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Match Analysis: Conor McCarthy vs Diego Visanzay – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

This Lightweight main card fight between Conor McCarthy and Diego Visanzay is part of Cage Warriors 194. Both fighters enter the cage with solid backgrounds but no fight has started yet. The clash pits McCarthy, a 29-year-old Irish fighter with a height of 170 cm and reach of 1.7 m, against Visanzay, a Spanish fighter standing 181 cm tall with a 1.81 m reach. The fight is anticipated to showcase a range of striking and grappling techniques, typical to the lightweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Conor McCarthy typically displays strong ground game proficiency and effective stand-up striking. Diego Visanzay, with slightly greater height and reach, is known for a technical approach emphasizing distance control and grappling defense. Both fighters have competitive recent performances though no head-to-head encounters exist.
• No previous fight or direct matchup data is available between Conor McCarthy and Diego Visanzay, resulting in an unknown dynamic for the upcoming fight.
• No reported injuries for either Conor McCarthy or Diego Visanzay impacting their preparation or expected performance going into this bout.
• The fight is held at RDS in Dublin, Ireland, which could confer slight home advantage to Conor McCarthy due to local support and familiarity with the venue conditions. Event date timing has no apparent adverse external disruptions.
• Both fighters are motivated to make a statement on the Cage Warriors main card. McCarthy, fighting on home soil, has the incentive to capitalize on crowd support, while Visanzay aims to leverage his size advantage and claim a significant victory on foreign ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Conor McCarthy: -145, Diego Visanzay: +120, Draw: +2000	Conor McCarthy to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Conor McCarthy -1.5: -110, Diego Visanzay +1.5: -110	Conor McCarthy covers -1.5 spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Conor McCarthy is predicted to narrowly win by decision or late-round submission, leveraging home advantage and aggressive grappling. Diego Visanzay's striking and reach advantage make him a credible threat, but the edge goes to McCarthy in a competitive lightweight clash.

Predicted Score: McCarthy wins by unanimous decision or submission in round 3 or 4

Match Analysis: Conor McCarthy vs Joshua Onwordi – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Cage Warriors event venue (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match features Conor McCarthy facing Joshua Onwordi on April 26, 2025. McCarthy, originally scheduled to fight a different opponent, now meets Onwordi following a last-minute change. McCarthy is a strong Cage Warriors contender with a recent winning streak, including unanimous decision victories, while Onwordi is an underdog but brings his own skill set and motivation into this fight.

Key Factors to Consider

• Conor McCarthy has demonstrated consistent performance recently, winning his last several matches predominantly via unanimous decisions and some TKOs. This showcases his ability to maintain control and outlast opponents. Joshua Onwordi, while less favored, may have some momentum and motivation due to stepping in as a replacement opponent.
• There is no recorded previous head-to-head match between Conor McCarthy and Joshua Onwordi, making this fight their first encounter[1][3].
• No publicly known injuries have been reported for either fighter ahead of this match, suggesting both competitors will likely enter in full health.
• With the opponent switch for McCarthy, preparation dynamics may be slightly altered. Additionally, McCarthy fights in Cage Warriors events where he has prior experience, which could provide a home-cage advantage mentally. No other external factors like weather or travel appear significant.
• Conor McCarthy is motivated to maintain his winning streak and assert dominance in the Cage Warriors scene. Joshua Onwordi may be highly motivated as a late replacement, eager to capitalize on the opportunity to make a statement against a favored opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Conor McCarthy: -1000, Joshua Onwordi: 550	Conor McCarthy	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Conor McCarthy: -1.5 rounds (-300), Joshua Onwordi: +1.5 rounds (+250)	Conor McCarthy -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Conor McCarthy -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Conor McCarthy at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Conor McCarthy is strongly favored to win this bout due to his superior track record, experience, and recent form. While Joshua Onwordi may present challenges, McCarthy’s control and endurance advantage suggest a likely decision or TKO victory.

Predicted Score: Conor McCarthy wins by unanimous decision (3 rounds)