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Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi
Game Overview
The Ole Miss Rebels (8-1) will host the Citadel Bulldogs (4-5) in a college football matchup that heavily favors the Rebels. Ole Miss has a strong winning record this season and has been performing well against the spread and in recent games, while the Citadel has struggled to find consistent success. The game is set in favorable weather conditions with no rain expected and a temperature around 74°F.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ole Miss boasts an 8-1 record with a 5-0 streak in the last five games, providing solid confidence in their overall performance. They are 3-2 ATS recently but only 1-2 ATS in road games. The Citadel holds a 4-5 record and has shown less consistency, facing a difficult challenge against a top-tier SEC opponent.
- There is limited recent head-to-head data available, but historical matchups strongly favor Ole Miss given their higher level of competition and stronger roster overall.
- No significant injury updates are reported for either team as of the current date, suggesting both teams will likely field their standard lineups.
- Game will be played at Ole Miss’s home field in Oxford, a familiar environment where the Rebels have mostly performed well. Weather is clear and warm with minimal wind, posing no adverse conditions.
- Ole Miss is motivated to maintain its strong season record and continue SEC dominance, potentially impacting bowl positioning. The Citadel is motivated to upset a higher-ranked opponent, but the motivation gap remains wide given Ole Miss’s much superior record.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | Citadel Bulldogs: +54.5 -114, Ole Miss Rebels: -54.5 -106 | Ole Miss Rebels to cover -54.5 points | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | Over 64.5: -110, Under 64.5: -110 | Over 64.5 points | ★★★★☆ 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 64.5 -99% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ole Miss is heavily favored to win this matchup decisively due to their superior record, quality of opposition faced during the season, and home field advantage. The Rebels are expected to dominate both offensively and defensively, covering the large spread comfortably.
Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 62 – Citadel Bulldogs 7