Match Analysis: Colorado Buffaloes vs Arizona State Sun Devils – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 22, 2025
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Folsom Field, Boulder, Colorado
Game Overview
Arizona State Sun Devils (7-3, 5-2 Big 12) travel to face the Colorado Buffaloes (3-7, 1-6 Big 12) in a Big 12 conference matchup. Arizona State enters as a heavy favorite with a -270 moneyline, reflecting their significantly stronger record and conference standing. Colorado sits near the bottom of the Big 12 standings and has struggled this season, making this an ideal opportunity for Arizona State to secure a road victory against a depleted opponent.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arizona State has been competitive in the Big 12 with a 5-2 conference record, placing them in the middle tier of the conference standings. Colorado is struggling at 1-6 in Big 12 play with only 3 total wins on the season, sitting in the bottom half of the conference. Arizona State's overall record of 7-3 demonstrates consistency, while Colorado's 3-7 mark shows significant offensive and defensive issues. On the road, Arizona State has gone 2-2 ATS in 2025, suggesting some variability in their away performance. Colorado has struggled considerably in road games, posting an 0-4 ATS record away from home.
- Historical head-to-head data between these programs is not available in the provided search results. However, the current matchup represents a significant talent and momentum disparity, with Arizona State being a clear technical and procedural favorite.
- Specific injury information is not provided in the available search results. This represents a data gap that would require additional research to properly assess impact on team availability and performance.
- Weather conditions at Folsom Field show 46 degrees Fahrenheit with 0% chance of rain, providing neutral playing conditions that favor neither team. The neutral weather suggests the game will be decided primarily by team quality and execution rather than environmental factors.
- Arizona State has strong motivation to maintain their position in the Big 12 standings and secure a road victory. Colorado, despite being significant underdogs, may have motivation to avoid further losses and show competitive fight at home. However, Colorado's 1-6 conference record suggests momentum is heavily in Arizona State's favor.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona State -270 | Colorado +220 | Arizona State Sun Devils | ★★★★☆ 88% |
| Spread | Arizona State -7 -108 | Colorado +7 -112 | Arizona State -7 | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Over/under | Over 48.5 -108 | Under 48.5 -112 | Over 48.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arizona State Sun Devils 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 48.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arizona State Sun Devils are expected to win convincingly. The Sun Devils should capitalize on their superior talent, coaching, and Big 12 standing to secure a decisive road victory. Colorado's weak defensive performance and offensive struggles this season make them vulnerable to Arizona State's more balanced approach. Expect Arizona State to control the tempo and win by a margin exceeding the 7-point spread.
Predicted Score: Arizona State 31, Colorado 17