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Melbourne Storm vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

Melbourne Storm, the premiership favorites with a formidable home record at AAMI Park, face a strong Cronulla Sutherland Sharks side in the NRL preliminary final. The Storm's defensive structure and experience give them a significant edge, though the Sharks have sufficient attacking threats to make it competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have shown strong form at home with notable wins and maintain the league's best defence and efficient attack. The Sharks are competitive but have less consistency and have struggled against elite defensive teams like the Storm.
  • The Storm have dominated recent matchups with a significant advantage in power rankings (1.00 vs 7.67), scoring on average 9 more points per game and maintaining a defensive fortress at home.
  • No significant injuries reported impacting Melbourne Storm's key starters; Cronulla Sharks have no major absences noted, maintaining a full-strength squad.
  • The match being at AAMI Park offers Melbourne home ground advantage. Weather and other external conditions expected to be neutral, with no disruptions forecasted.
  • High stakes in the preliminary final give both teams strong motivation; however, Melbourne’s experience and desire to advance to the grand final arguably provide them with a psychological edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -278, Cronulla Sharks +210 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Melbourne Storm -8.5 -115, Cronulla Sharks +8.5 -115 Melbourne Storm -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 40.5 -114, Under 40.5 -114 Over 40.5 points ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 40.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win on the moneyline, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total score to go over 40.5 points.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 Cronulla Sharks


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Canberra Raiders vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

A critical NRL finals match where Canberra Raiders host Cronulla Sharks, with Raiders favored due to home advantage and stronger recent form. Both teams have experienced ups and downs, but Raiders showed more consistency and resilience late in the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have won 4 of their last 6 matches, including tight wins against strong opponents, while Cronulla Sharks have shown inconsistency and recent losses leading into the finals.
  • Raiders have a positive recent head-to-head record versus Sharks, especially at home. Last meetings favored Canberra by modest margins.
  • No major injuries reported for Canberra Raiders impacting key positions. Sharks have some injury concerns on their backline reducing attacking options.
  • Game held in Canberra with favorable climate conditions and strong home crowd support for Raiders. No significant travel fatigue issues.
  • Raiders motivated to capitalize on home finals advantage, Sharks under pressure to upset as underdogs in elimination scenario.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -182 for Canberra Raiders, +156 for Cronulla Sharks, +2000 for Draw Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread -4.5 (-115) for Canberra Raiders, +4.5 (-115) for Cronulla Sharks Canberra Raiders -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5 (-115), Under 45.5 (-115) Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders moneyline win

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – 18 Cronulla Sharks


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: PointsBet Stadium, Cronulla

Game Overview

The NRL matchup between Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and Sydney Roosters features two strong teams vying for a crucial late-season win. Both sides have had fluctuating forms but the Roosters hold a slight edge according to current bookmaker odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sydney Roosters have shown a more consistent winning form in recent games, blending solid defense with effective attacking plays. Cronulla Sharks have had some recent inconsistencies but remain competitive at home.
  • Historically, the Roosters have a marginal winning record over the Sharks, especially in recent seasons, with close contests typical but a tendency for Roosters to eke out narrow wins.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either side, both teams expected to field their preferred lineups, maintaining overall team strength and depth.
  • The match being played at Cronulla’s home ground could slightly favor the Sharks due to familiar conditions and local support, but the Roosters have frequently won away games in this rivalry.
  • With playoffs approaching, both teams are highly motivated but Sydney Roosters have a stronger incentive to secure a top 4 position, giving them a motivational edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla +118, Sydney Roosters -132, Draw +1800 Sydney Roosters ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cronulla +2.5 -115, Sydney Roosters -2.5 -115 Sydney Roosters -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 45.5 -115, Under 45.5 -115 Under 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters moneyline win, Roosters -2.5 spread, Under 45.5 points

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 24 – 18 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

This Round 27 NRL match features a surging Canterbury Bulldogs side facing off against the consistent and finals-experienced Cronulla Sharks at Accor Stadium. The Bulldogs have shown remarkable improvement mid-season, while the Sharks bring their seasoned September campaign pedigree, setting up a tight contest expected to be decided by a narrow margin.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have been improving significantly with confidence and momentum, while the Cronulla Sharks have maintained steady form with consistent, battle-hardened resilience suitable for finals pressure.
  • Recent past favors Bulldogs with a notable victory (20-6) earlier in 2025 at Shark Park. Power rankings position Bulldogs higher (5) compared to Sharks (10) with both teams possessing capable attacks but Bulldogs’ improved defensive structure tested against Sharks’ experience.
  • No major injury updates reported for either side affecting key players, implying near-full squads going into the match.
  • Playing at home in Accor Stadium gives Canterbury an edge due to home crowd support and familiarity with conditions. Weather and other external conditions are not expected to significantly impact gameplay.
  • Bulldogs are motivated by their mid-season resurgence and desire to cement finals contention, whereas Sharks are driven by their traditional September finals experience and steadiness in pressure matches.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -174, Cronulla Sharks +151, Draw +2000 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Bulldogs -4.5 (-110), Sharks +4.5 (-120) Bulldogs -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 44.5 (-113), Under 44.5 (-113) Over 44.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win on moneyline, cover the -4.5 spread, and the match to go over 44.5 points

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 26 – 21 Cronulla Sharks


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Newcastle Knights in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season, with the Sharks clear favourites due to strong recent form and home advantage, while the Knights continue to struggle with a seven-game losing streak.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have won five of their last six games, recently thrashing the Titans 54-22. Newcastle Knights are on a seven-game losing streak and have conceded 176 points in their last four matches.
  • Sharks have dominated recent matchups, winning five of their last six encounters and most recently beating Newcastle 34-14 in April 2025.
  • Cronulla welcome back KL Iro and add Braden Hamlin-Uele to the bench after Cameron McInnes suffered a season-ending injury. Newcastle have no significant changes to their lineup despite poor form.
  • The Sharks benefit from playing at home (Shark Park) with a strong crowd presence. Newcastle face internal turmoil with coach Adam O’Brien reportedly under pressure.
  • Cronulla are motivated to maintain momentum and secure a top-four finish ahead of the finals. Newcastle lack confidence and are under pressure due to their poor form and coaching instability.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -725 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -17.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under -115 Over 49.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 31% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sharks to win straight-up, cover the -17.5 spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 36 – Newcastle Knights 14


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park, Sydney

Game Overview

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Gold Coast Titans in an NRL Round 24 match at Shark Park. The Sharks enter as favorites with better form and a stronger head-to-head record, but the Titans are capable of causing an upset given their motivation and potential for explosive play.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sharks sit 8th in the NRL with 10 wins and decent home form; Titans are 17th with only 4 wins and poor recent form. Sharks have been consistent but not dominant, Titans have had several close contests despite losing.
  • Historically, Sharks dominate with 11 wins to Titans’ 3 in 15 meetings. Recent matches have been closer than expected, with Titans showing competitive potential.
  • No major injury news significantly impacting either side has been reported, allowing both teams to field near full-strength lineups.
  • Home advantage for Sharks at Shark Park is significant. Weather and field conditions expected to be standard; no disruptions forecasted.
  • Sharks motivated to secure finals positioning; Titans fighting to avoid the wooden spoon and playing with less pressure, which could fuel an inspired performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -290, away: 220, draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread home: -110, away: -120, line: 10.5 Gold Coast Titans +10.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115, line: 51.5 Under 51.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win on the moneyline, but the 11+ point spread is too steep given the Titans’ competitiveness; expect a close game with a combined score under the high total line.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 24 – Gold Coast Titans 16


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tight NRL derby between southern Sydney rivals with near parity in recent form and performance metrics, expected to be a close, low-scoring contest reflective of derby intensity.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams exhibit strong defense and balanced attack; Sharks have marginally better recent form with a 70-77% win probability in modeling but Dragons build momentum approaching this match.
  • Virtually even split in recent derby matchups; no dominant side with equal power rankings and similar scoring and defensive statistics.
  • No major injury news publicly available indicating significant absences for either side; squads appear near full-strength.
  • Dragons at home in an intense derby atmosphere at Jubilee Stadium which may slightly enhance their performance; Sharks have strong away record but face hostile environment.
  • Sharks highly motivated aiming for finals push; Dragons motivated by home ground pride and derby rivalry making this a high-intensity matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sharks: -205, St George Illawarra Dragons: 172, Draw: 2200 Cronulla Sharks ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cronulla Sharks -7.5: -115, St George Illawarra Dragons +7.5: -115 Cronulla Sharks -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 1096%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 1096% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 49.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline prediction favors Cronulla Sharks to win, but the market undervalues Dragons' chance suggesting potential value on Dragons for spread and moneyline. Spread predicted to favor Sharks covering -7.5 given their superior form with moderate confidence. Total points expected under 46.5 due to derby intensity limiting scoring.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sharks 22 – St George Illawarra Dragons 15


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the North Queensland Cowboys in an important Round 22 NRL clash. The Sharks are strong favourites, aiming for a fourth straight win and solidifying their top-eight position, while the Cowboys are desperate to keep their faint finals hopes alive with a favourable run home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have been showing consistent form recently, with three consecutive wins including a narrow 14-12 victory over the Rabbitohs. The Cowboys managed a high-scoring 38-32 win over the Dragons but continue to suffer from the league's worst defense.
  • The Sharks have a strong historical advantage and recent dominance against the Cowboys, including a comprehensive 36-12 win earlier in 2025. Simulations predict an 80% chance of Sharks winning this match.
  • The Cowboys are missing key five-eighth Tom Duffy due to injury, replaced by Jake Clifford. Suspended forward Karl Lawton is also out; Emarly Bitungane debuts. Sharks have key players Briton Nikora and Siosifa Talakai returning, strengthening their pack.
  • The match is at Shark Park, giving the Sharks home-ground advantage. The Sharks are motivated to maintain top-eight positioning; the Cowboys are motivated to spark a late-season finals charge.
  • Cronulla is motivated to continue their winning streak for finals security; the Cowboys must win to keep playoff hopes alive, adding urgency to their play.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -240, away: 205, draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread home: -110, away: -120 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115 Over 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win straight up, cover the -8.5 spread, and the total points to go over 48.5

Predicted Score: 28-18 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The Rabbitohs, mired in a seven-game losing streak and struggling with injuries and defensive frailties, host the Sharks, who are pushing for a top-four finish and have rediscovered form with Nicho Hynes leading their charge. The neutral venue removes any home ground advantage, but Cronulla’s superior recent form, attacking output, and defensive solidity make them heavy favorites despite South Sydney’s desperation[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla’s attack is averaging almost 6 points more per game and their defense is significantly better, while South Sydney’s season has been derailed by injuries, especially in key spine positions, and defensive lapses[1][3].
  • Cronulla has dominated recent meetings and comes in with a stronger head-to-head record, both in terms of results and statistical matchups[1][3].
  • South Sydney’s roster has been ravaged by injuries, notably in their spine, which has compounded their on-field struggles[3].
  • Neutral venue (Gosford) and weather is not reported as a major factor; travel is not expected to impact either team significantly[1][3].
  • Cronulla is chasing a top-four finish and has clear motivation, while South Sydney is fighting for pride but lacks tangible upside in the standings[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla -435, Souths +350, Draw +2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★★☆ 81%
Spread Cronulla -12.5 (-110), Souths +12.5 (-120) South Sydney Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-125), Under 47.5 (-105) Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are expected to win by a double-digit margin, but not in a blowout. Expect a lower-scoring, grinding game with Cronulla’s defense stifling South Sydney’s attack[1][3].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 10


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park (Sharks Stadium), Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks face the Dolphins in Round 19 of the NRL at Shark Park, Sydney. Both teams come off a bye week, expected to be well-rested for a crucial contest. The Sharks are currently 10th on the ladder, seeking to halt a two-game losing streak and improve their form at home where they traditionally perform well. The Dolphins sit 7th, aiming to consolidate a top-eight finals position after a strong recent win over South Sydney. The Dolphins have the psychological edge, leading the head-to-head with two wins from two meetings, including a close 30-28 away victory earlier in the season. This match is critical for both teams’ finals ambitions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dolphins have been scoring prolifically, with 184 points in their last four games and strong individual performances like Herbie Farnworth's nine tries in 10 games. The Sharks have struggled, winning only one of their last five games, but have a strong home advantage and key players such as Ronaldo Mulitalo who has an impressive try rate at Shark Park.
  • The Dolphins are undefeated against the Sharks, having won both previous encounters including a decisive 36-16 win at Suncorp and a narrow 30-28 win at Sharks Stadium.
  • The Dolphins lost Kodi Nikorima to a hamstring injury, with Isaiya Katoa stepping into a greater playmaking role bolstered by confidence from recent NSW Blues camp involvement. The Sharks have named a stable squad including utility Daniel Atkinson returning on the bench, maintaining good squad continuity.
  • Both teams enjoying a week off prior to the match should negate fatigue factors. The Sharks benefit from home conditions at Shark Park. Broadcast coverage on major networks suggests a high-profile and closely followed game.
  • The Dolphins are motivated to cement their top-eight spot with a win, while the Sharks look to arrest a poor run and build momentum for a strong season finish. The Sharks' home crowd and history of tough home performances provide motivational leverage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -152, Dolphins: 132, Draw: 2100 Dolphins ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -3.5 -115, Dolphins: +3.5 -115 Dolphins +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Over 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Dolphins' strong recent form, undefeated record vs. Sharks, and scoring prowess, they are favored to win narrowly but the Sharks' home toughness and need for form recovery make it a close contest. The predicted outcome is a Dolphins win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 28 – 24 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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