Match Analysis: Christian Soda vs Roman David – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The lightweight bout between Christian Soda and Roman David is set for three rounds under Cage Warriors Fighting Championship rules at CW 198 in Manchester. Christian Soda (UK) is undefeated with a 1-0 record, winning by decision. Roman David (Ireland) is 0-0 professionally. The match is part of a prelim card and expected to test the contrasting experience levels between the fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Christian Soda holds a professional win with 100% of his wins via decision, indicating endurance and tactical fighting. Roman David is debuting professionally with no recorded wins or losses. Neither fighter has recorded finishes, implying a strategic match likely going to decision.
• No prior meetings between Christian Soda and Roman David have been recorded; this is their first professional encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both will enter in full fitness.
• The bout takes place at the BEC Arena in Manchester, giving a slight hometown advantage to Christian Soda, who is UK-based, possibly influencing crowd support. No weather or logistical issues reported.
• Christian Soda is defending his unbeaten status and aiming to build momentum in Cage Warriors. Roman David, debuting professionally, is motivated to make a strong first impression in a major regional promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Christian Soda: -205, Roman David: 155	Christian Soda win	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Christian Soda: -1.5 rounds, Roman David: +1.5 rounds	Christian Soda -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over: 3 rounds (Unspecified odds), under: 3 rounds (Unspecified odds)	Under 3 rounds (fight likely to go distance)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Soda -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christian Soda at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Soda is favored due to experience and the current betting odds, with a likely decision win over Roman David in a tactical three-round fight.

Predicted Score: Christian Soda wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Chris Morris vs Christian Soda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-28
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, Greater Manchester, UK

Game Overview

The upcoming lightweight MMA bout at Cage Warriors 191 features Chris Morris versus Christian Soda. Both fighters compete at 155 lbs, set to clash in Manchester. The fight promises high competitiveness with Morris favored due to his recent form and odds advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Chris Morris holds a stronger recent performance profile and is currently the favorite with -300 odds. Christian Soda, despite being the underdog at +200 odds, remains a threat with a solid fight game and resilience.
• No previous recorded matchups found between Chris Morris and Christian Soda, making this an inaugural competitive encounter with no direct head-to-head history to analyze.
• Chris Morris had a previous fight canceled in April 2025 due to a severe case of Staph infection, but appears fully recovered and cleared to compete in this event.
• Fighting in Manchester could provide a slight home advantage to Chris Morris given location familiarity and potential crowd support; no other external factors such as weather or travel issues noted.
• Both fighters are motivated to establish dominance in the lightweight division at Cage Warriors. Morris may have additional motivation coming off a health-related fight cancellation, while Soda aims to capitalize on underdog status.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chris Morris: -300, Christian Soda: 200	Chris Morris	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Chris Morris: -1.5, Christian Soda: +1.5	Chris Morris -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Chris Morris -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Morris at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Morris is predicted to win this fight based on current odds, recovery status, and performance metrics, with a tactical approach likely to neutralize Soda's offense.

Predicted Score: Chris Morris wins via decision after 3 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Chris Morris vs. Christian Soda Prediction	Chris Morris Win	-300	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Jack Hermansson vs. Gregory Rodrigues Prediction	Gregory Rodrigues Win	-218	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Alexandre Pantoja vs. Kai Kara	Alexandre Pantoja Win	-230	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +179

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $55.81