Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs Aiden Lee – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 10:15 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

Damon Wilson faces Aiden Lee in the main event of Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged, a pivotal featherweight bout with top contender implications. The fight is scheduled for three rounds at 145 lbs and will be broadcast live on UFC Fight Pass. Wilson, known as 'The Nomad', brings a strong record and notable reach advantage, while Lee has a wealth of experience and a recent winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damon Wilson (9-3) has shown consistent improvement, with a recent run of wins and a reputation for durability and striking. Aiden Lee (13-10) has a more varied record but has won four of his last five fights, demonstrating resilience and adaptability. Wilson's reach and height give him a physical edge, while Lee's experience and recent form suggest he can handle pressure.
• This is the first meeting between Wilson and Lee. No prior direct matchups or shared opponents with significant recent results are available for direct comparison.
• No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading up to the event.
• The fight takes place in Manchester, England, which may provide a slight home advantage for Lee, who fights out of the UK. The event is part of a high-profile Cage Warriors card, increasing the stakes and media attention.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a top contender spot, with the winner likely to be in line for a title shot. Wilson aims to solidify his status as a rising star, while Lee seeks to prove he remains a top-tier featherweight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Aiden Lee: 110, Damon Wilson: -150	Damon Wilson	Not available
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds at -120, Under 2.5 rounds at +100	Over 2.5 rounds	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Damon Wilson -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Damon Wilson is favored to win due to his physical advantages and recent form. However, Aiden Lee's experience and recent success make him a dangerous opponent. The fight is expected to be competitive, with Wilson likely to edge out a decision or secure a late finish.

Predicted Score: Damon Wilson wins by decision or late finish in round 3

Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs Márcio Barbosa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series

Game Overview

This is a featherweight main card MMA bout between Damon Wilson and Márcio Barbosa at Dana White's Contender Series. Barbosa is a powerful knockout artist with a record of 16-2, known for finishing most of his fights in the first round. Wilson, aged 32, with a 9-2 record, is a technically skilled striker with strong wrestling credentials and a three-fight winning streak under Cage Warriors. Barbosa is making his US debut, and the matchup is viewed as a high-stakes, exciting contest with contrasting fighting styles.

Key Factors to Consider

• Barbosa has an explosive finish rate with 15 of his 16 wins coming by knockout, 13 in the first round. Wilson is a veteran known for technical striking, use of feints, and solid wrestling, but has some defensive weaknesses and cardio concerns.
• No recorded prior matches between Damon Wilson and Márcio Barbosa, making this their first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
• Barbosa fights in his US debut, which can impact performance positively or negatively. The fight's placement on Dana White's Contender Series increases pressure and motivation.
• Both fighters are motivated to secure a UFC contract. Barbosa’s recent knockout streak boosts confidence, while Wilson aims to continue his winning momentum and improve his stock.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Damon Wilson: 265, Márcio Barbosa: -340	Márcio Barbosa	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Damon Wilson: +1.5, Márcio Barbosa: -1.5	Márcio Barbosa -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5: 155, Under 1.5: -185	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Márcio Barbosa -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Márcio Barbosa is likely to win by early knockout due to his superior power and finishing ability. Damon Wilson’s technical skills and experience could extend the fight, but Barbosa’s power presents a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Márcio Barbosa wins by 1st round knockout

Match Analysis: Damon Wilson vs Leandro Camargo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-14
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester

Game Overview

Damon Wilson faces Leandro Camargo in a Cage Warriors event. Wilson has a strong record with 8 wins and 2 losses, including 5 knockouts.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damon Wilson has a significant advantage in terms of knockout wins, which could be decisive in this match.
• There is no recorded head-to-head data between Damon Wilson and Leandro Camargo.
• No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The event is held in Manchester, which might favor Wilson if he has a strong local following.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, but Wilson's experience and record might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Damon Wilson is favored to win due to his strong knockout record.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches