Match Analysis: Cody Brundage vs Mansur Abdul-Malik – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-15
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Game Overview
Middleweight bout between Cody Brundage and undefeated Mansur Abdul-Malik at UFC Atlanta. Brundage, a UFC veteran, is the underdog, while Mansur Abdul-Malik enters with an unblemished record and significant betting favor. Both fighters discussed their preparations and mental approach in recent media appearances, with Brundage expressing confidence despite the betting odds[2][4].
Key Factors to Consider
- Mansur Abdul-Malik is undefeated and viewed as a high-potential prospect, while Cody Brundage has more UFC experience but has faced recent ups and downs. Brundage remains confident, emphasizing his veteran status and adaptability[2][4].
- No prior fights between the two.
- No reported injuries leading into the fight.
- Event takes place in Atlanta; no major travel or environmental concerns noted.
- Brundage is motivated to upset a top prospect and regain momentum. Abdul-Malik aims to maintain his unbeaten streak and make a statement in the division[2][4].
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cody Brundage: +550, Mansur Abdul-Malik: -800 | Mansur Abdul-Malik to win | ★★★★☆ 82% |
| Spread | Cody Brundage: +3.5 (+350), Mansur Abdul-Malik: -3.5 (-575) | Mansur Abdul-Malik to cover -3.5 | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | over 1.5: +150, under 1.5: -195 | Under 1.5 rounds (fight ends early) | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mansur Abdul-Malik -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 1.5 -6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mansur Abdul-Malik at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mansur Abdul-Malik is heavily favored, but Cody Brundage has the skills and experience to make this competitive. However, based on current odds and form, Abdul-Malik is expected to win, likely by decision or late stoppage, though the fight could be closer than the line suggests if Brundage can impose his veteran savvy.
Predicted Score: Mansur Abdul-Malik wins by TKO in the second round