Match Analysis: Connor Patterson vs Jake McHugh – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle, England

Game Overview

Featherweight main card fight at Cage Warriors 193 between Connor Patterson and Jake McHugh scheduled for September 13, 2025. Both fighters have shown mixed recent form, with Patterson favored on the moneyline.

Key Factors to Consider

• Connor Patterson has a slightly more consistent recent record with winning momentum, whereas Jake McHugh shows more variability in performance. Patterson’s striking accuracy and control in grappling exchanges marginally outpace McHugh’s recent stats.
• No recorded direct head-to-head fights between Connor Patterson and Jake McHugh, making this a first matchup with no direct performance comparison.
• No publicly reported current injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight takes place at a home-country venue for both fighters from the UK, neutralizing potential crowd advantage. No known external distractions or issues affecting performance.
• Both fighters are motivated to establish status in Cage Warriors featherweight division, but Patterson’s recent upward trajectory in rankings suggests slightly higher motivation and confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Connor Patterson -135, Jake McHugh -105	Connor Patterson	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Connor Patterson -1.5 rounds (-120), Jake McHugh +1.5 rounds (-110)	Connor Patterson -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds (-115), Under 2.5 rounds (-105)	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Connor Patterson 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Connor Patterson at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Connor Patterson to win by moneyline; Patterson to cover -1.5 rounds spread; fight to go under 2.5 rounds.

Predicted Score: Connor Patterson wins by TKO in round 2