Match Analysis: Corey Anderson vs Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-03
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: PFL Champions Series 3 (venue unspecified)

Game Overview

Corey Anderson and Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov face off in a PFL Light Heavyweight World Title rematch, with Anderson as the reigning champion defending his belt on October 3, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

• Corey Anderson boasts a strong recent form with a 3-1 run over the last three years, including a TKO win in his most recent fight on July 19, 2025. He is currently the PFL Light Heavyweight World Champion with solid experience across top promotions. Yagshimuradov, while a skilled opponent, has lacked recent high-profile wins comparable to Anderson’s, making his momentum less pronounced.
• This is a rematch scenario, where Anderson’s past dominance and championship status suggest superiority. Anderson previously defeated Karl Moore decisively, while details on direct prior encounters with Yagshimuradov are limited, indicating Anderson as the likely favorite.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, indicating both will likely enter at full health and preparedness.
• The bout is a high-stakes title fight within the PFL Champions Series, streamed exclusively on ESPN Unlimited. There is no evident disruption or external disadvantage affecting either fighter.
• Anderson is motivated to defend his inaugural PFL Light Heavyweight title and continue his championship reign. Yagshimuradov has high motivation to reclaim the title and avenge previous results, but Anderson’s established champion status enhances his psychological advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -210, away: 180	Corey Anderson	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	home: -110, away: -110, line: -1.5	Corey Anderson -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	over: 120, under: -140, line: 3.5	Under 3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Corey Anderson -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Corey Anderson wins by moneyline

Predicted Score: Corey Anderson wins by decision or TKO before round 4

Match Analysis: Denis Goltsov vs Corey Anderson – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: July 19, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The matchup between Denis Goltsov and Corey Anderson is a compelling heavyweight bout. Both fighters have shown resilience in their careers, with Goltsov previously winning a million dollars against Oleg Popov. Anderson, known for his grappling skills, must navigate Goltsov's powerful striking to secure a victory.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have solid records, with more knockout wins than submissions. Anderson's recent form at heavyweight is less experienced, while Goltsov has faced tougher heavyweight opponents.
• No previous head-to-head fight between them.
• No reported injuries.
• The fight is part of the PFL Africa series, which may influence fighter strategy.
• Both fighters are motivated by the potential for a significant win and financial gain.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Corey Anderson: 130, Denis Goltsov: -160	Denis Goltsov	★★★☆☆ 64%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Denis Goltsov 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Denis Goltsov at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Denis Goltsov has an edge due to his experience at heavyweight and recent success, but Corey Anderson's grappling could pose a threat.

Predicted Score: Denis Goltsov via TKO/KO