Match Analysis: Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Game Overview

The UFC Fight Night Bantamweight bout features Da'Mon Blackshear vs Davey Grant on July 26, 2025, at Etihad Arena. Blackshear, an American prospect with a 17-7-1 record, faces the UK veteran Grant in a 3-round contest. Both fighters are known for finishing potential, but the fight is expected to go the distance given the tactical approaches apparent in recent fights.

Key Factors to Consider

• Da'Mon Blackshear has a solid 17-7-1 record with notable submission victories and striking versatility. He tends to push a high pace and impose volume striking. Davey Grant, with a record of 17-7-1, brings veteran experience and technical striking, often favoring decisions and strategic volume. Both have recent finishes but also show adaptability to opponents.
• This will be the first meeting between Blackshear and Grant, so no direct head-to-head data is available. Both fighters have comparable UFC experience and records, making this a competitive matchup based on styles and recent form.
• No reported or publicly known injuries for either fighter ahead of the match, implying both are entering in full health and training condition.
• The fight is held in Abu Dhabi at Etihad Arena during a stacked UFC Fight Night card, potentially adding pressure and high energy environment. Travel and acclimatization might favor Blackshear (USA) due to recent activity, while Grant (UK) is the more experienced fighter on big stages.
• Blackshear aims to cement his rise in the bantamweight rankings with a notable win over an established veteran. Grant looks to maintain veteran status and rebound from any recent setbacks by using his experience to outpoint the younger opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear: -330, Davey Grant: 270	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★★☆ 77%
Spread	Blackshear -1.5 rounds: -120, Grant +1.5 rounds: 100	Blackshear -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -130, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Over 2.5 rounds (Fight goes distance)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the pace and volume style of Da’Mon Blackshear, combined with his finishing ability and home crowd momentum, the prediction favors Blackshear winning by decision after three competitive rounds.

Predicted Score: Blackshear wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Da'Mon Blackshear vs. Davey Grant Prediction	Da'Mon Blackshear Win	-330	★★★★☆ 77% (77%)
Jose Augusto vs. Marek Samociuk Prediction	Jose Augusto Win	-240	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Chris Gonzalez vs. Jacob Rosales Prediction	Chris Gonzalez Win	-265	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +154

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $50.85

Match Analysis: Heili Alateng vs Da'Mon Blackshear – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 11:45 PM UTC
• Location: Kansas City, Missouri, United States

Game Overview

The Bantamweight bout between Heili Alateng and Da'Mon Blackshear at UFC Fight Night promises a competitive matchup. Alateng, known as 'The Mongolian Knight', is a fighter with a balanced record of 17-9-2, bringing a mixture of striking power and submission capability with 5 KOs and 3 subs. Blackshear, 'The Monster', holds a 16-7-1 record and is known for his submission skills, having secured 10 submission wins compared to fewer knockouts. Standing taller and with longer reach, Blackshear could use his physical attributes for control, while Alateng’s aggressive striking and experience make him a dangerous opponent. The odds favor Blackshear but the contest could hinge on stylistic execution in striking and grappling exchanges.

Key Factors to Consider

• Blackshear has a UFC record of 4-3-1 and a career record of 16-7-1, showing solid performance with a preference and success in submissions. Alateng's UFC record is 5-2-1 with an overall 17-9-2, showing a more balanced attack with knockouts and submissions, indicating versatility. Both fighters have recent wins and losses, but Blackshear’s submission game and physical reach offer an advantage.
• There is no direct head-to-head history between Heili Alateng and Da'Mon Blackshear, making this their first professional fight against each other.
• No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both will be at full strength.
• The fight takes place in Kansas City, Missouri, a neutral site with no significant home advantage. Both fighters weigh in close to the Bantamweight limit with no reported issues.
• Both fighters are seasoned UFC competitors motivated to climb the Bantamweight rankings. Blackshear’s grappling style and recent form provide motivation to consolidate his position, while Alateng aims to leverage his striking and experience to secure a pivotal win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear: -460, Heili Alateng: 360	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: -150, Under: 120	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Da'Mon Blackshear -10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 32%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear favored to win due to superior grappling, physical advantages, and recent form, with potential for submission finish or decision. Alateng’s striking and resilience make an upset plausible but less likely.

Predicted Score: Blackshear wins by submission in round 2

Match Analysis: Cody Gibson vs Da'Mon Blackshear – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-15
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Da'Mon Blackshear and Cody Gibson will face off in a bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night 254. Blackshear, known for his submission skills, recently defeated Cody Stamann. Gibson, on a winning streak, last won against Chad Anheliger via unanimous decision.

Key Factors to Consider

• Da'Mon Blackshear has a strong record of submissions and lands more significant strikes per minute than Cody Gibson. However, Gibson has shown resilience in winning decisions and defending strikes effectively.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, which could favor Blackshear's aggressive style. However, Gibson's experience might help him adapt.
• Both fighters are motivated to continue their winning streaks and improve their UFC standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Gibson: +370, Da'Mon Blackshear: -485	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Cody Gibson: +3.5 120, Da'Mon Blackshear: -3.5 -165	Da'Mon Blackshear	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -210, Under 2.5: 160	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Da'Mon Blackshear is likely to win due to his aggressive striking and submission skills.

Predicted Score: Da'Mon Blackshear wins by decision or submission.