Match Analysis: Daniele Battaglia vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Palapellicone, Rome, Italy
Game Overview
Featherweight bout scheduled for 3 rounds at Cage Warriors 195 featuring Daniele Battaglia and Theodor Berggren.
Key Factors to Consider
- Theodor Berggren has consistently shown stronger recent form and holds a slight edge on the moneyline odds, reflecting market confidence. Daniele Battaglia has performed well but is the underdog in this matchup.
- No direct H2H data was found for a previous matchup between these two fighters, indicating this is likely their first encounter.
- No recent or reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
- The fight takes place in Rome, Italy, which is Daniele Battaglia’s home country, possibly providing him with home crowd advantage and motivation.
- Berggren appears highly motivated to solidify his position as a top featherweight prospect in Cage Warriors, while Battaglia aims to capitalize on home advantage to upset the favored fighter.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Daniele Battaglia: +185, Theodor Berggren: -220 | Theodor Berggren | ★★★★☆ 73% |
| Spread | Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds: -145, Daniele Battaglia +1.5 rounds: +125 | Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +130, Under 2.5 rounds: -150 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Theodor Berggren -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 3% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline: Theodor Berggren to win; Spread: Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds
Predicted Score: Theodor Berggren wins by TKO in Round 2