Match Analysis: Crystal Palace vs Brighton and Hove Albion – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 2:00 PM UTC
- Location: Selhurst Park, London, England
Game Overview
Crystal Palace host Brighton & Hove Albion in an EPL match where both teams have contrasting recent forms and motivations. Palace are slightly favored at home despite Brighton's strong away performances.
Key Factors to Consider
- Crystal Palace have shown resilience at home with recent victories including a 3-1 Conference League win and a 2-0 league win over Brentford. Brighton won their last Premier League match 3-0 away vs Leeds, showing strong attacking potency but have inconsistent form overall.
- In their recent Premier League encounter, Crystal Palace defeated Brighton 2-0 at home, indicating a tactical edge and confidence against this opponent.
- No significant injury news reported that would heavily impact either side; both teams expected to field strong lineups.
- Match played at Selhurst Park benefits Palace's home advantage. Brighton faces travel demands but are accustomed to Premier League away pressures.
- Crystal Palace have extra motivation from competing well in Europe recently and desire to maintain a strong home record. Brighton aim to stabilize league performance after mixed results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace -126, Brighton +205, Draw +250 | Crystal Palace win | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Crystal Palace -0.25 (-105), Brighton +25 (-115) | Crystal Palace -0.25 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75 (-105), Under 2.75 (-115) | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Crystal Palace 15% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 7% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Crystal Palace at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Crystal Palace to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with the match likely under 2.75 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1