Match Analysis: Dan Ige vs Patricio Pitbull – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-19
• Time: 2:45 AM UTC
• Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Game Overview

Elite featherweight showdown between UFC veteran Dan Ige and former Bellator champion Patricio Pitbull, marking Pitbull's second high-profile UFC bout. Ige enters as a sizable favorite, with questions about Pitbull's ability to compete at the elite UFC level at age 38.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ige is coming off a bounce-back win and has consistently faced UFC-level competition; Pitbull, while a decorated champion in Bellator, looked outmatched in his UFC debut against a younger, faster opponent[1]. Ige's youth, speed, and well-roundedness are considered advantages[1]. Pitbull has made significant changes to his preparation, including isolating from distractions, which could signal heightened focus[3][4].
• No prior fights between the two.
• No major injuries reported pre-fight for either fighter.
• Pitbull's transition from Bellator to UFC later in his career may limit his ability to adapt to the higher level of competition; Ige's experience in the UFC and comfort in the spotlight are advantages. Pitbull's isolation from family and distractions could sharpen his focus, but also may indicate stress or pressure[3][4].
• Ige is motivated to climb the UFC rankings and prove he belongs among the elite. Pitbull is eager to validate his legacy in the UFC, though there are questions about his age and adaptability[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dan Ige -218, Patricio Pitbull +180	Dan Ige	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Dan Ige -3.5 +110, Patricio Pitbull +3.5 -150	Dan Ige -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 Rounds -270, Under 2.5 Rounds +200	Over 2.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dan Ige -5%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 44.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dan Ige to win by outworking and outlasting Pitbull, leveraging superior speed, combinations, and UFC-level experience.

Predicted Score: Dan Ige by Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)

Match Analysis: Dan Ige vs Patricio Freire – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-20
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: To Be Announced

Game Overview

Dan Ige, ranked #12 in the UFC featherweight division with an 11-8 UFC record and notable striking volume and accuracy, faces Patricio Freire, a highly experienced 36-8 veteran with a longer average fight time and high finishing ability. Ige exhibits superior significant strikes landed per minute and striking accuracy, while Freire has the edge in submission attempts and takedown defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dan Ige has a mixed recent form with 2 wins and 3 losses in his last 5 fights, showing vulnerability on decision losses; Patricio Freire brings greater career experience with a 36-8 record but has a slight downturn recently, including a recent loss indicating possible decline.
• No available direct H2H data suggests this will be their first encounter, adding uncertainty but supporting analysis based on styles and metrics.
• No reported injuries for either fighter affecting this matchup.
• Fight taking place under standard UFC conditions; no reported external distractions, travel concerns, or weight miss history impacting fighters.
• Freire aims to establish UFC credentials after notable Bellator success and recent organizational change, likely highly motivated; Ige aims to leverage home division experience to maintain or improve ranking.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dan Ige: -240, Patricio Freire: 180	Dan Ige	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Dan Ige -1.5: -110, Patricio Freire +1.5: -110	Dan Ige -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dan Ige -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dan Ige at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dan Ige to win by decision

Predicted Score: Dan Ige wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – July 19, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Francisco Prado vs. Nikolay Veretennikov Prediction	Under 2.5	130	38%
Dustin Poirier vs. Max Holloway Prediction	Under 4.5	124	23%
Dan Ige vs. Patricio Pitbull Prediction	Over 2.5	-270	16%

Combined Odds: +606 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $141.2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Carli Judice vs. Nicolle Caliari Prediction	Carli Judice Win	-340	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Dan Ige vs. Patricio Pitbull Prediction	Dan Ige Win	-218	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Michael Johnson vs. Daniel Zellhuber Prediction	Daniel Zellhuber -3.5	-250	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +164

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $52.86

Match Analysis: Dan Ige vs Sean Woodson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-13
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center in Miami

Game Overview

Dan Ige faces Sean Woodson in a crucial featherweight matchup at UFC 314. Ige, known for his powerful striking, seeks to end his two-fight losing streak against Woodson, who is looking to make a significant move up the rankings with his unique 6'2" frame at 145 lbs.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ige brings durability and knockout power, while Woodson boasts a significant reach advantage and slick boxing skills.
• This will be their first meeting.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
• Ige could be highly motivated to stop his losing streak, while Woodson aims to break into contention.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Woodson seeing this as a breakout opportunity and Ige looking to regain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sean Woodson -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 98%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 98% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 42.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sean Woodson to win by points.

Predicted Score: Woodson by unanimous decision