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Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-13
  • Time: 9:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Great American Ball Park

Game Overview

The Philadelphia Phillies visit the Cincinnati Reds in an MLB matchup. Phillies are favored based on superior overall record and strong pitching matchup, while the Reds enter as slight underdogs, facing some uncertainty in their starter's health.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Phillies hold a 69-50 record with strong pitching led by Cristopher Sanchez (11-3, 2.36 ERA) and solid batting averages. The Reds are at 63-58, with some question marks about their starter Greene who is returning from injury after a long layoff.
  • Historically competitive, but given current pitcher form, Phillies have an edge. Sanchez is effective against Reds, holding a career 3.86 ERA and 18 strikeouts in two starts.
  • The Reds' starter Greene is returning from a groin injury and has not pitched since June, adding uncertainty to their chances. Phillies have no major injury concerns reported for their starter Sanchez or key hitters.
  • The game takes place at the Reds' home park, which is traditionally hitter-friendly, possibly increasing run totals. Weather and other external conditions are standard with no noted impact.
  • Phillies are motivated to maintain winning momentum and avoid consecutive losses, while Reds aim to tighten playoff contention and defend home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati +115, Philadelphia -127 Philadelphia Phillies ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -145, Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +125 Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 runs ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 8.5 -112, Under 8.5 -108 Over 8.5 runs ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Philadelphia Phillies -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Philadelphia Phillies to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 6 – Cincinnati Reds 4


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – August 13, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Philadelphia Phillies Win -127 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Colorado Rockies Prediction St. Louis Cardinals Win -205 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction Milwaukee Brewers Win -215 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +290

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $77.92

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction Under 9 -105 21%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies Prediction Under 9 100 20%
Houston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction Over 8.5 -102 19%

Combined Odds: +673 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $154.66

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 5:36 PM UTC
  • Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds (61-57) are visiting the Pittsburgh Pirates (51-66) in an important late-season MLB game. Reds have a better record and pitching stats, while Pirates are playing at home with some recent moderate form improvements.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reds hold a 61-57 record with a 3.86 team ERA and strong on-base and slugging percentages (.317 OBP, .389 SLG). Pirates are 51-66 with less consistent recent form but showed solid pitching in their last shutout win.
  • Recent meetings have been competitive; Reds won 2-1 in the prior game. Pitchers facing each other have no prior career matchups, adding uncertainty.
  • No major injuries reported affecting starting pitchers. Both starting pitchers—Zack Littell (Reds) and Mike Burrows (Pirates)—are expected to start, with Littell showing stronger season metrics (3.46 ERA vs. 4.45 ERA).
  • Game played at PNC Park, home of the Pirates, with favorable weather (85°F, no rain). Reds have demonstrated some susceptibility to home runs this season, which may be exploitable by Pirates.
  • Reds are fighting for playoff positioning and have strong motivation to secure wins. Pirates are lower in standings but playing with house advantage, motivated to upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds: -106, Pittsburgh Pirates: -110 Cincinnati Reds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Cincinnati Reds: -1.5 +164, Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 -200 Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 8.5: -104, Under 8.5: -118 Under 8.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cincinnati Reds 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cincinnati Reds at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Cincinnati Reds to win; Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 to cover; Over/Under: Under 8.5 runs

Predicted Score: Cincinnati Reds 4 – 3 Pittsburgh Pirates


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 9, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 9, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 8.5 -110 18%
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Under 8 -112 17%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Prediction Over 8.5 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +606 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $141.1

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – August 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction Under 7 108 16%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Under 8 -110 16%
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction Cleveland Guardians -166 15%

Combined Odds: +536 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $127.26

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – August 7, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Prediction Seattle Mariners -1.5 -134 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Pittsburgh Pirates Win -172 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
Washington Nationals vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction Oakland Athletics Win -134 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +382

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $96.45

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Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-06
  • Time: 6:20 PM UTC
  • Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago

Game Overview

The Cincinnati Reds visit the Chicago Cubs for the final game of a three-game MLB series. The Cubs hold a better regular season record (65-48) compared to the Reds (60-54) and are playing at home. The Cubs are favored on the moneyline and run line, with the over/under set at 7.5 runs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Cubs are second in the NL Central and have a solid pitching staff with a 3.92 ERA and strong offense led by Seiya Suzuki and Pete Crow-Armstrong. Cubs starter Cade Horton has a 3.42 ERA over 73.2 innings. The Reds won the first two games in the series, showing recent dominance despite being the underdog.
  • The Reds lead the series 2-0, including a close 3-2 and 5-1 victory. Chicago tied one game before losing late, indicating competitive matchups but Reds holding a recent series edge.
  • No major injuries reported for either team impacting starters or key lineup contributors for this game.
  • The game is played at Cubs’ home park Wrigley Field, which typically favors the home team slightly. Weather and other environmental factors appear neutral with no reported issues.
  • The Cubs seek to avoid being swept at home and maintain position in the NL Central race. The Reds are motivated to complete a series sweep on the road, which would be a strong momentum boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chicago Cubs -131, Cincinnati Reds +119 Chicago Cubs ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Chicago Cubs -1.5 +163, Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -187 Cincinnati Reds +1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 7.5 -110, Under 7.5 -110 Under 7.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chicago Cubs 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 7.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chicago Cubs to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Chicago Cubs 4 – 3 Cincinnati Reds


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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 11:16 PM UTC
  • Location: Cincinnati (home team)

Game Overview

The matchup features the Cincinnati Reds hosting the Atlanta Braves. The Braves come in as favorites but the Reds have home advantage and competitive recent form. The game odds favor a Braves win with a close spread and moderate total runs expectation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Braves have been solid recently with strong offensive metrics and consistent starting pitching. The Reds have been competitive at home but rank lower overall and rely heavily on pitching to keep games close.
  • Recent H2H tilts favor the Braves who have won most of the past meetings, leveraging superior bullpen depth and hitting. However, the Reds have occasionally caught the Braves off guard at home.
  • No major injury concerns reported for either team affecting key pitchers or hitters, maintaining usual lineups and rotations.
  • Game played at Cincinnati, where weather conditions show no adverse effects on play. No significant travel fatigue issues, Braves coming off a routine schedule.
  • Braves are pushing for division lead and playoff positioning, adding motivation; Reds are out of playoff contention but aim to build momentum for younger players.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -122, Cincinnati Reds +104 Atlanta Braves ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Atlanta Braves -1.5 +132, Cincinnati Reds +1.5 -160 Atlanta Braves -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 8.5 -114, Under 8.5 -106 Over 8.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Atlanta Braves at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 2.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Atlanta Braves moneyline win

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 6 – Cincinnati Reds 4


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – July 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction Cincinnati Reds Win -156 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers Prediction Seattle Mariners Win -162 ★★★★☆ 74% (74%)
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction New York Yankees Win -116 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +394

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $98.84

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