Match Analysis: FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: TQL Stadium, Cincinnati, USA
Game Overview
FC Cincinnati hosts Columbus Crew SC in an MLS playoff match where Cincinnati holds home advantage and better recent form, while Columbus has struggled on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Cincinnati are 2-2 in their last 5 games, with a strong home record (unbeaten last 4 home fixtures) and have won 5 of their last 7 overall. Columbus Crew have won only 2 of their last 7 games and just 1 of their last 8 road games.
- In this MLS season, FC Cincinnati and Columbus Crew split results evenly in previous encounters with balanced historical performance; however, Cincinnati has a slight edge at home.
- Columbus Crew misses key forwards including M. Farsi, W. Abou Ali, and D. Rossi, which could impact their attacking potential. FC Cincinnati's lineup is relatively stable with standard starters expected.
- The match is at Cincinnatiβs TQL Stadium, offering home crowd support to FC Cincinnati and no major adverse external influences reported.
- FC Cincinnati aims to rebound strongly after a recent heavy defeat and progress in playoffs. Columbus seeks to overturn poor away form but carries less momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC: 168, FC Cincinnati: 148, Draw: 265 | FC Cincinnati | β β β β β 72% |
| Spread | Columbus Crew SC 0: 100, FC Cincinnati 0: -120 | FC Cincinnati 0 | β β β ββ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -110, Under 3: -110 | Under 3 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Cincinnati 36% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 15% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Cincinnati at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline pick: FC Cincinnati to win; Spread pick: FC Cincinnati -0; Over/Under pick: Under 3 goals
Predicted Score: 2-1