Match Analysis: Djorden Santos vs Danny Barlow – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-18
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rogers Center, Vancouver, Canada

Game Overview

This UFC prelim middleweight bout features Danny Barlow (9-1 professional record) versus Djorden Santos (10-2 professional record). Barlow has UFC experience with a 2-1 UFC record, showing a strong striking ability and resilience. Santos, younger and a bit taller with slightly less reach, has a record including 0-1 in UFC prelims, showing potential but lacking top-level UFC success. Both fighters have balanced records in KO/TKO and submission wins. The fight promises a striking battle with contrasting styles—Barlow’s measured counter-striking versus Santos' aggressive forward pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

• Barlow is the more experienced UFC fighter, demonstrating superior striking speed, power, and countering skills. Santos tends to be aggressive but leaves openings for counters, which Barlow is expected to exploit. Barlow’s record includes more KO/TKO wins suggesting higher finishing rate. Both fighters have good grappling but neither dominates clearly on the ground.
• No previous head-to-head fights between Barlow and Santos. Past performances indicate Barlow has edged stronger opponents in UFC prelims, while Santos lost his UFC debut by decision, fading in later rounds.
• No significant injury reports for either fighter leading up to the match, indicating both are expected to enter at full fitness.
• The fight is held in Vancouver, Canada—neutral ground for both. No notable environmental or travel disadvantages. Fan momentum slightly favors Barlow due to his striking style and recent UFC performances.
• Barlow likely motivated to rebound strongly after his only loss and prove finishing ability with power and speed. Santos aims to secure first UFC win, which may push aggressive but risky strategy.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Danny Barlow: -290, Djorden Santos: 235	Danny Barlow	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Danny Barlow: -3.5 -195, Djorden Santos: +3.5 140	Danny Barlow -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5: 120, Under 2.5: -154	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Danny Barlow 5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Danny Barlow at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Danny Barlow is favored to win due to his superior striking skill set, countering ability, and finishing power. His defensive skills against aggressive fighters like Santos should yield a win by KO/TKO or decision.

Predicted Score: Danny Barlow wins by KO/TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Danny Barlow vs Sam Patterson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 1, 2025
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Danny Barlow and Sam Patterson will face off in a welterweight bout at UFC Fight Night 253. Barlow, undefeated with a 9-0 record, is known for his powerful striking, while Patterson boasts a 12-2-1 record with strong grappling skills.

Key Factors to Consider

• Danny Barlow has a strong striking game with five knockouts, while Sam Patterson excels in grappling, having recently submitted Kiefer Crosbie. Barlow's striking accuracy is higher at 50%, compared to Patterson's 37%.
• There is no prior head-to-head match between Danny Barlow and Sam Patterson, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is part of the undercard at UFC Fight Night 253, which may influence crowd energy and fighter motivation.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to win, with Barlow aiming to maintain his undefeated streak and Patterson seeking to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-300 for Danny Barlow, +240 for Sam Patterson	Danny Barlow	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	-3.5 for Danny Barlow at -225, +3.5 for Sam Patterson at 165	Danny Barlow -3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5 at 100, Under 1.5 at -130	Over 1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Danny Barlow is likely to win due to his strong striking skills.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round stoppage in favor of Danny Barlow.

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Andrea Lee vs. J.J. Aldrich Prediction	Over 2.5	2.5	★★★★☆ 80% (80%)
Danny Barlow vs. Sam Patterson Prediction	Danny Barlow Win	-300	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Austen Lane vs. Mario Pinto Prediction	Mario Pinto Win	-600	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -168

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $31.89