Match Analysis: Yuri Panferov vs Christopher Ewert – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-12
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Dana White's Contender Series Week 1 Venue

Game Overview

This middleweight bout features Yuri Panferov, an aggressive grappler known for his heavy ground-and-pound and submission skills, facing undefeated striker Christopher Ewert, who aims to keep the fight standing to secure a UFC contract.

Key Factors to Consider

• Panferov is 8-1 with 8 finishes, mostly by ground-and-pound and submissions, recently showing strong form with back-to-back finishes in 2024. Ewert is undefeated at 7-0, with a solid striking base and motivation to prove himself on Contender Series.
• No previous direct matchup between Panferov and Ewert, making this a stylistic clash with Panferov looking for takedowns and Ewert aiming to counter and keep striking range.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
• The fight takes place on a large platform with significant opportunity for the winner to secure a UFC spot, adding career motivation for both.
• Ewert is highly motivated to remain undefeated and capitalize on striking to impress the UFC brass. Panferov wants redemption after his previous Contender Series loss and to showcase his evolved grappling-heavy MMA style.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ewert -160 / Panferov +130	Christopher Ewert	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Not explicitly available; inferred standard -1.5 for favorite	Christopher Ewert -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christopher Ewert -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christopher Ewert moneyline

Predicted Score: Christopher Ewert wins via TKO in round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Ilian Bouafia vs. Neemias Santana Prediction	Ilian Bouafia Win	-210	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Yuri Panferov vs. Christopher Ewert Prediction	Christopher Ewert Win	-160	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Murtaza Talha vs. Baysangur Susurkaev Prediction	Susurkaev -1.5	-110	★★★☆☆ 68% (68%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +358

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $91.59

Match Analysis: Jackson McVey vs Christopher Ewert – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This middleweight bout at UFC 317 features unbeaten prospects Jackson McVey (6-0) and Christopher Ewert (7-0) making their UFC debuts. Both fighters enter the Octagon with perfect records, making this a highly anticipated matchup to see who can maintain their unbeaten streak on a big stage. The fight is part of a stacked prelim card during the International Fight Week in Las Vegas.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both McVey and Ewert are undefeated in their professional MMA careers with records of 6-0 and 7-0 respectively. McVey is noted for his all-around skill set and finishing potential, including both knockouts and submissions. Ewert is competitive and durable, yet may be slightly less versatile than McVey. Neither has UFC experience, so this will test their abilities under the biggest spotlight.
• This is their first meeting; thus, no direct head-to-head data exists. Both fighters have exhibited impressive performances in regional circuits but will be tested at this higher competitive level.
• No injury reports or concerns have emerged for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are fully prepared physically.
• The fight takes place during UFC International Fight Week at the T-Mobile Arena, a large and high-energy environment that may add pressure to debut fighters. The event is highly publicized, which might benefit those more experienced with big crowds or media attention. McVey seems mentally poised, with external commentary favoring his finishing abilities under pressure.
• Both fighters are motivated to remain undefeated and make a significant impression in their UFC debuts, which could propel their careers forward rapidly. McVey appears especially driven and confident in his finishing skills, while Ewert aims to prove himself on the global stage as well.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christopher Ewert: -170, Jackson McVey: 145	Jackson McVey	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: -115, under: -115	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christopher Ewert 37%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 31%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christopher Ewert at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jackson McVey is predicted to win by KO or submission thanks to his more versatile skill set and potential to finish the fight. His confidence and finishing ability slightly outmatch Ewert's durability and consistency.

Predicted Score: Jackson McVey wins by 1st or 2nd round KO or submission

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – June 28, 2025

Game	Pick	Odds	EV
Viviane Araujo vs. Tracy Cortez Prediction	Over 2.5	-720	65%
Payton Talbott vs. Felipe Lima Prediction	Under 2.5	150	50%
Jackson McVey vs. Christopher Ewert Prediction	Christopher Ewert	-170	37%

Combined Odds: +352 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $90.44