Match Analysis: Charlie Radtke vs Daniel Frunza – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-01
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Charlie Radtke, a versatile 35-year-old fighter with 10 wins in 15 pro bouts, faces 31-year-old striker Daniel Frunza who has 9 wins in 12 bouts. Radtke has shown balanced skills in striking and grappling with a recent KO win, while Frunza, a striker, is coming off a first-round TKO loss in his UFC debut.

Key Factors to Consider

• Radtke exhibits superior recent form with a May 2025 second-round KO over Mike Malott, reflecting both finishing ability and experience in the top promotion. Frunza suffered a decisive first-round TKO in April 2025 making his UFC debut.
• There are no recorded head-to-head matches between Radtke and Frunza, making this fight a fresh test of styles and strategy.
• No significant or reported injuries impacting performance for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue. Both fighters are competing on prelims with no known external distractions.
• Radtke aims to confirm his status as a rising UFC contender following his recent KO, while Frunza seeks redemption after a tough UFC debut loss, providing him motivation to improve.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Charlie Radtke: -180, Daniel Frunza: +150	Charlie Radtke	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Charlie Radtke: -3.5 -115, Daniel Frunza: +3.5 -115	Charlie Radtke -3.5	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -130, Under 1.5 rounds: +100	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Charlie Radtke -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charlie Radtke to win by moneyline given his superior all-around skills, experience, and recent knockout success against a striker who was stopped early in his UFC debut.

Predicted Score: Charlie Radtke wins by TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Rhys McKee vs Daniel Frunza – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 11:45 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Rhys McKee enters this match with a record of 13-6-1, while Daniel Frunza holds a record of 9-2-0. This welterweight bout will feature both fighters looking to improve their standing in the division, with McKee coming off a split decision loss and Frunza coming off a knockout victory.

Key Factors to Consider

• McKee has a higher average fight time of 12:02 compared to Frunza's 8:30, indicating his ability to endure longer bouts. McKee lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute with a 45% accuracy rate, whereas Frunza lands 4.94 significant strikes per minute with a 44% accuracy. McKee's defense is weaker, allowing 7.85 strikes per minute, while Frunza allows only 5.53.
• This will be the first meeting between Rhys McKee and Daniel Frunza, making their head-to-head record non-existent. Both fighters have shown distinct strengths, with McKee having more experience and Frunza showing strong finishing ability.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this match. Both are coming into the fight healthy, which is crucial for performance.
• The fight will take place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a venue familiar to both fighters. Home crowd advantage may slightly favor McKee, but both are professional and accustomed to the pressure of live events.
• McKee is motivated to bounce back from his recent loss and prove his abilities in the octagon, while Frunza aims to build on his winning streak. Both fighters have much at stake in terms of career progression.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rhys McKee: +130, Daniel Frunza: -150	Daniel Frunza to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Rhys McKee: +50, Daniel Frunza: -0.5	Daniel Frunza to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120	Fight to go over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Daniel Frunza is favored to win, given his recent performance and slightly better statistics in striking. However, McKee's experience and reach advantage may level the playing field.

Predicted Score: Frunza 29, McKee 28