Match Analysis: Jeongyoung Lee vs Daniel Santos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-10
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Centre Bell, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

UFC 315 features an early prelim featherweight showdown between Daniel 'Willycat' Santos (Brazil) and JeongYeong 'Korean Tiger' Lee (South Korea). Santos, known for dynamic striking and aggressive offense, steps in on short notice after nearly two years of inactivity due to a series of fight cancellations. Lee, a BJJ black belt, is recognized for his explosive finishes and submission skills, but his last fight saw a first-round TKO loss, raising questions about his striking defense. Both fighters aim to rebound and climb the featherweight rankings.

Key Factors to Consider

• Santos has a 12-2 record (6 KOs, 2 subs), with his last win in June 2023. He is aggressive and has three first-round finishes. JeongYeong Lee is 11-2 (4 KOs, 3 subs), with five first-round wins. His last fight was a first-round TKO loss in July 2024.
• No previous fights between Santos and Lee.
• No recent major injuries reported, but Santos has a history of fight withdrawals. Both have had fight cancellation issues, and Santos hasn't competed since June 2023.
• Santos taking the fight on short notice may impact conditioning and preparation. Lee has a full camp and is coming off a recent loss.
• High motivation for both fighters. Santos needs a win to regain UFC trust after several withdrawals. Lee seeks a statement win after a recent setback.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Daniel Santos: -102, Jeongyoung Lee: -118	Jeongyoung Lee Moneyline	★★★☆☆ 64%
Spread	Daniel Santos: 3.5 -175, Jeongyoung Lee: -3.5 125	Jeongyoung Lee -3.5	★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 67%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jeongyoung Lee -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Expect a competitive, fast-paced featherweight clash. Santos brings unpredictable, aggressive striking but may struggle with ring rust. Lee's grappling and experience in recent fights give him the edge. Given the short notice for Santos and Lee's desperation to rebound, the fight could end early, with Lee's submission or ground control standing out. However, Santos' upside as a finisher cannot be ignored.

Predicted Score: Jeongyoung Lee by Submission (Round 2)

Match Analysis: Daniel Santos vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 12:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This matchup between Daniel Santos and Davey Grant promises to be highly competitive, with both fighters seeking to assert their dominance in the bantamweight division. Both fighters are known for their aggressive styles, which could result in a closely contested bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Daniel Santos has a strong background in Chute Boxe's aggressive fighting style, with a record of 12-2-0. Davey Grant brings an unorthodox fighting approach, having compiled a record of 16-7-0. Both fighters have shown resilience in their recent performances, with Grant winning his last bout via unanimous decision.
• There are no direct head-to-head matches between Daniel Santos and Davey Grant to draw upon.
• No reported injuries that could significantly impact either fighter's performance at the time of this analysis.
• The fight will take place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a familiar venue for both fighters, potentially reducing external influences on the bout's outcome.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to secure a win, with Santos seeking to build momentum after a long layoff and Grant aiming to continue his recent success.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Santos: -148, Grant: +124	Daniel Santos	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Santos: -3.5 +110, Grant: +3.5 -150	Daniel Santos	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -200, Under 2.5: +154	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Santos is favored to win due to his aggressive style and recent performance improvements.

Predicted Score: Decision win for Daniel Santos