Match Analysis: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Game Overview
Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) faces Cody Haddon (8-1) at UFC 322 in a bantamweight bout at 135 lbs. Wellmaker is a longer switch stance fighter with strong grappling skills and high strike accuracy, while Haddon is a shorter orthodox striker with higher volume but lower accuracy. Both fighters have solid defense but contrasting fighting styles set the tone for a tactical matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wellmaker boasts an undefeated record (10-0) with a recent first-round KO win, showing efficient striking and grappling. Haddon has an 8-1 record with higher striking volume but lower connect rate, favoring stand-up exchanges.
- No prior head-to-head meetings. Styles contrast with Wellmaker favoring grappling control and powerful precision strikes, while Haddon relies on volume and speed.
- No known recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear healthy and prepared.
- Fight hosted at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue favoring neither fighter. No notable external distractions or motivation impacts.
- Wellmaker motivated to maintain undefeated streak and ascend rankings, Haddon eager to prove himself against an undefeated opponent. Slight edge to Wellmaker for title contention aspirations.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Malcolm Wellmaker -155, Cody Haddon +130 | Malcolm Wellmaker | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Spread | Malcolm Wellmaker -3.5 -120, Cody Haddon +3.5 -110 | Malcolm Wellmaker -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 +120, Under 2.5 -154 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Malcolm Wellmaker -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 19% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Malcolm Wellmaker to win by decision
Predicted Score: Wellmaker wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds