Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

A middleweight contest featuring Eric McConico (9-3-1) and Cody Brundage (11-6-1), both standing 6'0" and weighing 185 lbs. Brundage fights orthodox with a 72" reach, McConico is a southpaw with a 77" reach advantage. Brundage has a higher significant strike accuracy and lower absorption per minute, while McConico has better significant strike defense percentage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brundage has a more active and accurate striking approach, landing 2.23 significant strikes per minute at 52% accuracy compared to McConico's 0.90 strikes per minute at 38%. McConico shows a slight edge in defensive strike absorption (52%) over Brundage (46%).
• No recorded previous matchups between the two fighters.
• No public information or recent injury reports affecting either fighter prior to the bout.
• Fight taking place at UFC Apex, a neutral site favoring neither fighter; McConico is older (35) versus younger Brundage (31), potentially impacting stamina.
• Brundage appears motivated to improve his winning consistency after an 11-6-1 record; McConico’s fewer fights may add unpredictability but less recent activity might impact sharpness.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brundage -160 / McConico +140	Cody Brundage	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 1.5 (+115) / Under 1.5 (-135)	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cody Brundage -3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cody Brundage to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Cody Brundage wins by decision or late stoppage before Round 2

Match Analysis: Cody Brundage vs Mansur Abdul-Malik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-15
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Game Overview

Middleweight bout between Cody Brundage and undefeated Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC Atlanta. Brundage, a UFC veteran, is the underdog, while Mansur Abdul-Malik enters with an unblemished record and significant betting favor. Both fighters discussed their preparations and mental approach in recent media appearances, with Brundage expressing confidence despite the betting odds[2][4].

Key Factors to Consider

• Mansur Abdul-Malik is undefeated and viewed as a high-potential prospect, while Cody Brundage has more UFC experience but has faced recent ups and downs. Brundage remains confident, emphasizing his veteran status and adaptability[2][4].
• No prior fights between the two.
• No reported injuries leading into the fight.
• Event takes place in Atlanta; no major travel or environmental concerns noted.
• Brundage is motivated to upset a top prospect and regain momentum. Abdul-Malik aims to maintain his unbeaten streak and make a statement in the division[2][4].

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Brundage: +550, Mansur Abdul-Malik: -800	Mansur Abdul-Malik to win	★★★★☆ 82%
Spread	Cody Brundage: +3.5 (+350), Mansur Abdul-Malik: -3.5 (-575)	Mansur Abdul-Malik to cover -3.5	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	over 1.5: +150, under 1.5: -195	Under 1.5 rounds (fight ends early)	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mansur Abdul-Malik -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mansur Abdul-Malik at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mansur Abdul-Malik is heavily favored, but Cody Brundage has the skills and experience to make this competitive. However, based on current odds and form, Abdul-Malik is expected to win, likely by decision or late stoppage, though the fight could be closer than the line suggests if Brundage can impose his veteran savvy.

Predicted Score: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins by TKO in the second round

Match Analysis: Cody Brundage vs Julian Marquez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-02
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Cody Brundage faces Julian Marquez in an MMA match. Brundage is the underdog with moneyline odds of +100, while Marquez is favored at -120. The spread favors Marquez by 3.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cody Brundage has shown resilience in past fights, often pushing opponents to the limit. Julian Marquez, however, has a strong record with significant knockout power.
• This is the first meeting between Cody Brundage and Julian Marquez, making past performance against each other irrelevant.
• No recent significant injuries reported for either fighter.
• The fight's venue and crowd could influence performance, but specific details are not available.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to boost their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Brundage +100, Julian Marquez -120	Julian Marquez	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Cody Brundage +3.5 -120, Julian Marquez -3.5 -110	Julian Marquez	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5 +120, Under 1.5 -150	Under 1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Julian Marquez is likely to win due to his strong knockout record.

Predicted Score: Julian Marquez wins by TKO in Round 1.