Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Appalachian St Mountaineers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Leede Arena, Hanover, NH

Game Overview

The NCAA Men’s Basketball matchup between Dartmouth Big Green and Appalachian State Mountaineers on November 16, 2025, features Appalachian State as a slight favorite on the road. Appalachian State enters the game with a 2-2 record, showing moderate early season form, while Dartmouth is 0-2, still seeking their first win of the season. The match is expected to be competitive with Appalachian holding a small edge given current odds and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Appalachian State has started the season with a balanced 2-2 record, indicating a moderate level of performance with some scoring capability as seen with key players like K. Jennings averaging 17 PPG. Dartmouth has struggled early with an 0-2 record, suggesting challenges offensively and defensively but with home court advantage potentially boosting their performance.
• Historical head-to-head data shows limited recent encounters; however, Appalachian State has generally been stronger in prior matchups. Detailed recent H2H statistics and streaks are available but lean towards Appalachian State's advantage.
• No significant injury reports or player absences are noted for either team ahead of the game, implying both squads can field their best available lineups.
• The game is played at Dartmouth’s home venue, Leede Arena, which could provide the Big Green with familiarity and local crowd support. Travel for Appalachian players to Northern New Hampshire might affect conditions slightly but is not expected to be a major factor.
• Dartmouth is motivated to gain their first win, which may boost intensity and energy. Appalachian State looks to build on a balanced start to push their record above .500 early in the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Appalachian St Mountaineers: -122, Dartmouth Big Green: 102	Appalachian State Mountaineers to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Appalachian St Mountaineers: -1.5 -104, Dartmouth Big Green: +1.5 -118	Appalachian State Mountaineers to cover -1.5 spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 141.5 -110, Under: 141.5 -110	Over 141.5 points total	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Appalachian St Mountaineers 15%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 141.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Appalachian St Mountaineers at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Appalachian State Mountaineers are predicted to win narrowly, leveraging their stronger offensive capabilities and better early-season form. Dartmouth may keep the contest close due to home advantage but will likely fall short by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Appalachian State Mountaineers 73 – Dartmouth Big Green 69

Match Analysis: Bryant Bulldogs vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-13
• Time: 1:30 AM UTC
• Location: Chace Athletic Center, Smithfield, RI

Game Overview

Bryant Bulldogs host Dartmouth Big Green in an early non-conference NCAA basketball matchup. Both teams are winless early in the season and looking for their first victories. Bryant is 0-2 after losing largely for scoring struggles while Dartmouth is 0-1 following a loss to Marist.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bryant Bulldogs have lost their first two games with poor offensive output (lost 74-45 at Georgia Tech and 82-66 at Siena). Dartmouth is 0-1, losing 75-56 to Marist, but they have a key scorer, K. Thomas, averaging 20 PPG with good shooting percentages, which could be an offensive weapon. Bryant’s defense has allowed 78 PPG, while Dartmouth's defensive metrics are less clear but have also struggled in their opener.
• There is limited recent head-to-head data between Bryant and Dartmouth in the current season context, making direct historical comparison less informative. Both teams have had minimal success currently, suggesting an evenly matched game.
• No specific injury reports are available for either team ahead of the game.
• The game is played at Bryant's home venue, the Chace Athletic Center, which might grant Bryant a minor home-court advantage. Both teams are early in their season, with limited rhythm established.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure their first win of the season, which could result in an intense contest despite recent poor form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bryant Bulldogs: -120, Dartmouth Big Green: 100	Bryant Bulldogs to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Bryant Bulldogs: -1.5 -105, Dartmouth Big Green: +1.5 -115	Bryant Bulldogs to cover -1.5 spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over: 148.5 -115, Under: 148.5 -105	Under 148.5 total points	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bryant Bulldogs 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 148.5 37%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 148.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The game is projected to be a close contest, with Bryant Bulldogs slightly favored due to home advantage and Dartmouth’s inconsistency. Expect a relatively low-scoring game given both sides' offensive struggles so far. A prediction favors Bryant narrowly winning by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Bryant Bulldogs 74 – Dartmouth Big Green 70

Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Marist Red Foxes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-09
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Edward Leede Arena, Hanover, New Hampshire

Game Overview

Dartmouth Big Green (0-0) hosts Marist Red Foxes (0-1) in both teams' return to action early in the NCAA basketball season. Marist is coming off a close 66-62 road loss to Xavier, where they showed offensive balance but struggled defensively late. Dartmouth, meanwhile, has yet to play this season, giving them an element of uncertainty regarding form and chemistry. Expect a tightly contested matchup with both teams aiming for their first win of the year.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marist's opening loss exposed vulnerabilities, especially on defense, but their offense produced three double-digit scorers (Blackwell, Lewis, Collins-Roberts), showing promise[4]. Dartmouth has no 2025-26 data yet, so their preseason form and roster changes are unknown variables.
• Marist has won the last three meetings, including a 75-62 victory in their most recent clash, suggesting a psychological edge[3]. Dartmouth will look to reverse this trend at home.
• No major injuries reported for either team. Monitor for last-minute updates, as early-season player availability can be volatile[6].
• Home-court advantage for Dartmouth. Early season games often feature sloppy play and unpredictable performances due to lack of rhythm.
• Both teams are highly motivated for their first win of the season, but Dartmouth may have an extra edge playing their home opener.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dartmouth: -115, Marist: -105	Dartmouth to win on the moneyline	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Dartmouth -1.5 (-110), Marist +1.5 (-110)	Dartmouth to cover -1.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 139.5 (-115), Under 139.5 (-105)	Under 139.5 points	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dartmouth Big Green 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 139.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 139.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dartmouth Big Green (-1.5) to cover the spread in a low-scoring game, likely winning by 4-7 points. The lack of recent competitive data for Dartmouth is a concern, but home court, motivation, and Marist's defensive issues tip the scales toward the Big Green, especially with a low total.

Predicted Score: Dartmouth 69, Marist 63

Match Analysis: Harvard Crimson vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 8, 2025
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Lavietes Pavilion

Game Overview

The Harvard Crimson host the Dartmouth Big Green in an Ivy League matchup. Harvard is favored by 1.5 points, with a total set at 143.5 points. Dartmouth has a stronger offense, averaging 78.3 points per game compared to Harvard's 68.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dartmouth has a better record and stronger offense, but Harvard has shown resilience in recent games. Dartmouth's three-point shooting could be a key factor, as they rank 13th in three-pointers made per game.
• Recent head-to-head data is not provided, but Dartmouth's overall performance this season suggests they might have an edge.
• No specific injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is at Harvard's home venue, which could provide an advantage, but Dartmouth's recent form might counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their Ivy League standings, but Dartmouth's better record might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dartmouth -109, Harvard -112	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Dartmouth +1 -110, Harvard -1 -110	Dartmouth Big Green (+1)	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 144 -110, Under 144 -110	Over 144	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dartmouth Big Green to win outright.

Predicted Score: Dartmouth 74, Harvard 71

Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Brown Bears – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-01
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Leede Arena

Game Overview

The Brown Bears and Dartmouth Big Green face off in a competitive Ivy League matchup. Brown is 14-11 overall, while Dartmouth is 12-12. Recent trends show Brown performing well against the spread, while Dartmouth excels at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brown has been strong in their last few games, going 4-1 SU in their last five. Dartmouth has also been performing well, with a 5-2 SU record in their last seven games.
• Brown leads the head-to-head record 7-3, but Dartmouth has been competitive, especially at home. The recent matchup saw Dartmouth win 84-83.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is played at Leede Arena, which could favor Dartmouth due to their strong home record.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a win in the Ivy League standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Brown +2.5 -110, Dartmouth -2.5 -110	Brown +2.5	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 145 -110, Under 145 -110	Under 145	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Brown has shown resilience on the road, but Dartmouth's home advantage could be decisive.

Predicted Score: Brown 79.6 – Dartmouth 78.3

Match Analysis: Dartmouth Big Green vs Yale Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-28
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Leede Arena

Game Overview

Dartmouth Big Green hosts Yale Bulldogs in an Ivy League matchup. Yale has historically dominated Dartmouth, with a strong recent performance. Dartmouth has struggled against Yale, both straight-up and against the spread.

Key Factors to Consider

• Yale has been performing well, especially at home, while Dartmouth has struggled against Ivy League opponents. Dartmouth has shown some resilience on the road, but Yale's home advantage is significant.
• Dartmouth is 0-10 SU and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games against Yale, indicating a clear historical disadvantage.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• The game is at Dartmouth's home venue, which might provide some advantage, but Yale's overall strength and recent form are likely to counteract this.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their Ivy League standings, but Yale's recent success may give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dartmouth +500, Yale -700	Yale	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Dartmouth +9 -110, Yale -9 -110	Yale	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over 154.5 -110, Under 154.5 -110	Over	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Yale Bulldogs are likely to win due to their historical dominance and recent form.

Predicted Score: Yale 78, Dartmouth 69

Match Analysis: Princeton Tigers vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: February 22, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Jadwin Gymnasium

Game Overview

The Princeton Tigers host the Dartmouth Big Green in an Ivy League matchup. Princeton is known for its fast-paced offense, while Dartmouth excels in defense and controlled tempo. Princeton has a strong home record, but Dartmouth has been effective as an underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Princeton averages 74 points per game with a strong home performance, while Dartmouth averages 79.2 points and has been successful against the spread this season.
• Princeton has historically dominated Dartmouth, winning nine of the last ten games. However, the underdog has covered five of the last seven matchups.
• Princeton will be without Deven Austin due to a knee injury, while Dartmouth has no reported injuries.
• Home court advantage significantly benefits Princeton, but Dartmouth's ability to control the pace could neutralize some of Princeton's offensive strengths.
• Both teams are motivated to secure a win in the Ivy League standings, but Princeton's home advantage and past success against Dartmouth may provide an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dartmouth Big Green: 225, Princeton Tigers: -265	Princeton Tigers	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Spread	Dartmouth Big Green: 6.5 -110, Princeton Tigers: -6.5 -110	Princeton Tigers	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%
Over_under	Over: 145 -110, Under: 145 -110	Under	☆☆☆☆☆ 1%

Predicted Outcome

Princeton is likely to win due to its strong home performance and past dominance over Dartmouth.

Predicted Score: Princeton 76, Dartmouth 71

Match Analysis: Pennsylvania Quakers vs Dartmouth Big Green – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-22
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: The Palestra

Game Overview

The Pennsylvania Quakers host the Dartmouth Big Green in an Ivy League matchup. Both teams have had mixed results this season, with Dartmouth holding a slight edge in recent performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dartmouth has a 10-10 overall record and is 12-6 against the spread, showing strong ATS performance. Pennsylvania's recent form is less consistent, but they have a strong home advantage.
• Historically, Dartmouth has had mixed results against Penn, with recent games being closely contested. Penn has struggled against Dartmouth in some recent matchups.
• There are no reported injuries for Dartmouth, which could give them a slight advantage if Penn has any injuries.
• The game is at The Palestra, Penn's home court, which often provides a challenging environment for visiting teams.
• Both teams are motivated to win, but Dartmouth might have a slight edge given their recent ATS success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Not provided	Dartmouth Big Green	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	-1 -110 (Dartmouth), 1 -110 (Penn)	Dartmouth Big Green -1	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over_under	Over 148 -105, Under 148 -115	Under 148	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Dartmouth Big Green to win outright.

Predicted Score: Dartmouth 72, Penn 70