless and desperate for their first victory, creating high motivation. Bryant plays at home but comes off a humiliating loss. This is a must-win scenario for both programs early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bryant -120 / Dartmouth +100	Bryant Bulldogs	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Bryant -1.5 (-105) / Dartmouth +1.5 (-115)	Bryant -1.5	★★★☆☆ 56%
Over/under	Over 148.5 (-115) / Under 148.5 (-105)	Under 148.5	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bryant Bulldogs 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 148.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bryant Bulldogs to win by 2-3 points in a low-scoring, slugfest. Expect both offenses to remain limited but Bryant's slightly better assist rate (12.0 vs 9.0 APG) and home court edge to prove decisive. Expect final score in the 105-110 range.

Predicted Score: Bryant 109, Dartmouth 106

Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Leede Arena, Hanover, NH

Game Overview

Dartmouth Big Green hosts Marist Red Foxes in a non-conference matchup. Dartmouth is 0-0, coming off a winning season, while Marist is 0-1 after a narrow road loss to Xavier. Both teams are seeking early momentum, with Marist favored by a slim margin on the spread.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marist showed offensive efficiency (47.7% FG) but struggled with turnovers (18) and three-point shooting (3-of-10) in their opener. Dartmouth is fresh off a winning season but has not played yet this year. Marist has won the last three H2H matchups, including a 75-62 win over Dartmouth last season.
• Marist has dominated recent meetings, winning the last three matchups. Most recent was a 75-62 victory. Dartmouth has not beaten Marist in recent years.
• No reported injuries for either team.
• Game is at Leede Arena, Dartmouth's home court. Marist is on the road after a tough loss. Dartmouth has a slight home-court advantage, but Marist is battle-tested early.
• Marist is motivated to bounce back from a close loss. Dartmouth is eager to start the season strong after a successful previous campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -115, away: -105	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread	home: -1.5 -110, away: 1.5 -110	Marist Red Foxes +1.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: 139.5 -115, under: 139.5 -105	Under 139.5	★★★★☆ 74%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dartmouth Big Green 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 139.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dartmouth Big Green will win a close game, but Marist's recent dominance in H2H and strong offensive showing in their opener suggest a competitive contest. The game will be low-scoring due to Marist's turnover issues and Dartmouth's defensive focus.

Predicted Score: Dartmouth 71, Marist 68

Match Analysis: Harvard Crimson vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 8, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Lavietes Pavilion

Game Overview

The Harvard Crimson host the Dartmouth Big Green in an Ivy League matchup. Harvard is favored by 1.5 points, with a total set at 143.5 points. Dartmouth has a stronger offense, averaging 78.3 points per game compared to Harvard's 68.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dartmouth has a better record and stronger offense, but Harvard has shown resilience in recent games. Dartmouth's three-point shooting could be a key factor, as they rank 13th in three-pointers made per game.
• Recent head-to-head data is not provided, but Dartmouth's overall performance this season suggests they might have an edge.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is at Harvard's home venue, which could provide an advantage, but Dartmouth's recent form might counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their Ivy League standings, but Dartmouth's better record might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dartmouth -109, Harvard -112	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Dartmouth +1 -110, Harvard -1 -110	Dartmouth Big Green (+1)	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 144 -110, Under 144 -110	Over 144	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dartmouth Big Green to win outright.

Predicted Score: Dartmouth 74, Harvard 71

Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Brown Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Leede Arena

Game Overview

The Brown Bears and Dartmouth Big Green face off in a competitive Ivy League matchup. Brown is 14-11 overall, while Dartmouth is 12-12. Recent trends show Brown performing well against the spread, while Dartmouth excels at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brown has been strong in their last few games, going 4-1 SU in their last five. Dartmouth has also been performing well, with a 5-2 SU record in their last seven games.
• Brown leads the head-to-head record 7-3, but Dartmouth has been competitive, especially at home. The recent matchup saw Dartmouth win 84-83.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at Leede Arena, which could favor Dartmouth due to their strong home record.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a win in the Ivy League standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Brown +2.5 -110, Dartmouth -2.5 -110	Brown +2.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 145 -110, Under 145 -110	Under 145	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Brown has shown resilience on the road, but Dartmouth's home advantage could be decisive.

Predicted Score: Brown 79.6 – Dartmouth 78.3

Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Yale Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-28
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Leede Arena

Game Overview

Dartmouth Big Green hosts Yale Bulldogs in an Ivy League matchup. Yale has historically dominated Dartmouth, with a strong recent performance. Dartmouth has struggled against Yale, both straight-up and against the spread.

Key Factors to Consider

• Yale has been performing well, especially at home, while Dartmouth has struggled against Ivy League opponents. Dartmouth has shown some resilience on the road, but Yale's home advantage is significant.
• Dartmouth is 0-10 SU and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games against Yale, indicating a clear historical disadvantage.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is at Dartmouth's home venue, which might provide some advantage, but Yale's overall strength and recent form are likely to counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their Ivy League standings, but Yale's recent success may give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dartmouth +500, Yale -700	Yale	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Dartmouth +9 -110, Yale -9 -110	Yale	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 154.5 -110, Under 154.5 -110	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Yale Bulldogs are likely to win due to their historical dominance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Yale 78, Dartmouth 69

Match Analysis: Princeton Tigers vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 22, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Jadwin Gymnasium

Game Overview

The Princeton Tigers host the Dartmouth Big Green in an Ivy League matchup. Princeton is known for its fast-paced offense, while Dartmouth excels in defense and controlled tempo. Princeton has a strong home record, but Dartmouth has been effective as an underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Princeton averages 74 points per game with a strong home performance, while Dartmouth averages 79.2 points and has been successful against the spread this season.
• Princeton has historically dominated Dartmouth, winning nine of the last ten games. However, the underdog has covered five of the last seven matchups.
• Princeton will be without Deven Austin due to a knee injury, while Dartmouth has no reported injuries.
• Home court advantage significantly benefits Princeton, but Dartmouth's ability to control the pace could neutralize some of Princeton's offensive strengths.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a win in the Ivy League standings, but Princeton's home advantage and past success against Dartmouth may provide an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dartmouth Big Green: 225, Princeton Tigers: -265	Princeton Tigers	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Dartmouth Big Green: 6.5 -110, Princeton Tigers: -6.5 -110	Princeton Tigers	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over: 145 -110, Under: 145 -110	Under	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Princeton is likely to win due to its strong home performance and past dominance over Dartmouth.

Predicted Score: Princeton 76, Dartmouth 71

Match Analysis: Pennsylvania Quakers vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Palestra

Game Overview

The Pennsylvania Quakers host the Dartmouth Big Green in an Ivy League matchup. Both teams have had mixed results this season, with Dartmouth holding a slight edge in recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dartmouth has a 10-10 overall record and is 12-6 against the spread, showing strong ATS performance. Pennsylvania's recent form is less consistent, but they have a strong home advantage.
• Historically, Dartmouth has had mixed results against Penn, with recent games being closely contested. Penn has struggled against Dartmouth in some recent matchups.
• There are no reported injuries for Dartmouth, which could give them a slight advantage if Penn has any injuries.
• The game is at The Palestra, Penn's home court, which often provides a challenging environment for visiting teams.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Dartmouth might have a slight edge given their recent ATS success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	-1 -110 (Dartmouth), 1 -110 (Penn)	Dartmouth Big Green -1	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 148 -105, Under 148 -115	Under 148	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dartmouth Big Green to win outright.

Predicted Score: Dartmouth 72, Penn 70