Match Analysis: Jan Stanovský vs Daniel Solaja – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-14
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Fortuna Arena, Prague, Czech Republic
Game Overview
Jan Stanovský and Daniel Solaja meet in a catchweight MMA bout at OKTAGON 72. Stanovský brings a record of 5-2, while Solaja sits at 3-1. Both fighters have strong recent performances and are looking to climb the rankings with a win on this high-profile card[2][3][5].
Key Factors to Consider
- Stanovský (5-2) has more experience and is likely to have faced tougher competition. Solaja (3-1) is less experienced but trains at the respected UFD Gym in Düsseldorf and has a 100% win rate by decision and a high 68% significant strike rate[3].
- No prior head-to-head between Stanovský and Solaja. This is their first encounter[1][3].
- There are no reported injuries for either fighter at this time.
- The bout is on a large international card with significant media coverage, which could add pressure but also extra motivation[4][5].
- Both fighters are highly motivated. Stanovský may be looking to re-establish himself, while Solaja, with a rising record, will aim to make a statement on a big stage[3][5].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Stanovský: -150, Solaja: +120 | Stanovský by decision | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Spread | Stanovský -1.5 rounds: +150, Solaja +1.5 rounds: -180 | Solaja covers the spread | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Home 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Stanovský is the slight favorite due to greater experience and a proven track record, but Solaja’s technical striking and decision-making ability make this a closer matchup than the records suggest. Expect a tight, competitive fight with a slight edge to Stanovský.
Predicted Score: Stanovský by Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28)