Match Analysis: Cody Garbrandt vs Raoni Barcelos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: June 14, 2025
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia
Game Overview
Cody Garbrandt faces Raoni Barcelos in a bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Night in Atlanta. Garbrandt seeks to rebound from a loss to Deiveson Figueiredo, while Barcelos looks to build on his recent win over Payton Talbott.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both fighters have strong MMA backgrounds, with Garbrandt being a former UFC bantamweight champion and Barcelos being a fringe contender. Garbrandt has a takedown accuracy of 34% and a takedown defense of 80%, while Barcelos is known for his well-rounded skills.
- This is their first meeting, providing no prior head-to-head data.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
- The fight is part of UFC Fight Night, with Garbrandt looking to recoup from a recent loss and Barcelos aiming to continue his winning form.
- Both fighters are highly motivated, with Garbrandt seeking redemption and Barcelos looking to move up the rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cody Garbrandt +164, Raoni Barcelos -198 | Raoni Barcelos | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Spread | Cody Garbrandt +3.5 -160, Raoni Barcelos -3.5 +115 | Cody Garbrandt +3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 -140, Under 2.5 +110 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Raoni Barcelos -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 1% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Raoni Barcelos is favored to win, given his recent performance and Garbrandt's struggle against top-tier opponents.
Predicted Score: Decision or late stoppage in favor of Raoni Barcelos.