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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tight NRL derby between southern Sydney rivals with near parity in recent form and performance metrics, expected to be a close, low-scoring contest reflective of derby intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams exhibit strong defense and balanced attack; Sharks have marginally better recent form with a 70-77% win probability in modeling but Dragons build momentum approaching this match.
  • Virtually even split in recent derby matchups; no dominant side with equal power rankings and similar scoring and defensive statistics.
  • No major injury news publicly available indicating significant absences for either side; squads appear near full-strength.
  • Dragons at home in an intense derby atmosphere at Jubilee Stadium which may slightly enhance their performance; Sharks have strong away record but face hostile environment.
  • Sharks highly motivated aiming for finals push; Dragons motivated by home ground pride and derby rivalry making this a high-intensity matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sharks: -205, St George Illawarra Dragons: 172, Draw: 2200 Cronulla Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cronulla Sharks -7.5: -115, St George Illawarra Dragons +7.5: -115 Cronulla Sharks -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1096%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 1096% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Cronulla Sharks to win, but the market undervalues Dragons' chance suggesting potential value on Dragons for spread and moneyline. Spread predicted to favor Sharks covering -7.5 given their superior form with moderate confidence. Total points expected under 46.5 due to derby intensity limiting scoring.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 22 – St George Illawarra Dragons 15


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the North Queensland Cowboys in an important Round 22 NRL clash. The Sharks are strong favourites, aiming for a fourth straight win and solidifying their top-eight position, while the Cowboys are desperate to keep their faint finals hopes alive with a favourable run home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have been showing consistent form recently, with three consecutive wins including a narrow 14-12 victory over the Rabbitohs. The Cowboys managed a high-scoring 38-32 win over the Dragons but continue to suffer from the league's worst defense.
  • The Sharks have a strong historical advantage and recent dominance against the Cowboys, including a comprehensive 36-12 win earlier in 2025. Simulations predict an 80% chance of Sharks winning this match.
  • The Cowboys are missing key five-eighth Tom Duffy due to injury, replaced by Jake Clifford. Suspended forward Karl Lawton is also out; Emarly Bitungane debuts. Sharks have key players Briton Nikora and Siosifa Talakai returning, strengthening their pack.
  • The match is at Shark Park, giving the Sharks home-ground advantage. The Sharks are motivated to maintain top-eight positioning; the Cowboys are motivated to spark a late-season finals charge.
  • Cronulla is motivated to continue their winning streak for finals security; the Cowboys must win to keep playoff hopes alive, adding urgency to their play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -240, away: 205, draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: 28-18 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Rabbitohs, mired in a seven-game losing streak and struggling with injuries and defensive frailties, host the Sharks, who are pushing for a top-four finish and have rediscovered form with Nicho Hynes leading their charge. The neutral venue removes any home ground advantage, but Cronulla’s superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them heavy favorites despite South Sydney’s desperation[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla’s attack is averaging almost 6 points more per game and their defense is significantly better, while South Sydney’s season has been derailed by injuries, especially in key spine positions, and defensive lapses[1][3].
  • Cronulla has dominated recent meetings and comes in with a stronger head-to-head record, both in terms of results and statistical matchups[1][3].
  • South Sydney’s roster has been ravaged by injuries, notably in their spine, which has compounded their on-field struggles[3].
  • Neutral venue (Gosford) and weather is not reported as a major factor; travel is not expected to impact either team significantly[1][3].
  • Cronulla is chasing a top-four finish and has clear motivation, while South Sydney is fighting for pride but lacks tangible upside in the standings[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -435, Souths +350, Draw +2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Cronulla -12.5 (-110), Souths +12.5 (-120) South Sydney Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-125), Under 47.5 (-105) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are expected to win by a double-digit margin, but not in a blowout. Expect a lower-scoring, grinding game with Cronulla’s defense stifling South Sydney’s attack[1][3].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 10


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-18
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cronulla, New South Wales, Australia

Game Overview

The match between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and the Sydney Roosters is a key NRL fixture, with both teams looking to strengthen their standings mid-season. The Sharks play at home, giving them a slight edge, while the Roosters are coming off recent challenges related to player availability due to State of Origin commitments.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have shown more consistent form recently, benefitting from fewer key player absences, whereas the Sydney Roosters have been impacted by State of Origin call-ups which have weakened their squad depth and performance.
  • Historically, matches between these two sides are tightly contested, but the Sharks have edged slightly ahead in recent encounters, including a home advantage that boosts their chances.
  • The Roosters are notably affected by several Origin call-ups, reducing their top-tier player availability and weakening key positions; the Sharks report a relatively healthy roster with no major absences.
  • Playing at home in favorable weather and venue conditions benefits the Sharks. The Roosters additionally face travel fatigue and team cohesion challenges following recent representative fixtures.
  • The Sharks are motivated to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a win and improve league position, while the Roosters aim to overcome adversity but are under increased pressure to regain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -148, Sydney Roosters: 128, Draw: 2100 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5: -115, Sydney Roosters +3.5: -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win outright, cover the -3.5 spread, and the total score to go over 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 – 18 Sydney Roosters


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park (Sharks Stadium), Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks face the Dolphins in Round 19 of the NRL at Shark Park, Sydney. Both teams come off a bye week, expected to be well-rested for a crucial contest. The Sharks are currently 10th on the ladder, seeking to halt a two-game losing streak and improve their form at home where they traditionally perform well. The Dolphins sit 7th, aiming to consolidate a top-eight finals position after a strong recent win over South Sydney. The Dolphins have the psychological edge, leading the head-to-head with two wins from two meetings, including a close 30-28 away victory earlier in the season. This match is critical for both teams’ finals ambitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have been scoring prolifically, with 184 points in their last four games and strong individual performances like Herbie Farnworth's nine tries in 10 games. The Sharks have struggled, winning only one of their last five games, but have a strong home advantage and key players such as Ronaldo Mulitalo who has an impressive try rate at Shark Park.
  • The Dolphins are undefeated against the Sharks, having won both previous encounters including a decisive 36-16 win at Suncorp and a narrow 30-28 win at Sharks Stadium.
  • The Dolphins lost Kodi Nikorima to a hamstring injury, with Isaiya Katoa stepping into a greater playmaking role bolstered by confidence from recent NSW Blues camp involvement. The Sharks have named a stable squad including utility Daniel Atkinson returning on the bench, maintaining good squad continuity.
  • Both teams enjoying a week off prior to the match should negate fatigue factors. The Sharks benefit from home conditions at Shark Park. Broadcast coverage on major networks suggests a high-profile and closely followed game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to cement their top-eight spot with a win, while the Sharks look to arrest a poor run and build momentum for a strong season finish. The Sharks' home crowd and history of tough home performances provide motivational leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -152, Dolphins: 132, Draw: 2100 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -3.5 -115, Dolphins: +3.5 -115 Dolphins +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Dolphins' strong recent form, undefeated record vs. Sharks, and scoring prowess, they are favored to win narrowly but the Sharks' home toughness and need for form recovery make it a close contest. The predicted outcome is a Dolphins win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 28 – 24 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Melbourne Storm vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-29
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between Melbourne Storm and Cronulla Sutherland Sharks is a high-stakes fixture at AAMI Park, with Melbourne as the home team. Historically, Melbourne Storm have dominated this matchup, holding a significant advantage in wins and points scored, especially at home venues like AAMI Park. Cronulla Sharks have been competitive but have fewer victories on Melbourne soil. The match promises intense competition with both teams aiming to assert dominance in the league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have a strong home record, winning 19 of 26 matches against Cronulla on home grounds and holding a robust overall head-to-head lead (30 wins to Cronulla's 17). Recent form favors Melbourne with commanding performances at AAMI Park, outscoring Cronulla significantly (467 points to 193) in past home games. Cronulla show resilience and have managed crucial wins but typically struggle away from their home stadium.
  • Overall, Melbourne Storm leads the rivalry with 30 wins from 48 matches since 1998, showcasing dominance especially in home fixtures. Cronulla have 17 wins overall, with a better showing at their home venue but less success when away, particularly at AAMI Park. The Storm have longer winning streaks and higher point tallies in recent history, reinforcing Melbourne as favorites.
  • No specific injury updates are provided from the current data, but the fitness of key players for both sides should be monitored closer to match day for more accurate assessment.
  • Playing at AAMI Park gives Melbourne Storm a significant home advantage including crowd support and familiarity with the venue. Weather conditions and pitch state are not indicated but should be considered as they can affect game tempo and scoring.
  • Melbourne Storm, aiming to maintain their home dominance and climb the league table, likely have strong motivation. Cronulla Sharks, seeking to upset the home favorites and improve their away record, will be highly motivated as well. Historical rivalry adds extra competitive edge to the contest.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -290, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 235, Draw: 2300 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -9.5 -115, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: +9.5 -115 Melbourne Storm -9.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are favored to win by a clear margin given their dominant home record and historical superiority over Cronulla Sutherland Sharks. Expect a competitive, physical game but with Melbourne controlling the match tempo and scoreboard.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Brisbane Broncos vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-22
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between Brisbane Broncos and Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at Suncorp Stadium is poised as a significant clash, with the Broncos hosting the Sharks. Historically, the Broncos have dominated the head-to-heads, particularly at home, and carry a strong recent form into this fixture.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Brisbane Broncos have a superior overall record against the Sharks, with 41 wins out of 64 matches compared to the Sharks' 23. At home in Brisbane, Broncos have won 27 out of 35 meetings, showcasing strong home performance. Both teams have played competitively this season, though Broncos tend to have more consistent form at their home venue.
  • Since 1988, Brisbane Broncos lead the series with 41 wins compared to 23 by Cronulla Sharks. At Suncorp Stadium, the Broncos have won 12 out of 19 matches against the Sharks, who have won 7. The Broncos have had notable winning streaks up to 8 games overall against the Sharks, highlighting their historical edge.
  • Current specific injury updates for the match have not been publicly detailed, but any last-minute changes could impact the Sharks more, given their less consistent squad depth compared to the Broncos. Monitoring team line-ups close to match time is advised.
  • The match is played at Suncorp Stadium in Brisbane, giving the Broncos home ground advantage. Weather conditions and pitch condition at the time of the match could also influence play style but are currently unknown.
  • Brisbane Broncos are likely highly motivated to assert dominance over a regional rival and consolidate their standing in the table, while the Sharks will aim to upset the home team and improve their away record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos: -179, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 157, Draw: 2100 Brisbane Broncos win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Brisbane Broncos: -4.5 -115, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: +4.5 -115 Brisbane Broncos to cover -4.5 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -145, Under: 46.5 110 Over 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brisbane Broncos -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the historical dominance, strong home record, and current odds favoring Brisbane Broncos, the prediction is a victory for the Broncos. The match is expected to be competitive but the Broncos' consistency and home advantage give them the edge.

Predicted Score: Brisbane Broncos 26 – Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 18


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. St George Illawarra Dragons Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs St George Illawarra Dragons – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-12
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium

Game Overview

The Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks are set to face the St George Illawarra Dragons in a highly anticipated NRL match. With the Sharks favored heavily, they enter as strong contenders to win, driven by their recent form and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks have shown consistent performance in recent matches, whereas the St George Illawarra Dragons have been struggling with inconsistency.
  • Historically, both teams have had closely contested matches, but Cronulla has a slight edge in recent encounters.
  • Any significant injuries to key players could impact team performance, but no major updates are available as of now.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, with the Sharks having a home advantage.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but the Dragons might have extra drive to prove themselves against a strong opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -325, St George Illawarra Dragons: 260, Draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -10.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: 10.5 -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks are predicted to win, given their strong recent form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 28 – St George Illawarra Dragons 18


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-07
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are hosting the New Zealand Warriors in an NRL match. The Sharks have a strong head-to-head record against the Warriors, having won 19 out of the total matches with no draws. Current odds favor the Sharks across moneyline, spread, and over/under bets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sutherland Sharks have historically performed well against the Warriors, with significant winning margins in recent matches.
  • The Sharks have a 61% win rate against the Warriors, with no draws.
  • No specific injury reports are available for this match.
  • Home advantage and recent form may influence the outcome.
  • Both teams will be motivated to secure points, but the Sharks' recent form and head-to-head dominance suggest a stronger drive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -210 for Cronulla, 175 for Warriors, 2200 for draw Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -6.5 for Cronulla, 6.5 for Warriors Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 44.5 -105, Under 44.5 -125 Under 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are likely to win, given their historical performance against the Warriors.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 24 – 18 New Zealand Warriors


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Sydney Roosters vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Sydney Roosters vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-24
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Sydney Roosters host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at Industree Group Stadium in Gosford, with both teams eager to assert dominance in this Round 12 NRL clash. The match is marked by the absence of key Roosters players due to State of Origin duties and injury, forcing the team to rely on younger players. Despite this, the Roosters have a strong recent head-to-head record against the Sharks and have won their last five matches at this venue this decade. The Sharks come in as strong favourites based on recent form and bookmaker odds, especially after a recent emphatic 44-12 victory over the Roosters on their home ground. This match is expected to be competitive with the Sharks seen as the likely winners but with value opportunities on the Roosters given the market's underestimation of their chances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters are dealing with significant player absences including Angus Crichton, Connor Watson, Spencer Leniu, Robert Toia, Lindsay Collins (all on representative duty), and injured prop Naufahu Whyte. They showed resilience in a close loss to the Bulldogs last round. The Sharks have posted dominant recent victories, including a big 44-12 win against the Roosters earlier this season, indicating strong attacking form.
  • The Roosters hold a strong recent head-to-head advantage with eight wins in the last ten meetings against the Sharks. However, the Sharks convincingly won the latest clash by a large margin, demonstrating that they can overcome past trends.
  • Roosters missing six top-tier players due to State of Origin and one key injury – Naufahu Whyte. Sharks appear to have a full-strength squad with no significant injuries reported.
  • Playing at Gosford’s Industree Group Stadium, where the Roosters have a 50% win rate over 20 matches and have won their past five matches this decade, potentially mitigating some disadvantage. The match timing and player availability affected by State of Origin selections are critical.
  • The Sharks are motivated to maintain momentum and justify their heavy favoritism. The Roosters are motivated to prove resilience despite missing key players and to capitalize on home ground familiarity and a strong historical record at the venue.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -325, Sydney Roosters: 255, Draw: 2300 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -10.5 -110, Sydney Roosters: +10.5 -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to cover -10.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 44.5: -115, Under 44.5: -115 Under 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 44.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 44.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Sharks being strong favorites, the Roosters' historical head-to-head strength against them and home ground advantage provide a solid chance for an upset. However, the Sharks' current form and squad fitness give them the edge to win most likely by a margin slightly less than the spread.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 26 – Sydney Roosters 16


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