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Match Analysis: Alvi Dasuyev vs Daniil Prikaza – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Tenerife Sports Pavilion Santiago Martin
Game Overview
The MMA match between Alvi Dasuyev and Daniil Prikaza is scheduled for September 27, 2025, at 7:00 PM UTC at the Tenerife Sports Pavilion Santiago Martin during the LFA 218 event. Dasuyev is an undefeated fighter (6-0) with a strong grappling and ground game, while Prikaza is more experienced with a record of 16-7-2 and is known for his striking power and knockout potential. The matchup contrasts Dasuyev's grappling pace control with Prikaza's striking aggression.
Key Factors to Consider
- Dasuyev holds an undefeated record indicating consistent performance and ability to finish fights, primarily through grappling dominance. Prikaza, with a longer career and more fights, shows resilience and striking KO ability but has faced more losses, indicating vulnerability under pressure.
- No previous encounters between Dasuyev and Prikaza are recorded, making this a first matchup and an open contest for style dominance without historical fight data.
- No publicly available reports of injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are likely at full fitness.
- The fight is part of LFA 218 held in Tenerife, which is neutral ground for both fighters. No notable external disruptions like travel issues or unusual scheduling are evident.
- Dasuyev aims to preserve his undefeated streak and escalate his standing in MMA, providing strong motivation. Prikaza wishes to leverage his experience to regain momentum and secure a win against a rising prospect.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Alvi Dasuyev: -400, Daniil Prikaza: +300 | Alvi Dasuyev | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Alvi Dasuyev: -1.5, Daniil Prikaza: +1.5 | Alvi Dasuyev to win by more than 1.5 rounds or clear decision | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds—likely outcome before three full rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Dasuyev's undefeated status, grappling advantage, and the betting market favoring him heavily, the prediction leans towards a win by Alvi Dasuyev, likely by submission or decision after controlling the pace.
Predicted Score: Alvi Dasuyev wins by submission in Round 2