Match Analysis: Damian Piwowarczyk vs Cedric Lushima – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Ergo Arena, Gdańsk/Sopot, Poland

Game Overview

This is a Light Heavyweight main card fight at KSW 107 between Damian Piwowarczyk (Poland, 9W-4L) and Cedric Lushima (Belgium, 6W-0L). Piwowarczyk is the more experienced fighter with a proven track record, while Lushima is an undefeated prospect. Piwowarczyk is taller (198 cm vs 185 cm) and has a reach advantage, which could be crucial in striking exchanges. The fight features contrasting experience versus hype, with Piwowarczyk having faced higher-level competition.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damian Piwowarczyk has 9 wins (5 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 1 decision) and 4 losses, demonstrating durability and finishing ability. Cedric Lushima is undefeated at 6-0 (2 KO/TKO, 3 submissions, 1 decision), but has not faced the same level of competition. Piwowarczyk is ranked #1 LHW in KSW and is the home favorite.
• No prior head-to-head history. Both fighters are active finishers, with similar submission rates but Piwowarczyk having more KO/TKO victories.
• No reported injuries for either fighter as of the latest available information.
• KSW home crowd advantage for Piwowarczyk. Fight is part of a major event with likely high stakes and visibility.
• Piwowarczyk looks to defend his top ranking against an unbeaten challenger, while Lushima seeks a breakout win to solidify his prospect status at a higher level.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -300, away: 240	Damian Piwowarczyk	★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Damian Piwowarczyk -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Damian Piwowarczyk at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Damian Piwowarczyk is a sizeable favorite due to experience, home advantage, and proven record against tougher competition. Lushima is dangerous as an undefeated prospect but lacks experience at the elite level. The most likely outcome is a Piwowarczyk win, possibly by KO/TKO in the later rounds, but Lushima's submission skills pose a threat if the fight hits the mat. Confidence is high in Piwowarczyk's ability to control the pace and win a war of attrition.

Predicted Score: Damian Piwowarczyk via TKO (round 2 or 3)

Match Analysis: Damian Piwowarczyk vs Bartosz Szewczyk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-21
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Liberec, Czech Republic

Game Overview

Damian Piwowarczyk and Bartosz Szewczyk face off in a light heavyweight bout at KSW 103. Piwowarczyk is favored with odds of -210, while Szewczyk is at 160.

Key Factors to Consider

• Damian Piwowarczyk is favored, suggesting a stronger recent performance. Bartosz Szewczyk competes in the light heavyweight division of Dana White's Contender Series, indicating a high level of skill.
• No previous head-to-head data is available for these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight takes place in Liberec, Czech Republic, which might not significantly favor either fighter.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, given the stakes of competing in KSW.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-210 for Damian Piwowarczyk, 160 for Bartosz Szewczyk	Damian Piwowarczyk	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Not specified	Damian Piwowarczyk	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Not specified	Over	★★★☆☆ 50%

Predicted Outcome

Damian Piwowarczyk is predicted to win due to being favored by the odds.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish in favor of Damian Piwowarczyk.