Match Analysis: Phumi Nkuta vs Cody Davis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-20
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Seneca Allegany Resort and Casino, Salamanca, New York, United States
Game Overview
A key flyweight matchup at LFA 211 features Phumi Nkuta (9-0), a rising undefeated prospect training with UFC champions, versus Cody Davis (10-2), a former LFA flyweight champion with extensive experience in the promotion. This fight is the co-main event and is seen as a battle between two of the most highly regarded 125-pound prospects in MMA. Nkuta seeks to continue his undefeated streak, while Davis aims to reclaim his former title contention status by handing Nkuta his first loss[2][3][4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Phumi Nkuta is undefeated (9-0) and coming off a notable win in his LFA debut. He trains with high-level fighters and has shown excellent grappling and striking. Cody Davis holds a strong record (10-2), with six wins inside the LFA octagon and experience in championship bouts. He is known for his well-rounded skills and ability to compete at a high pace[2][4].
- No prior head-to-head matchups between Nkuta and Davis. Both are top prospects at flyweight[2][3].
- No reported injuries for either fighter at this time[4].
- Nkuta fights close to home in New York, which may provide a slight advantage in crowd support. There are no notable weather or venue issues expected[2][3].
- Nkuta is highly motivated to continue his unbeaten streak and make a case for a future UFC contract. Davis is motivated to reclaim his former title and prove himself against a top prospect[2][3].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phumi Nkuta: -240, Cody Davis: +165 | Phumi Nkuta wins | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phumi Nkuta -4% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Phumi Nkuta at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Phumi Nkuta is favored by the odds and enters with momentum from his recent main event win and undefeated record. However, Cody Davis is a proven former champion with deep experience in the LFA. Expect a competitive fight, but Nkuta's current form and training environment edge him the nod. The most likely scenario is a win for Nkuta, potentially via decision or late finish.
Predicted Score: Phumi Nkuta by Unanimous Decision (29-28, 30-27, 30-27)