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| Game | Pick | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction | Over 10 | -122 | 24% |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction | Under 8.5 | 100 | 20% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction | Under 9 | 100 | 20% |
Combined Odds: +628 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $145.57
| Game | Pick | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals vs. New York Mets Prediction | Kansas City Royals | 116 | 25% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction | San Francisco Giants | -126 | 20% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction | Over 9.5 | -105 | 17% |
Combined Odds: +656 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $151.28
| Game | Pick | Odds (American) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction | Cincinnati Reds Win | -235 | ★★★★☆ 78% (78%) |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | 100 | ★★★★☆ 78% (78%) |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction | San Francisco Giants Win | -126 | ★★★★☆ 74% (74%) |
Combined American Odds: +411
Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $102.28
The Cincinnati Reds host the Miami Marlins in a matchup where the Reds are favored due to their home advantage and recent form. The Reds have Nick Lodolo on the mound, who has a better ERA than Cal Quantrill of the Marlins.
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | CIN: -190, MIA: 160 | Cincinnati Reds | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | CIN: -1.5 (+105), MIA: +1.5 (-126) | Miami Marlins +1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 69% |
| Over/under | Over 9.5 (+100), Under 9.5 (-122) | Under 9.5 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cincinnati Reds -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9.5 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
The Reds are favored across the board, and their home advantage, combined with Lodolo's performance, gives them an edge.
Predicted Score: 5-4 Reds
| Game | Pick | Odds (American) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Prediction | Cincinnati Reds Win | -190 | ★★★★☆ 78% (78%) |
| Oakland Athletics vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction | Atlanta Braves Win | -158 | ★★★★☆ 78% (78%) |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Washington Nationals Prediction | St. Louis Cardinals Win | -142 | ★★★★☆ 75% (75%) |
Combined American Odds: +325
Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $84.95
| Game | Pick | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction | Milwaukee Brewers | 130 | 27% |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction | San Francisco Giants | 114 | 26% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Prediction | Cincinnati Reds | -138 | 24% |
Combined Odds: +749 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $169.77
| Game | Pick | Odds (American) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers Prediction | Texas Rangers Win | -148 | ★★★★☆ 75% (75%) |
| Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction | Houston Astros Win | -145 | ★★★★☆ 75% (75%) |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins Prediction | Cincinnati Reds Win | -136 | ★★★★☆ 72% (72%) |
Combined American Odds: +391
Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $98.26
The Philadelphia Phillies (51-37) host the Cincinnati Reds (46-42) in a National League matchup. The Phillies hold first place in the NL East, while the Reds are fourth in the NL Central. The Phillies have a stronger record overall and at home, but recent form shows the Reds are coming off a win with momentum, while the Phillies are on a one-game losing streak. Starting pitching features Zack Wheeler (PHI) with an 8-3 record, 2.27 ERA, and dominant 136 strikeouts, against Chase Burns (CIN), 0-1 with a high 13.50 ERA in limited innings. The game is expected to be competitive with the Phillies favored by odds.
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cincinnati Reds: +190, Philadelphia Phillies: -230 | Philadelphia Phillies | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Cincinnati Reds: 1.5 -102, Philadelphia Phillies: -1.5 -118 | Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 8.5 -122, Under: 8.5 +100 | Under 8.5 runs | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Phillies -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 8.5 20% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Given the superior pitching matchup, home advantage, and slightly better overall team performance, the Phillies are predicted to win this contest, though the Reds present a strong challenge with momentum and recent head-to-head success.
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Cincinnati Reds 3
| Game | Pick | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros Prediction | Over 9 | -120 | 25% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction | Under 8.5 | 100 | 20% |
| New York Mets vs. New York Yankees Prediction | New York Mets | 190 | 14% |
Combined Odds: +963 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $212.67
| Game | Pick | Odds (American) | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction | Philadelphia Phillies Win | -230 | ★★★★☆ 75% (75%) |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction | Atlanta Braves Win | -154 | ★★★★☆ 70% (70%) |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction | Chicago Cubs -1.5 | 102 | ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%) |
Combined American Odds: +378
Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $95.6