Match Analysis: Jeongyoung Lee vs Daniel Santos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-10
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

A featherweight UFC Fight Night showdown between Brazil’s Daniel 'Willycat' Santos (12-2) and South Korea’s JeongYeong 'Korean Tiger' Lee (11-2). Both fighters are looking to climb the rankings; Santos is returning after nearly two years of inactivity and multiple fight cancellations, while Lee is coming off a first-round TKO loss but remains a well-rounded and dangerous opponent. Santos is known for dynamic striking, while Lee boasts BJJ black belt credentials and a mix of KO/submission finishes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Daniel Santos lands 4.26 significant strikes/min at 37% accuracy, absorbing 5.12 significant strikes/min with 50% defense. JeongYeong Lee lands 2.84 significant strikes/min at 52% accuracy, absorbing 2.81 significant strikes/min with 50% defense. Santos is more active offensively but less accurate and absorbs more. Lee is more efficient and absorbs fewer strikes.
• No prior head-to-head meetings between Santos and Lee.
• No recent fight injuries reported. Santos has had a long layoff (last fight June 2023) and multiple withdrawals, which may impact his rhythm. Lee lost via first-round TKO in his last fight (July 2024), which may affect his confidence.
• Santos stepping in on short notice for the original opponent, Gavin Tucker. Santos’ history of fight withdrawals (5 out of 9) raises questions about his physical readiness. Potential impact of crowd support in Montreal, with no clear regional advantage.
• Santos is eager to regain trust and momentum after prolonged inactivity. Lee aims to redeem himself after a recent TKO loss and to make a statement in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Santos: +105, Lee: -125	Jeongyoung Lee	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: +110, Under 2.5: -140	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jeongyoung Lee -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This is a close matchup, but JeongYeong Lee’s superior efficiency, accuracy, and lower strike absorption rate give him a slight edge. Santos’ volume and aggression are notable, but his layoff and defensive gaps could be costly. Lee’s BJJ black belt background and ability to threaten with submissions in scrambles may be the difference-maker.

Predicted Score: Jeongyoung Lee by submission or TKO, Round 2

Match Analysis: Daniel Santos vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This matchup between Daniel Santos and Davey Grant promises to be highly competitive, with both fighters seeking to assert their dominance in the bantamweight division. Both fighters are known for their aggressive styles, which could result in a closely contested bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Daniel Santos has a strong background in Chute Boxe's aggressive fighting style, with a record of 12-2-0. Davey Grant brings an unorthodox fighting approach, having compiled a record of 16-7-0. Both fighters have shown resilience in their recent performances, with Grant winning his last bout via unanimous decision.
• There are no direct head-to-head matches between Daniel Santos and Davey Grant to draw upon.
• No reported injuries that could significantly impact either fighter's performance at the time of this analysis.
• The fight will take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for both fighters, potentially reducing external influences on the bout's outcome.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win, with Santos seeking to build momentum after a long layoff and Grant aiming to continue his recent success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Santos: -148, Grant: +124	Daniel Santos	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Santos: -3.5 +110, Grant: +3.5 -150	Daniel Santos	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -200, Under 2.5: +154	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Santos is favored to win due to his aggressive style and recent performance improvements.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Daniel Santos