Match Analysis: Darragh Kelly vs Bakhtiyar Abdulaev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Europe 3, Nantes, France

Game Overview

Darragh Kelly, a heavily favored fighter with dominant recent performances in PFL Europe, goes up against underdog Bakhtiyar Abdulaev, who has shown potential but less consistent results at this level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Darragh Kelly has demonstrated strong finishing skills and control in his last three fights, winning decisively without significant damage. Abdulaev has mixed recent form, with some solid wins but also questionable defense and endurance.
• No previous meeting between Kelly and Abdulaev, so no direct comparison exists; analysis relies on stylistic matchups and recent performance trends.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the contest, indicating both are likely at peak physical condition.
• The fight takes place on European soil in PFL Europe 3, with Kelly possibly having a slight home continent advantage and stronger fan support.
• Kelly appears highly motivated to advance his standing in the PFL Europe lightweight division, whereas Abdulaev seems motivated but faces higher pressure as the clear underdog.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kelly -650, Abdulaev +440	Kelly	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Kelly -1.5 rounds -300, Abdulaev +1.5 rounds +220	Kelly -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Darragh Kelly -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Darragh Kelly at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Darragh Kelly to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Kelly wins by TKO in round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Sebastien Di Franco vs. Mark Ewen Prediction	Mark Ewen Win	-310	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Darragh Kelly vs. Bakhtiyar Abdulaev Prediction	Darragh Kelly Win	-650	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Connor Hughes vs. Gino van Steenis Prediction	Connor Hughes Win	-290	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +105

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.05

Match Analysis: Darragh Kelly vs Mike Hamel – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 20, 2025
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: INTRUST Bank Arena, Wichita, KS

Game Overview

Darragh Kelly, undefeated at 7-0 in professional MMA and 16-0 overall, faces Mike Hamel, who holds a record of 11-6, in the Lightweight division of the PFL World Tournament 6. Kelly, known as the 'Moville Mauler,' is making his American debut, while Hamel returns after a period of inactivity following a loss to Tim Wilde in 2023.

Key Factors to Consider

• Darragh Kelly is undefeated and has a strong overall record, indicating a superior skills set. Mike Hamel has a solid background in wrestling, which could pose a threat.
• No prior head-to-head matches between the fighters.
• No reported injuries.
• Kelly's first fight in the US, while Hamel returns after inactivity.
• Kelly is highly motivated for his American debut, while Hamel seeks to regain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Darragh Kelly: -265, Mike Hamel: +205	Darragh Kelly	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Darragh Kelly -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Darragh Kelly is likely to win due to his undefeated record and strong performance history.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches.