Match Analysis: Christopher Ewert vs Yuri Panferov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-12
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

This middleweight MMA bout features unbeaten Chilean prospect Christopher Ewert (7-0) facing off against Russian prospect Yuri Panferov (8-1), who is known for his strong offensive grappling and power. The fight is part of Dana White's Contender Series Season 9, Week 1, with both fighters aiming to impress for a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

• Christopher Ewert trains with Team Predador MMA, maintaining an undefeated record with a versatile skillset though less detailed in the sources. Yuri Panferov represents Ultimate MMA, a smaller camp, but is a strong Russian wrestler with aggressive takedown capabilities and high finishing rate on the ground.
• No previous encounters between Christopher Ewert and Yuri Panferov are recorded. Both are young prospects moving up in ranks, making this their first direct competition.
• No reports or indications of injuries for either fighter are available prior to the match.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex, a familiar venue for emerging UFC talent. The contest is part of a high-visibility Dana White Contender Series event, increasing the stakes for both fighters to secure a UFC contract.
• Both athletes enter highly motivated: Panferov seeks to continue his winning streak and showcase his wrestling and striking power, while Ewert aims to maintain his unbeaten run and prove his readiness for UFC level competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christopher Ewert: -153, Yuri Panferov: 123	Christopher Ewert	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Christopher Ewert: -1.5 (+120), Yuri Panferov: +1.5 (-140)	Christopher Ewert by more than 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	over_1.5_rounds: -110, under_1.5_rounds: -110	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 57%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christopher Ewert -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christopher Ewert is favored to win due to his undefeated record and the moneyline odds (-153) in his favor. However, Yuri Panferov's aggressive wrestling and finishing ability provide a significant threat, making this a competitive fight likely decided by grappling control and ground-and-pound dominance.

Predicted Score: Christopher Ewert wins by decision or late-round finish (Round 3+)

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Ilian Bouafia vs. Neemias Santana Prediction	Ilian Bouafia Win	-210	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Jimmy Drago vs. Ty Miller Prediction	Ty Miller Win	-185	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Christopher Ewert vs. Yuri Panferov Prediction	Christopher Ewert Win	-153	★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +276

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $75.21

Match Analysis: Jackson McVey vs Christopher Ewert – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This middleweight UFC bout features undefeated prospects Jackson McVey (6-0) and Christopher Ewert (7-0), both making their UFC debuts. Scheduled as a prelim fight on UFC 317, this matchup has high stakes as both fighters seek to prove themselves on a stacked pay-per-view card headlined by two title fights. McVey is known for his well-rounded skill set and finishing ability, while Ewert brings a strong undefeated record and a grinding style.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters are undefeated with McVey at 6-0 and Ewert at 7-0, but McVey is considered more well-rounded with a higher finishing rate including knockouts and submissions. Ewert’s record shows resilience and grinding tactics, but less finishing power on record.
• This is the first meeting between Jackson McVey and Christopher Ewert; no prior head-to-head statistics are available.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, indicating both are expected to be at full strength.
• The bout takes place at T-Mobile Arena during UFC’s International Fight Week, which could add motivational pressure and excitement. The card's stacked nature and the Vegas spotlight may influence fighter performance.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to establish themselves in the UFC, making their promotional debuts on a major card. McVey’s aggressive style and finishing focus suggest a strong desire to make a statement early, while Ewert aims to maintain his perfect record with a strong, tactical performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christopher Ewert: -170, Jackson McVey: 145	Jackson McVey to win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Jackson McVey -1.5 rounds: +110, Christopher Ewert +1.5 rounds: -130	Jackson McVey -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: -115, Under 1.5 rounds: -115	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christopher Ewert 44%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at 44% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jackson McVey is favored to win due to his more complete skill set and finishing ability. Expected outcome is McVey securing victory by KO or submission within the distance.

Predicted Score: Jackson McVey wins by KO or submission in round 2

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – June 28, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Joshua Van vs. Brandon Royval Prediction	Under 2.5	175	71%
Payton Talbott vs. Felipe Lima Prediction	Under 2.5	150	55%
Jackson McVey vs. Christopher Ewert Prediction	Christopher Ewert	-170	44%

Combined Odds: +992 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $218.38