Match Analysis: Kevin Vallejos vs Danny Silva – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-02
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada
Game Overview
The MMA matchup at UFC Vegas 108 features Kevin Vallejos versus Danny Silva in the featherweight division (145 lbs). Vallejos enters with a 15-1 record, is 23 years old, with a 5'7" height and 68" reach, known as 'El Chino.' Silva, aged 28, nicknamed 'El Puma,' has a 10-1 record, stands 5'11" tall with a 70" reach. Both are switch fighters and have strong striking stats, but Vallejos has a slight edge in defensive metrics and youth, which may influence the fight outcome.
Key Factors to Consider
- Vallejos holds a superior record (15-1) compared to Silva (10-1). Vallejos connects on 51% of significant strikes at 6.48 per minute and absorbs fewer strikes per minute (5.70), while Silva lands 7.36 strikes per minute with 59% accuracy but takes more hits (7.96 per minute). Vallejos shows better strike defense (57%) than Silva (61%).
- No prior bouts between Vallejos and Silva have been recorded, making this a first-time encounter. Both fighters have demonstrated strong recent performances, with Vallejos showing momentum and youth advantage.
- No current injury reports or concerns have been noted for either fighter leading up to the match.
- The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue. No significant external factors like travel issues or weight-cutting problems have been reported.
- Vallejos aims to continue his rapid career progression with a high win rate and youth on his side, while Silva seeks to validate his strong record and fighting skills against a rising contender.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Danny Silva: +330, Kevin Vallejos: -425 | Kevin Vallejos | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Danny Silva: 3.5 @ +165, Kevin Vallejos: -3.5 @ -225 | Kevin Vallejos to win by more than 3.5 (dominant performance expected) | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120 | Over 2.5 rounds (expecting a fight going past two rounds) | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Kevin Vallejos -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 18% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Kevin Vallejos is favored to win due to his youth, superior record, and better defensive striking statistics. There is a possibility of a finish on the feet or a decision win for Vallejos if he controls the bout pace and defense effectively.
Predicted Score: Kevin Vallejos wins by decision or late stoppage after three to four rounds