Match Analysis: Cleveland Guardians vs St. Louis Cardinals – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-29
- Time: 4:06 PM UTC
- Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, OH
Game Overview
The Cleveland Guardians are hosting the St. Louis Cardinals at Progressive Field. The teams faced off the previous day, June 28, 2025, where both clubs showed competitive batting performances, with notable contributions from Cardinals' Willson Contreras and Guardians' Steven Kwan. The match is part of the ongoing MLB 2025 season series between these two teams.
Key Factors to Consider
- Both teams have demonstrated solid offensive capabilities recently. On June 28, Cardinals hitters like B. Donovan (.302 AVG) and M. Winn (.259 AVG) contributed significantly, while Guardians' lineup showed resilience and depth. The Guardians have the home-field advantage, which historically benefits their performance.
- The teams played on June 28, 2025, with competitive gameplay and key players on both sides contributing to the scoreline. The Guardians have shown slightly better adaptability at home, but the Cardinals have managed to stay close in recent encounters, indicating a balanced rivalry.
- No specific injury information was identified in the available data for this match, suggesting both teams are likely near full strength.
- The game is played at Cleveland's Progressive Field, giving Guardians the familiar venue advantage. Weather and other external conditions were not highlighted as impacting factors.
- Both teams are mid-season with momentum to build for potential playoff contention. The Guardians, playing at home, have extra motivation to capitalize and secure wins in front of their home crowd.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Cleveland Guardians: +104, St. Louis Cardinals: -122 | St. Louis Cardinals | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Spread | Cleveland Guardians +1.5: -162, St. Louis Cardinals -1.5: +134 | Cleveland Guardians +1.5 | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Over/under | Over 8.5: -105, Under 8.5: -115 | Under 8.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 8.5 12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the small moneyline disadvantage but home field edge, and recent competitive play, a close contest is expected. The prediction favors the St. Louis Cardinals on the moneyline but expects a tight game possibly decided by a small margin.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4 – Cleveland Guardians 3