Match Analysis: Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi

Game Overview

Da'Mon Blackshear and Davey Grant meet at UFC Abu Dhabi in a bantamweight bout where Blackshear enters as a strong favorite based on recent odds and performance metrics. The fight is expected to be competitive but with a likely finish under 3 rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

• Blackshear (16-7) has a slight edge in significant strikes landed per minute (4.70) versus Grant (5.25) but lands a higher percentage (46% vs 44%). Grant also has better strike defense (55% deflection vs Blackshear 52%). Both fighters show durability with similar strikes absorbed per minute.
• No direct historical matchup between the two, making form and style matchup key in analysis.
• No reported injuries to either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full capacity physically.
• Fighting at home-favored venue Abu Dhabi's Etihad Arena may favor Blackshear with crowd support. The pressure to perform as the heavy favorite may affect Blackshear's approach.
• Blackshear is motivated to justify favorite billing and progress in rankings, while Grant, as underdog, may seek an upset to revitalize career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear: -330, Davey Grant: +270	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Not listed explicitly; implied -1.5 rounds favoring Blackshear	Blackshear -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -130, Under 2.5 +100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear -13%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear to win by decision

Predicted Score: Da'Mon Blackshear wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Heili Alateng vs Da'Mon Blackshear – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 11:45 PM UTC
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Game Overview

The Bantamweight bout between Heili Alateng and Da'Mon Blackshear at UFC Fight Night promises a competitive matchup. Alateng, known as 'The Mongolian Knight', is a fighter with a balanced record of 17-9-2, bringing a mixture of striking power and submission capability with 5 KOs and 3 subs. Blackshear, 'The Monster', holds a 16-7-1 record and is known for his submission skills, having secured 10 submission wins compared to fewer knockouts. Standing taller and with longer reach, Blackshear could use his physical attributes for control, while Alateng’s aggressive striking and experience make him a dangerous opponent. The odds favor Blackshear but the contest could hinge on stylistic execution in striking and grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Blackshear has a UFC record of 4-3-1 and a career record of 16-7-1, showing solid performance with a preference and success in submissions. Alateng's UFC record is 5-2-1 with an overall 17-9-2, showing a more balanced attack with knockouts and submissions, indicating versatility. Both fighters have recent wins and losses, but Blackshear’s submission game and physical reach offer an advantage.
• There is no direct head-to-head history between Heili Alateng and Da'Mon Blackshear, making this their first professional fight against each other.
• No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both will be at full strength.
• The fight takes place in Kansas City, Missouri, a neutral site with no significant home advantage. Both fighters weigh in close to the Bantamweight limit with no reported issues.
• Both fighters are seasoned UFC competitors motivated to climb the Bantamweight rankings. Blackshear’s grappling style and recent form provide motivation to consolidate his position, while Alateng aims to leverage his striking and experience to secure a pivotal win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear: -460, Heili Alateng: 360	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: -150, Under: 120	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear favored to win due to superior grappling, physical advantages, and recent form, with potential for submission finish or decision. Alateng’s striking and resilience make an upset plausible but less likely.

Predicted Score: Blackshear wins by submission in round 2

Match Analysis: Cody Gibson vs Da'Mon Blackshear – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Da'Mon Blackshear and Cody Gibson will face off in a bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night 254. Blackshear, known for his submission skills, recently defeated Cody Stamann. Gibson, on a winning streak, last won against Chad Anheliger via unanimous decision.

Key Factors to Consider

• Da'Mon Blackshear has a strong record of submissions and lands more significant strikes per minute than Cody Gibson. However, Gibson has shown resilience in winning decisions and defending strikes effectively.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, which could favor Blackshear's aggressive style. However, Gibson's experience might help him adapt.
• Both fighters are motivated to continue their winning streaks and improve their UFC standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Gibson: +370, Da'Mon Blackshear: -485	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Cody Gibson: +3.5 120, Da'Mon Blackshear: -3.5 -165	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -210, Under 2.5: 160	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear is likely to win due to his aggressive striking and submission skills.

Predicted Score: Da'Mon Blackshear wins by decision or submission.