Match Analysis: Eric McConico vs Cody Brundage – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-09
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This light heavyweight bout at UFC Vegas 109 features Eric McConico facing Cody Brundage, who is moving up from middleweight to light heavyweight on short notice. Brundage has a UFC record of 5-5-1, McConico is 0-1 in UFC but has a 9-3-1 professional record overall.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cody Brundage holds a UFC record of 5-5-1 with notable experience at middleweight, now stepping up in weight class. Eric McConico, with less UFC experience (0-1) but a strong 9-3-1 overall record, is relatively less proven at the highest level. Recent form and activity favor Brundage, who has more fights and UFC tenure.
• No recorded previous matches or direct head-to-head encounters between Eric McConico and Cody Brundage.
• No publicly reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout; however, Brundage’s short notice move to light heavyweight suggests limited camp time, which may impact preparation.
• Brundage is taking this fight on short notice and moving up from middleweight to light heavyweight which could affect his endurance and power dynamics. The fight being at UFC APEX in Las Vegas is a neutral ground with no home advantage.
• Brundage likely motivated to prove himself in a higher weight class and capitalize on short notice opportunity. McConico aims to secure his first UFC win and establish himself in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Brundage: -160, Eric McConico: 140	Cody Brundage	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Cody Brundage: -1.5 or similar (not explicitly provided), Eric McConico: +1.5 or similar	Cody Brundage to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 115, Under 1.5 rounds: -135	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cody Brundage -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cody Brundage is favored to win due to greater UFC experience, better recent performance, and adaptability despite the short notice and weight class jump. Eric McConico may challenge but lacks UFC-level experience, suggesting Brundage’s advantage.

Predicted Score: Cody Brundage wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Cody Brundage vs Mansur Abdul-Malik – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

This is a highly anticipated middleweight bout between undefeated Mansur Abdul-Malik and seasoned fighter Cody Brundage. Abdul-Malik boasts an unblemished record of 8-0, with seven wins by knockout, highlighting his formidable striking abilities. Brundage, with a record of 11-6, has shown resilience and knockout power, making him a formidable opponent despite being the underdog.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mansur Abdul-Malik is known for his knockout power, while Cody Brundage brings experience and a strong knockout record.
• The fighters have no previous head-to-head encounters.
• There are no reported injuries affecting this match.
• The fight's location and the crowd's energy may influence the fighters' performance, but both are experienced enough to handle these factors.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Abdul-Malik seeking to extend his undefeated streak and Brundage looking to upset a rising star.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Brundage: 550, Mansur Abdul-Malik: -800	Mansur Abdul-Malik	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Cody Brundage: +3.5 350, Mansur Abdul-Malik: -3.5 -575	Cody Brundage +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 1.5: 145, Under 1.5: -188	Over 1.5	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mansur Abdul-Malik -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 47%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mansur Abdul-Malik is favored to win based on his undefeated record and knockout prowess.

Predicted Score: Mansur Abdul-Malik by TKO in Round 2

Match Analysis: Cody Brundage vs Julian Marquez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-02
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Cody Brundage faces Julian Marquez in an MMA match. Brundage is the underdog with moneyline odds of +100, while Marquez is favored at -120. The spread favors Marquez by 3.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cody Brundage has shown resilience in past fights, often pushing opponents to the limit. Julian Marquez, however, has a strong record with significant knockout power.
• This is the first meeting between Cody Brundage and Julian Marquez, making past performance against each other irrelevant.
• No recent significant injuries reported for either fighter.
• The fight's venue and crowd could influence performance, but specific details are not available.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, seeking a win to boost their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cody Brundage +100, Julian Marquez -120	Julian Marquez	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Cody Brundage +3.5 -120, Julian Marquez -3.5 -110	Julian Marquez	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 1.5 +120, Under 1.5 -150	Under 1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Predicted Outcome

Julian Marquez is likely to win due to his strong knockout record.

Predicted Score: Julian Marquez wins by TKO in Round 1.