Match Analysis: Yadier DelValle vs Connor Matthews – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-17
- Time: 10:10 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Vegas 106
Game Overview
Yadier DelValle faces Connor Matthews in a UFC Featherweight Prelims fight on May 17, 2025. DelValle, undefeated with a 8-0 record, is making his UFC debut after a strong performance on Dana White's Contender Series. Matthews holds a 7-3 record but has struggled in his UFC bouts, taking this fight on short notice.
Key Factors to Consider
- DelValle's persistent pressure and recent form are key advantages. Matthews has shown resilience but faces challenges in his UFC career.
- This is their first meeting.
- No reported injuries.
- DelValle's pressure and Matthews' short preparation time are significant factors.
- DelValle is highly motivated for his UFC debut, while Matthews is looking to bounce back from recent losses.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yadier DelValle: -500, Connor Matthews: 380 | Yadier DelValle | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | DelValle: -3.5 -205, Matthews: 3.5 150 | DelValle covers | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -135, Under: 2.5 105 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Yadier DelValle -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
DelValle is favored to win due to his recent form and aggressive style.
Predicted Score: DelValle wins by decision or late stoppage.