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Melbourne Storm vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in a high-stakes NRL Preliminary Final. Melbourne, the premiership favorites, have a strong home ground advantage at AAMI Park with an elite defensive system and precise attack. Cronulla is capable of scoring and can provide a competitive contest, but breaking through Melbourne's defense is notably challenging.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm rank 1 in power rankings with an average attack scoring 9 more points per game than Cronulla, who rank 11. Storm demonstrate superior home form and disciplined gameplay, while Sharks possess notable attacking threats but have struggled against Storm at AAMI Park historically.
  • Across 49 matches since 1998, Melbourne leads with 31 wins to Cronulla's 18. At Melbourne's home ground AAMI Park, Storm have an overwhelming advantage winning 14 out of 17 encounters, scoring 497 points to Sharks' 199.
  • No specific injury information available in current data for either team prior to the match.
  • The match is played at Melbourne's rectangular stadium, where Storm's fortress-like home advantage is significant. Weather or other external forcings are not specified.
  • Being a preliminary final, both teams are highly motivated, but Melbourne’s experience in big games and status as premiership favorites give them an edge in pressure situations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -278, Cronulla Sharks: 210 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -8.5 (-115), Cronulla Sharks: +8.5 (-115) Melbourne Storm to cover -8.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 40.5 (-114), Under: 40.5 (-114) Over 40.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 40.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 40.5 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win with a moderately high confidence due to home dominance, superior power ranking, and historical H2H success.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – 16 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Canberra Raiders vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium, Canberra

Game Overview

The Week 2 Semi Final of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership features the Canberra Raiders hosting the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at GIO Stadium in Canberra. Both teams have shown strong form reaching this point in the finals, with Canberra coming off a close loss to Brisbane and Cronulla eliminating Sydney in the previous round. The game is expected to be highly competitive, reflecting the grudge nature of finals clashes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have won 26 of 52 encounters historically against Cronulla. They narrowly lost their previous match to Brisbane, showing resilience but also some defensive frailty. Cronulla showed strong defensive grit and high completion rates against Sydney, applying pressure and maintaining control. Both teams have bench depth with several players named as reserves.
  • The historical head-to-head is balanced with Canberra leading 26-26 in wins out of 52 matches. This parity emphasizes the evenly matched nature of this upcoming semi-final clash.
  • No major injury reports are highlighted in the current sources. Both teams have named several players for the bench and reserves, indicating both squads are close to full strength.
  • The match is played at Canberra's home ground, GIO Stadium, giving Raiders a familiar environment and home crowd support. Scheduling aspects such as the finals turnaround may slightly affect team preparations but are typical for finals week.
  • As a knockout semi-final, both teams have strong motivation to secure victory. Cronulla aims to continue their momentum from the elimination final, while Canberra seeks redemption after their recent narrow loss and aims to leverage home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders: -182, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 156, Draw: 2000 Canberra Raiders win ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Canberra Raiders -4.5: -115, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks +4.5: -115 Canberra Raiders cover -4.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Over 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The match is expected to be a close contest with a slight edge to Canberra Raiders due to home ground advantage and historical parity. The Sydney media and fan opinions indicate Cronulla can be competitive if they maintain high completion and defensive intensity. Prediction favors Canberra by a narrow margin.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The NRL Finals Week 1 match between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and Sydney Roosters is a gripping rematch with high stakes, as the Roosters seek a home semi-final by continuing their undefeated streak while the Sharks aim to rebound from a recent loss and secure a strong finals position. The Roosters enter in impeccable form, having won five of their past six, while the Sharks have also shown strong recent form, notably a 24-6 win over the Bulldogs. The match is set at the Sharks' home ground, adding importance to their performance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Roosters remain undefeated after 10 games, currently sitting 1st and demonstrating dominant attacking form with players like James Tedesco and Mark Nawaqanitawase contributing heavily. The Sharks, in 4th place, have won 7 of their last 8 games post-bye and are buoyed by a decisive victory over the Bulldogs and the return of key playmaker Nicho Hynes, boosting their creativity and chances.
  • Historically, the Roosters have won all three recent encounters against the Sharks, including last year’s grand final where the Roosters jumped to a strong 24-0 lead despite a strong comeback from the Sharks. The Sharks outscored the Roosters 28-8 in the grand final's second half but fell short overall. In their last meeting this season at Sharks Stadium, the Sharks won 31-18, showing improvement in their head-to-head competitiveness.
  • The Sharks have key players back including Nicho Hynes who was cleared to play after a downgraded charge, giving them a significant playmaking edge. The Roosters are fielding the same squad from Round 27, indicating no major injury concerns and full strength.
  • The match venue at Sharks Stadium favors the home team, though the Roosters have experience playing under high finals pressure and momentum from a strong winning streak. Weather and referee details are not suggestive of any game-impacting conditions.
  • The Sharks have strong motivation to redeem themselves after a prior loss and have recently been on a winning run, aiming to defend home advantage. The Roosters are motivated to maintain their undefeated season momentum and secure a home semi-final, adding intensity to their gameplay.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 118, Sydney Roosters: -132, Draw: 1800 Sydney Roosters win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 2.5 -115, Sydney Roosters: -2.5 -115 Sydney Roosters -2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 45.5: -115, Under 45.5: -115 Under 45.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sydney Roosters -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sydney Roosters are favored to win given their undefeated season, head-to-head dominance, and current momentum, but the Sharks' home advantage and recent strong form make this a closely contested match with potential for an upset.

Predicted Score: Sydney Roosters 24 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Accor Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

This NRL Round 27 match features the Canterbury Bulldogs hosting the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at Accor Stadium. The Bulldogs have shown a remarkable mid-season resurgence and are currently in strong form, while the Sharks bring consistent, finals-experienced composure to this late-season clash. Expect a balanced contest with an emphasis on defense and tactical play, where momentum meets experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canterbury Bulldogs have improved significantly, currently ranked 5th in power rankings with a strong surge in form and an improved defensive structure. Cronulla Sharks, ranked 10th, maintain consistent performance, leveraging their finals experience and steady form.
  • The matchup pits a rising force (Bulldogs) against an established power (Sharks). Previous encounters suggest tight margins, with both teams capable of scoring points, but the Sharks have an edge in finals temperament.
  • No specific injury updates are provided in the available data. The absence of key players could impact team dynamics; however, both teams appear close to full strength given the high stakes.
  • Playing at home in Sydney's Accor Stadium, the Bulldogs benefit from home-ground support and momentum generated by their recent revival. Weather and field conditions are not noted as a disrupting factor.
  • Bulldogs are motivated by their resurgence and the drive to maintain momentum heading towards finals, while the Sharks aim to leverage their finals experience to secure a vital win and maintain playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -174, Cronulla Sharks: 151, Draw: 2000 Canterbury Bulldogs to win ★★★☆☆ 53%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5: -110, Cronulla Sharks +4.5: -120 Canterbury Bulldogs to cover -4.5 points ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over 44.5: -113, Under 44.5: -113 Over 44.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 44.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 44.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match with the Bulldogs narrowly edging due to momentum and home advantage. The Sharks’ finals experience makes it a close finish likely decided in the final moments, potentially by a single point.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – Cronulla Sharks 23


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Newcastle Knights Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Newcastle Knights – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium

Game Overview

The Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Newcastle Knights at Sharks Stadium in Round 26 of the 2025 NRL season. The Sharks come into the match well-rested, aiming to maintain their strong home winning streak and secure finals football. In contrast, the Knights are desperate to end a losing streak and play for pride heading towards the season's run home. The match is part of a significant double-header including the NRLW fixture and features key battles across the field, including dynamic playmakers and prolific finishers from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Sharks have won their last five games at home and boast key returns such as KL Iro from injury, strengthening their centre position. The Knights have had a challenging recent form but feature in-form players like winger Dominic Young, who scored six tries recently against the Sharks, and fullback Dane Gagai, who is a top league performer in tackle breaks. Both teams average around a 78% set completion rate, indicating efficient ball handling. The Sharks’ defensive solidity at home contrasts with the Knights’ motivation to end a slump.
  • Since 1988, the teams have met 62 times with the Knights leading 32 wins to the Sharks' 29, and 1 draw. Recently, the two clubs are evenly matched in their latest encounters (1 win each since 2023). The Sharks have edge in recent home form, including a 5-game win streak at Sharks Stadium.
  • For the Sharks, key injury absentee is Cameron McInnes (lock) out for the season. KL Iro returns from a pectoral injury, with Braden Hamlin-Uele added to the bench. Newcastle has brought in fresh players like Greg Marzhew and Jack Hetherington, but there are no major injury concerns reported for their main squad.
  • The match is part of a high-profile double-header and will be officiated by experienced referees such as Gerard Sutton. The Sharks have home ground advantage, playing at Sharks Stadium, which has been a fortress for them this season. Weather or pitch conditions for August 31 in this venue are expected to be neutral and favorable for a fast-paced game.
  • The Sharks are motivated to secure a finals position and maintain home dominance. The Knights seek to halt a losing streak and finish the season strongly, adding urgency and fighting spirit. This psychological contrast could influence intensity and risk-taking in the game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -725, Newcastle Knights: 550, Draw: 3300 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -17.5: -115, Newcastle Knights +17.5: -115 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to cover -17.5 spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Over 49.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are predicted to win comfortably at home, leveraging their strong form, home advantage, and the Knights' recent struggles. The Sharks’ defensive prowess and attacking depth are likely to control the match tempo and scoring.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 28 – 10 Newcastle Knights


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Gold Coast Titans Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Gold Coast Titans – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Shark Park, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The match features the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks hosting the Gold Coast Titans at Shark Park. The Sharks have had a poor recent home form with just one win in their last five games at this venue, while the Titans hold a positive recent record here, having won their only previous match at Shark Park in 2023. The Titans have been inconsistent lately with multiple losses in recent matches, whereas the Sharks also face challenges including key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks have struggled on their home ground with only one win from their last five matches at Shark Park. Gold Coast Titans have had an inconsistent season with more recent losses, including three defeats in four matches without their fullback Jaime Chapman. Sharks winger Georgia Ravics is in strong try-scoring form, having scored seven tries in her last five games. The Titans' defense has been tested by injuries and inconsistent scoring.
  • The Titans have won their only previous match at Shark Park against the Sharks in 2023, 10-8. Overall head-to-heads tend to be competitive but the Sharks traditionally have the home advantage.
  • Sharks hooker Quincy Dodd is out with an ankle injury, marking her first missed game. The Titans are missing key fullback Jaime Chapman, which has correlated with recent losses for them.
  • The game is played at Shark Park in Sydney, favoring the Sharks due to familiarity although recent home form is poor. Weather and other external conditions are not indicated to be significant factors currently.
  • The Sharks will be motivated to improve their home form late in the season and leverage strong individual form from key players like Georgia Ravics. The Titans are determined to regain momentum despite injuries to important players and recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -290, Gold Coast Titans: 220, Draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -10.5: -110, Gold Coast Titans +10.5: -120 Cronulla Sharks to cover -10.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 51.5: -115, Under 51.5: -115 Over 51.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Sharks' poor recent home performance, their home advantage, key player form, and the Titans’ injury setbacks give Cronulla a good edge. Expect a competitive match but with a likely Sharks win by a moderate margin.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 28 – 16 Gold Coast Titans


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-09
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

In Round 23 of the 2025 NRL season, the St George Illawarra Dragons host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at Jubilee Stadium. Both teams are positioned mid-table, with the Dragons in 9th and Sharks in 8th place. The Dragons seek to rebound from recent losses and their poor home form, while the Sharks aim to extend their unbeaten streak against the Dragons amidst injury challenges.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Dragons have lost their last four games played at Jubilee Stadium and are currently struggling for form at home. Meanwhile, the Sharks have won both their encounters against the Dragons this season and maintain a psychological edge. Both teams are coming off defeats last week, indicating vulnerabilities in their recent performances.
  • Cronulla Sharks have never lost to the St George Illawarra Dragons in the current season and hold a clean slate against them. Their 2-0 advantage and ability to maintain pressure in these matchups is a key factor favoring the Sharks.
  • The Sharks face a significant injury toll, including the loss of captain Tiana Penitani Gray due to concussion, weakening their backline options. The Dragons have no major recent injury reports but must overcome confidence issues from their losing streak.
  • The match is played at the Dragons' home ground, Jubilee Stadium, but with no public parking and limited street parking, fan turnout and atmosphere might be subdued, potentially affecting home advantage. Weather or other environmental conditions were not reported as notable factors.
  • Both teams are eager to snap poor runs: Dragons to recover from four consecutive home losses and the Sharks to maintain dominance over a local rival. The Sharks' unbeaten head-to-head record adds to their motivation, while the Dragons will be motivated to end that streak and improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -205, St George Illawarra Dragons: 172, Draw: 2200 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -7.5 -115, St George Illawarra Dragons: +7.5 -115 Cronulla Sharks to cover -7.5 spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -115, Under: 46.5 -115 Under 46.5 total points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Dragons' home advantage, the Cronulla Sharks are favored to win due to superior head-to-head form and the psychological edge. The Sharks' resilience despite injuries suggests a hard-fought but likely Sharks victory.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 24 – 16 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 22 clash between the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and North Queensland Cowboys promises a highly competitive and closely matched encounter. Both teams are fighting for valuable competition points with the Sharks currently sitting seventh and the Cowboys eleventh on the ladder. The Sharks have the home ground advantage at Sharks Stadium, with vocal support expected, while the Cowboys bring recent road resilience. The game is projected as a balanced contest with moderate scoring and strong defensive pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cronulla Sharks come into the match riding a three-game winning streak and are looking to regain their attacking mojo after a gritty win over South Sydney. The return of key attacking players Siosifa Talakai and Briton Nikora notably strengthens their lineup. The Cowboys, meanwhile, have shown strong attacking form recently, highlighted by a thrilling 38-32 victory over the Dragons, led by halfback Tom Dearden who has been in outstanding form following his State of Origin heroics. However, defensive weaknesses remain a concern for North Queensland.
  • Recent head-to-head clashes between the Sharks and Cowboys have been very balanced, with recent results split evenly. Power rankings place Sharks slightly higher (13th vs. 7th for Cowboys) but offensive outputs are nearly identical. The defensive edge is marginally in favor of the Sharks. Both teams' consistency this season further indicates the game will be tightly contested.
  • The Sharks benefit from the return of impactful players Siosifa Talakai and Briton Nikora who enhance their attacking threats on the edges. No significant injury issues reported for either side ahead of the match, giving both teams near full strength lineups.
  • The Sharks Stadium atmosphere is seen as intimidating, typically giving the home side an edge. However, the Cowboys have demonstrated strong mental resilience and ability to perform under hostile conditions during their road matches. Weather and field conditions for the match day are currently favorable, with no reported disruptions.
  • Cronulla is motivated to consolidate their position in the top eight, currently sitting two points clear of the ninth-placed Sea Eagles in a congested ladder. The Cowboys, in eleventh place, are eager to capitalize on recent attacking form and remain in finals contention, making this game critical for both sides.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla_Sutherland_Sharks: -240, North_Queensland_Cowboys: 205, Draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks win ★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread Cronulla_Sutherland_Sharks_-8.5: -110, North_Queensland_Cowboys_+8.5: -120 Cronulla Sharks to cover the -8.5 spread narrowly ★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under Over_48.5: -115, Under_48.5: -115 Under 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The prediction leans towards a narrow home victory for the Cronulla Sharks, given their home advantage, slight defensive edge, and return of key attacking players. The margin is expected to be close, within a single converted try difference, with a moderate total score reflecting strong defensive efforts from both sides.

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 24 – North Queensland Cowboys 20


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-26
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Industree Group Stadium, Gosford

Game Overview

The South Sydney Rabbitohs host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in a crucial mid-season NRL clash. The Rabbitohs have struggled for form and consistency this year, while the Sharks are pushing for a top-four finish. The neutral venue in Gosford removes traditional home advantage, leveling the playing field for both sides. Cronulla is favored due to superior recent form, but the margin is expected to be tighter than the bookies' lines suggest[1].

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Sharks have been more consistent, averaging nearly 6 more points per game than the Rabbitohs, with a stronger defense and upward-trending form. South Sydney, in contrast, has been sliding down the ladder and will be desperate to turn their season around[1]. The Rabbitohs managed to salvage some pride by winning the second half in their previous encounter, but the Sharks' early dominance proved decisive in a 27-12 victory earlier in the season[2].
  • Recent head-to-head results have been surprisingly competitive, but Cronulla holds a clear edge in attack and defense. Their power ranking of 9.0 (vs. Souths' 13.5) further underscores their superiority[1]. The last meeting saw Cronulla dominate early and hold on for a solid win, with key players like Nicho Hynes and Blayke Brailey making significant impacts[2][5].
  • No specific injury updates are available in the provided sources, but team news closer to game time should be monitored for last-minute changes.
  • The game is played at a neutral venue (Industree Group Stadium), which removes home ground advantage and creates a more even contest[1]. Gosford's conditions may favor a grind, given the predicted total (see below).
  • Cronulla is motivated to cement a top-four spot, while South Sydney is desperate to revive their season. The psychological edge could be with the Sharks, but the Rabbitohs will be fighting for survival[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sharks: -435, Rabbitohs: 350, Draw: 2500 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks ★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread Sharks -12.5: -110, Rabbitohs +12.5: -120 Rabbitohs +12.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -125, Under 47.5: -105 Under 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks -30%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cronulla Sutherland Sharks are favored to win, but the margin will likely be closer than the bookies' 12.5-point spread suggests, reflecting the Rabbitohs' desperation and the neutral venue. Expect a low-scoring, grinding affair with defense dominating. The predicted total (over/under) is below the bookmakers' line, so the under is the value play. However, Cronulla’s superior consistency and firepower should see them through, though not by a blowout[1].

Predicted Score: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 20 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 17


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-11
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 19 NRL match sees the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks host the Dolphins at Sharks Stadium. Both teams are coming off a bye week, offering rest and preparation time. The Sharks, currently 10th on the ladder, seek to break a recent two-game losing streak and regain home form. The Dolphins, positioned 7th, aim to consolidate their top-eight standing after a strong recent victory over South Sydney.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Sharks have struggled recently, winning only one of their last five games, but remain formidable at home. The Dolphins have been in excellent form, scoring 184 points in their past four games and boasting top performers like Herbie Farnworth with nine tries in 10 games. Sharks winger Ronaldo Mulitalo has been prolific at home with 38 tries in 37 games. The Dolphins' injury to Kodi Nikorima brings Isaiya Katoa into a larger playmaking role, potentially strengthening their attack.
  • Historically, the Dolphins have dominated, winning both of the only two previous meetings against the Sharks, including a narrow 30-28 win at Sharks Stadium in 2024. The Sharks have yet to defeat the Dolphins in NRL competition.
  • The Dolphins are missing Kodi Nikorima due to a hamstring injury, which could impact their halfback dynamics. No major injury concerns reported for the Sharks, with Craig Fitzgibbon naming a familiar squad to maintain consistency.
  • Both teams are well-rested after a bye week, which should level physical readiness. The match will take place in Sydney, favoring the Sharks' home advantage. The game is scheduled for an evening kickoff and will be broadcast live on multiple platforms, ensuring maximum exposure and motivation.
  • The Sharks are motivated to halt their losing streak and strengthen their finals chances, while the Dolphins look to solidify and improve their top-eight position after a dominant performance before the bye. Emerging players like Isaiya Katoa add a confidence boost to the Dolphins.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -152, Dolphins: 132, Draw: 2100 Dolphins win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: -3.5 (-115), Dolphins: +3.5 (-115) Dolphins +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 46.5: -115, Under 46.5: -115 Over 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks 40%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks at 40% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Dolphins hold the edge given recent form, head-to-head dominance, and offensive potency. However, the Sharks' home advantage and their strong individual performers like Mulitalo make this a tightly contested match. A close win to the Dolphins is the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Dolphins 28 – Sharks 24


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