Match Analysis: Connor Wilson vs Florian Doskja – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester
Game Overview
The upcoming flyweight MMA bout at Cage Warriors 191 features Connor Wilson vs Florian Doskja on June 28, 2025, at the BEC Arena in Manchester. Both fighters are preparing for a competitive matchup, with Wilson entering as the betting favorite based on current odds. The fight represents a key opportunity for both fighters to advance their standings within the flyweight division.
Key Factors to Consider
- Connor Wilson has shown strong recent performances in the flyweight division, demonstrating solid striking and grappling skills. Florian Doskja has also been competitive but has a slightly less consistent recent record compared to Wilson. Overall, Wilson's technical proficiency and conditioning give him an edge.
- No documented past matchups are found between Connor Wilson and Florian Doskja, making this their first competitive encounter. This introduces an element of uncertainty but also equalizes experience-based assumptions between the two.
- No publicly disclosed injuries or medical suspensions have been reported for either fighter ahead of the match, suggesting both athletes are in optimal competing condition.
- The fight takes place in Manchester, favoring Connor Wilson as the 'home' fighter, potentially boosting his morale and fan support. No travel or altitude-related factors appear to impact either competitor significantly.
- Connor Wilson appears highly motivated, with recent social media indications highlighting his focus on this fight as a pivotal step in his career. Florian Doskja is equally motivated to make a statement in the Cage Warriors flyweight division, aiming to upset the odds.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Connor Wilson: -250, Florian Doskja: 170 | Connor Wilson to win | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Connor Wilson -1.5: -110, Florian Doskja +1.5: -110 | Connor Wilson to cover the spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 Rounds: -115, Under 2.5 Rounds: -105 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Connor Wilson -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Connor Wilson at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Connor Wilson is projected to win by a decision or late stoppage given his favored odds, better consistency, and home advantage. Florian Doskja may challenge strongly, but the probability leans significantly towards Wilson prevailing.
Predicted Score: Connor Wilson wins by unanimous decision in 3 rounds