Match Analysis: Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: America First Field, Sandy, UT
Game Overview
The Colorado Rapids host Minnesota United FC in an MLS Western Conference late-season clash. Colorado is fighting for playoff positioning with a middling form, while Minnesota has secured a playoff spot but enters with recent losses. The teams are close statistically, but the Rapids have home advantage and a history of outperforming Minnesota in head-to-head meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado Rapids have an 11-6-14 record with a negative goal differential (-11) and 7 clean sheets, conceding 52 goals mostly due to defensive vulnerabilities. Minnesota United is more secure in playoff position but has lost two of their previous three matches.
- Colorado holds a stronger historical record with 20 wins to Minnesotaβs 8 in their head-to-head, including a recent 2-1 win in August that ended a four-game winless streak.
- No critical injuries reported for either side, with both starting goalkeepers expected: Zack Steffen (Colorado) and Dayne St. Clair (Minnesota).
- Home advantage for Colorado at America First Field is significant given altitude and pitch familiarity. The match location benefits the Rapids.
- Colorado needs points to improve playoff standing while Minnesota, already qualified, might have less urgency, possibly affecting motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: +123, away: +186, draw: +280 | home | β β β ββ 68% |
Spread | home_minus_50: 117, away_plus_50: -156 | home -0.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Over/under | over_3.5: 132, under_3.5: -175 | under 3.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Colorado Rapids 98% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3.5 -3% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Colorado Rapids at 98% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Rapids to win on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, with a moderately high-scoring game going under 3.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 2-1