Match Analysis: Connor Hughes vs Gino van Steenis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-26
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Zenith Nantes Metropole, France
Game Overview
The lightweight bout at PFL Europe 3 features England's Connor Hughes (11-2) against Spain's Gino van Steenis (6-1). Hughes is known for his hard-hitting KO power and riding momentum from a recent devastating KO victory. Van Steenis presents a well-rounded skillset and is considered a tough opponent aiming to upset Hughes.
Key Factors to Consider
- Connor Hughes has demonstrated significant striking power with recent KO wins, showing momentum and confidence. Gino van Steenis has an excellent record with only one loss and a balanced fighting style, but less recent knockout hype.
- No recorded previous matchups between Hughes and van Steenis, making this a fresh contest with no direct past outcomes.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this fight, both are expected to compete at full health.
- Fight takes place in France, neutral ground likely minimizing home advantage. Hughes fights with confidence from a recent knockout while van Steenis shows tactical composure as a technical striker.
- Both fighters are motivated to advance in the PFL Europe lightweight tournament and secure momentum for the $100,000 purse and championship, but Hughes appears slightly more motivated based on recent striking success and crowd momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Connor Hughes: -290, Gino van Steenis: 225 | Connor Hughes | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Connor Hughes -1.5: -185, Gino van Steenis +1.5: 155 | Connor Hughes -1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5 Rounds: -140, Under 1.5 Rounds: 110 | Under 1.5 Rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Connor Hughes -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Connor Hughes at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Connor Hughes to win on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Connor Hughes wins by 2nd round KO