Match Analysis: Ole Miss Rebels vs Citadel Bulldogs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford
Game Overview
Ole Miss Rebels, ranked #6 and 8-1 on the season, host The Citadel Bulldogs (4-5) in a non-conference matchup. Ole Miss is a heavy favorite, with a spread of -53.5 and a total set at 64.5. The Rebels are fighting for playoff positioning, while Citadel is out of contention. Weather is clear with no impact on play.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ole Miss is averaging 37.8 points per game and 39.86 at home, while allowing just 18 points per game at home. Citadel is inconsistent, averaging 22 points per game on the road. Ole Miss has won 8 of 9, with a dominant offense and solid defense.
- No prior meetings between the two teams.
- No major injuries reported for either team.
- Game is at Ole Miss’s home stadium, clear weather, no wind or rain. Citadel is a significant underdog with a 53.5-point spread.
- Ole Miss is fighting for playoff positioning and needs a win to keep their hopes alive. Citadel is out of playoff contention and playing for pride.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1000 | Ole Miss Rebels | ★★★★★ 92% |
| Spread | -53.5 -110 | Ole Miss Rebels -53.5 | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Over/under | 64.5 -110 | Over 64.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Home 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 64.5 49% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 64.5 at 49% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 53.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ole Miss Rebels to win by more than 53.5 points and the game to go over 64.5 total points.
Predicted Score: Ole Miss Rebels 48, Citadel Bulldogs 14