Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Danny Silva – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Kevin Vallejos, a 23-year-old featherweight with a 15-1 record, faces Danny Silva, a 28-year-old with a 10-1 record. Vallejos is favored with odds around -425 to -440, while Silva is the underdog at +330. Vallejos is shorter (5'7") but slightly younger, with a good defensive rate, while Silva is taller (5'11") and lands more significant strikes per minute but absorbs more as well.

Key Factors to Consider

• Vallejos has a higher win count and demonstrated a better defensive fight style, absorbing fewer strikes per minute (5.70 vs 7.96). Silva lands more strikes per minute (7.36) but is less defensively sound. Vallejos' recent form shows strong consistency and a higher finishing rate.
• No known prior matchups between the two fighters, making direct H2H data unavailable.
• No reported injuries to either fighter going into the bout, both appear fully prepared.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a standard environment with no altitude or extreme conditions favoring either fighter.
• Vallejos enters as a young rising contender aiming to cement his status, likely increasing motivation. Silva, with a slightly older age and fewer fights, is motivated to upset the favorite but may face pressure against the favored Vallejos.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos -425, Danny Silva +330	Kevin Vallejos	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Kevin Vallejos -3.5 (-225), Danny Silva +3.5 (165)	Kevin Vallejos -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-110), Under 2.5 (-120)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Kevin Vallejos -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kevin Vallejos to win by decision

Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins by unanimous decision

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore Prediction	Rodolfo Vieira Win	-198	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Kevin Vallejos vs. Danny Silva Prediction	Kevin Vallejos Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Rinya Nakamura vs. Nathan Fletcher Prediction	Rinya Nakamura Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +130

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $45.93

Match Analysis: Danny Silva vs Lucas Almeida – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 10:45 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Danny Silva and Lucas Almeida face off in a featherweight bout at UFC Fight Night 253. Silva, from the US, has a strong record with 9 wins, while Almeida, from Brazil, boasts 15 wins. Both fighters have shown impressive skills in their recent matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Danny Silva has a recent win via split decision against Joshua Culibao, showcasing his technical skills. Lucas Almeida won his last fight via unanimous decision against Timothy Cuamba, demonstrating his adaptability.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Danny Silva and Lucas Almeida.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which may favor Silva due to his familiarity with the venue. However, Almeida's experience in different environments could help him adapt.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Silva looking to extend his win streak and Almeida aiming to prove himself against a tough opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-220 for Danny Silva, 180 for Lucas Almeida	Danny Silva	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-3.5 for Danny Silva (-135), 3.5 for Lucas Almeida (100)	Danny Silva	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5 (-215), Under 1.5 (175)	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Predicted Outcome

Danny Silva is favored to win due to his recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Danny Silva wins by decision.