Match Analysis: Damiano Scogna vs Richard Kallos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 8:35 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England

Game Overview

The Bantamweight main card fight between Damiano Scogna and Richard Kallos is scheduled for three rounds at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. Scogna enters with a record of 5-1-1, including a mix of KO and submission wins, while Kallos holds a record of 4-2, with a strong submission profile. This matchup is set at the BEC Arena in Manchester and is part of Cage Warriors' exclusive invite-only event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damiano Scogna has a slightly better overall record (5-1-1) than Richard Kallos (4-2), with 33% of his wins by KO/TKO and 50% by submission. Kallos has a high submission rate (67% of wins). Scogna's recent form and ability to finish fights either by strikes or submissions indicate versatile skills. Both fighters have strong grappling threats, with Scogna more balanced between striking and submission.
• No record of previous direct encounters between Scogna and Kallos is found, making this their first official fight against each other.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter leading into this match.
• The fight takes place at the BEC Arena in Manchester during an invite-only Cage Warriors event, which might add pressure but also motivation for both fighters to perform well in a prestigious setting.
• Both fighters are motivated to advance their careers in the competitive Bantamweight division; Scogna is slightly favored in betting markets, suggesting he may have greater confidence or momentum. Kallos may be motivated to overcome the betting underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Damiano Scogna: -700, Richard Kallos: 400	Damiano Scogna	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Damiano Scogna: -1.5 rounds favored, Richard Kallos: +1.5 rounds	Damiano Scogna to win by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds (likely finish before full 3 rounds)	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Damiano Scogna -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Damiano Scogna at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damiano Scogna is favored to win due to his slightly superior record, more diverse fight-ending skills, and stronger betting support (-700 moneyline). The prediction confidence is moderately high given no prior head-to-head data but supported by current form and odds.

Predicted Score: Damiano Scogna wins via submission or TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Ollie Sarwa vs Damiano Scogna – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 4:30 PM UTC
• Location: London (Cage Warriors 192)

Game Overview

The bantamweight clash between undefeated Ollie Sarwa (6-0) and Damiano Scogna (5-0-1) features two promising young fighters stepping up in competition at Cage Warriors 192 in London. Both bring perfect or near-perfect records and finishing ability—Sarwa known for solid all-round skills and unbeaten status, Scogna with 2 KOs and 3 submissions showcasing versatility. It is a pivotal fight to determine emerging bantamweight hierarchy in Europe.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ollie Sarwa enters with a flawless 6-0 pro record and is a former academy champion, indicating strong technical and developmental pedigree. Damiano Scogna holds a 5-0-1 record with finishes both by KO and submission, reflecting a dangerous and multifaceted skill set.
• No prior meetings between Ollie Sarwa and Damiano Scogna, making this their first encounter which adds unpredictability to the outcome.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
• The bout takes place in London, giving Ollie Sarwa a potential home advantage with crowd support. The event's spotlight on bantamweight progression may add motivational pressure.
• Both fighters are undefeated prospects aiming to cement their status and advance their careers. Sarwa seeks to maintain flawless record and build on academy championship pedigree; Scogna aims to overcome a highly touted local fighter and prove his versatile finishing skills.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ollie Sarwa: -160, Damiano Scogna: 120	Ollie Sarwa	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Ollie Sarwa -1.5 rounds: -110, Damiano Scogna +1.5 rounds: -110	Ollie Sarwa -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ollie Sarwa 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ollie Sarwa at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ollie Sarwa is favored to win due to his undefeated record, home advantage, and consistent performance trajectory, but Damiano Scogna’s diverse finishing ability and resilience make the fight competitive and could see an upset.

Predicted Score: Ollie Sarwa wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3

Match Analysis: Damiano Scogna vs Gerasimos Sioutis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Damiano Scogna and Gerasimos Sioutis are set to face off in a Cage Warriors match. Scogna is favored with odds of -650, indicating a strong likelihood of winning.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damiano Scogna has been favored in this matchup, suggesting a strong recent performance. Gerasimos Sioutis faces an uphill battle against the favored opponent.
• There is no available head-to-head data between these fighters, making it difficult to assess past performances against each other.
• No injury reports are available for either fighter at this time.
• The fight is part of Cage Warriors, which may have specific rules or conditions that could affect the fighters' strategies.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the competitive nature of MMA and the importance of winning in such events.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-650 for Damiano Scogna, +400 for Gerasimos Sioutis	Damiano Scogna	★★★★☆ 80%

Predicted Outcome

Damiano Scogna is predicted to win based on the odds.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA matches