Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Cerro Porteño – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-29
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

The upcoming CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores group stage match between Club Bolívar and Cerro Porteño is set to take place at the Estadio Hernando Siles in La Paz, Bolivia. Both teams have met recently with Bolívar demonstrating strong dominance, including a 4-0 away victory and a 2-0 home win in the same 2025 season, reflecting Bolívar's solid form and home advantage in this high-altitude venue.

Key Factors to Consider

• Club Bolívar is currently ranked 4th in the group while Cerro Porteño holds 2nd position. Bolívar has recently defeated Cerro Porteño twice convincingly this season, indicating superior form and tactical advantage. Cerro Porteño will have to overcome Bolívar's strong home performance in a challenging altitude environment.
• Recent head-to-head results favor Club Bolívar, with two wins this season: 4-0 at Cerro Porteño and 2-0 at home, showing clear competitive superiority over their rival from Paraguay.
• No specific injury information is available currently for either team, suggesting both squads are likely to be near full strength for this encounter.
• The match will be played at high altitude in La Paz, which favors Club Bolívar accustomed to these conditions and may negatively impact Cerro Porteño’s physical performance. This environmental factor is critical in shaping the game dynamics.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure points in the group stage of the Copa Libertadores, but Bolívar has additional motivation to capitalize on home advantage and recent dominance to strengthen their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Club Bolívar: -250, Draw: 360, Cerro Porteño: 625	Club Bolívar to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Club Bolívar -1.25: -115, Cerro Porteño +1.25: -115	Club Bolívar to cover -1.25 spread	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.75: -108, Under 2.75: -122	Under 2.75 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Club Bolívar -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.75 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Bolívar's strong recent head-to-head record, home advantage at high altitude, and current group standings, the prediction favors a Club Bolívar win. The game is expected to be competitive but with Bolívar controlling the match tempo and outcome.

Predicted Score: 2-0 Club Bolívar

Match Analysis: Palmeiras-SP vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-15
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Allianz Parque, São Paulo, Brazil

Game Overview

This Copa Libertadores Group Stage match features Palmeiras-SP hosting Club Bolívar at Allianz Parque. Palmeiras have demonstrated strong form in recent Libertadores fixtures with narrow away wins against Bolívar and Cerro Porteño. Bolívar, traditionally strong at home, face a challenging task away in São Paulo where Palmeiras have home advantage and a superior squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

• Palmeiras have won their last three Libertadores matches, including a 3-2 away victory at Bolívar and a 2-0 win away at Cerro Porteño. Their offensive and defensive performance is solid, scoring multiple goals per match while maintaining clean sheets away. Bolívar have struggled away but remain dangerous at home due to altitude factors. Overall, Palmeiras are in better form and consistency.
• The recent meeting on April 24, 2025, saw Palmeiras edge Bolívar 3-2 in La Paz, indicating a competitive matchup with Palmeiras holding a slight upper hand. Historically, Palmeiras dominate the head-to-head results with better squad and tactical discipline.
• No significant injury reports for Palmeiras or Bolívar prior to the match, suggesting both teams will field near full-strength lineups.
• Playing at Allianz Parque provides Palmeiras with home support and favorable conditions. Altitude advantage that Bolívar enjoys at home is neutralized here. Travel and climate conditions favor Palmeiras.
• Palmeiras aim to consolidate top spot in the group and build confidence in front of home fans. Bolívar seek to recover points lost away and keep qualification hopes alive, adding competitive motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP: -420, Club Bolívar: 1000, Draw: 500	Palmeiras-SP win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Palmeiras-SP: -1.75 (-120), Club Bolívar: +1.75 (-110)	Palmeiras -1.75	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 3.25: -105, Under 3.25: -125	Over 3.25 goals	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.25 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras are favored to win comfortably due to stronger form, home advantage, and recent head-to-head success. A Palmeiras victory is most probable with a moderate chance of a draw and low chance for Bolívar win.

Predicted Score: Palmeiras-SP 3 – 1 Club Bolívar

Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-08
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru

Game Overview

Sporting Cristal hosts Club Bolívar in a critical CONMEBOL Libertadores Group G match. Bolívar holds a recent win advantage, defeating Sporting Cristal 3-0 on April 10. Sporting Cristal, however, typically performs well at home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Sporting Cristal has shown mixed results lately, while Bolívar seeks to continue their winning momentum.
• Bolívar recently beat Sporting Cristal 3-0, but Sporting Cristal has a strong home record.
• No significant injury reports are available for either team.
• The home crowd could give Sporting Cristal an edge.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for group stage advancement.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Sporting Cristal: 110, Bolívar: 225, Draw: 250	Sporting Cristal for the win, given home field advantage.	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Sporting Cristal: -0.25 (-125), Bolívar: 25 (-105)	Bolívar might keep it close, so lean towards Bolívar on the spread.	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 3 (-105), Under 3 (-125)	Under 3 goals, considering Sporting Cristal's recent defensive efforts.	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Sporting Cristal -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 3 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Sporting Cristal's home advantage and recent performance, they are likely to push for a win, but Bolívar's momentum could cause them to struggle.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Sporting Cristal

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Palmeiras-SP – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-24
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

This match is part of the CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores between Club Bolívar and Palmeiras-SP. Bolívar has a strong home record, having won 9 consecutive home matches and remaining unbeaten in their last 10 home games. Palmeiras-SP is on a five-match winning streak and has not lost in their last seven games.

Key Factors to Consider

• Club Bolívar is strong at home, while Palmeiras-SP has been performing well overall.
• Palmeiras-SP leads the head-to-head with three wins out of four matches, scoring 12 goals to Bolívar's 4.
• No specific information available about injuries for this match.
• High-altitude conditions at Estadio Hernando Siles might favor Club Bolívar.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points for advancing in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Club Bolívar: 100, Palmeiras-SP: 265, Draw: 230	Draw or Palmeiras-SP win	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Club Bolívar: -0.5 102, Palmeiras-SP: 50 -132	Palmeiras-SP to cover +0.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120	Under 2.5 goals	★★★☆☆ 50%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Palmeiras-SP 64%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Palmeiras-SP at 64% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Palmeiras-SP's strong recent form and head-to-head advantage, they are likely to win or at least draw. However, Bolívar's home record presents a significant challenge.

Predicted Score: 1-1 draw or a close win by Palmeiras-SP

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – April 24, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Real Betis vs. Valladolid Prediction	Real Betis	-550	784%
AZ Alkmaar vs. NAC Breda Prediction	AZ Alkmaar	-240	355%
Club Bolívar vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction	Club Bolívar	100	28%

Combined Odds: +235 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $66.97

Match Analysis: Club Bolívar vs Sporting Cristal – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-09
• Time: 12:30 AM UTC
• Location: Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz, Bolivia

Game Overview

This match between Club Bolívar and Sporting Cristal is crucial in the Copa Libertadores 2025, as both teams are seeking their first win after losing in the first round. Bolívar has the advantage of playing at home in La Paz, a city known for its high altitude, which can pose challenges for visiting teams.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both teams are motivated to secure a win after their losses in the first round. Bolívar, coming from a 4-2 loss to Cerro Porteño, may face challenges due to the recent performance. Sporting Cristal, having lost 3-2 to Palmeiras, will seek to capitalize on their ability to score, despite conceding more goals.
• There's limited recent head-to-head data available for these two teams, but Bolívar's home advantage and Sporting Cristal's determination to bounce back will be key.
• No specific injury updates are available for this match.
• The high altitude of La Paz could affect Sporting Cristal's performance due to its strenuous conditions for visiting teams.
• Both teams are highly motivated to win, as losing would put significant pressure on their chances to advance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Club Bolívar 420%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 3.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Bolívar at 420% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on the odds and factors, Club Bolívar is favored to win due to home advantage and Sporting Cristal's recent performance.

Predicted Score: 2-1 to Club Bolívar

Match Analysis: Cerro Porteño vs Club Bolívar – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-01
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción, Paraguay

Game Overview

Cerro Porteño hosts Club Bolívar in the Copa Libertadores, with Cerro Porteño favored to win. Both teams have strong recent form, but Cerro Porteño's home advantage could be crucial.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cerro Porteño has been solid at home, unbeaten in their last five games. Club Bolívar has a seven-match winning streak and hasn't lost in nine games.
• Historically, Bolívar has more wins in head-to-heads, but recent matches have been more evenly contested. Cerro Porteño has won two of their last five encounters.
• No significant injury reports are available for both teams.
• Playing at home could give Cerro Porteño an edge, but Bolívar’s current form might counteract that advantage.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they seek to start the Copa Libertadores campaign strongly.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-150 (Cerro Porteño), 390 (Bolívar), 280 (Draw)	Cerro Porteño to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	-0.75 (Cerro Porteño) @ -125, 75 (Bolívar) @ -105	Cerro Porteño -0.75	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.75 @ -118, Under 2.75 @ -112	Over 2.75	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Cerro Porteño is likely to secure a tight victory given their home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1