Match Analysis: Christian Natividad vs Jostin Quilca – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: LFA 220 Tanner vs. Cyr

Game Overview

Featherweight bout at LFA 220 featuring Christian Natividad fighting at home against visiting Jostin Quilca, both with recent winning streaks but differing circumstances affecting form and judging.

Key Factors to Consider

• Christian Natividad enters on a winning streak with consistent activity, while Jostin Quilca has also a short winning streak but has had a break between fights causing a possible loss of fitness.
• No direct recent head-to-head data available; both fighters have similar finishing percentages across KO, submission, and decisions with Natividad slightly favoring decisions and Quilca balanced across finish types.
• No explicit injuries reported for either fighter; fitness advantage presumed towards Natividad due to more recent fight activity.
• Natividad benefits from home country advantage and potential favorable judging; Quilca may suffer from judging bias and challenges related to being the guest fighter.
• Natividad motivated by defending home turf though may feel moral pressure; Quilca motivated to extend his winning streak despite adversity and away fight conditions.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	home: -1200, away: +650	Christian Natividad	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	home: -1.5 (-130), away: +1.5 (+110)	Christian Natividad -1.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	over_1.5_rounds: -110, under_1.5_rounds: -110	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Natividad -16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Christian Natividad at -16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Christian Natividad to win by decision.

Predicted Score: Christian Natividad wins by decision after more than 1.5 rounds

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Islam Makhachev vs. Ilia Topuria Prediction	Islam Makhachev Win	-180	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Christian Natividad vs. Jostin Quilca Prediction	Christian Natividad Win	-1200	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Jaqueline Amorim vs. Mizuki Inoue Prediction	Jaqueline Amorim Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +108

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $41.63

Match Analysis: Christian Natividad vs Jose Sandoval – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-14
• Time: 3:15 AM UTC
• Location: Louisville, Kentucky

Game Overview

Christian Natividad, an undefeated American fighter with a record of 6-0, faces Jose Sandoval, a tough and well-rounded Mexican fighter, at LFA 210. This matchup has been highly anticipated by Natividad, who previously expressed interest in fighting Sandoval. The bout is expected to be competitive, given the skill sets of both fighters.

Key Factors to Consider

• Christian Natividad is undefeated and has shown impressive skills in previous fights. Jose Sandoval is 'tough on the feet and savvy on the ground,' providing a well-rounded challenge.
• No prior head-to-head matchups have been reported between Christian Natividad and Jose Sandoval.
• No injuries have been reported for either fighter at this time.
• The fight's location and timing might not significantly impact the fighters, as both are experienced in preparing for different environments.
• Christian Natividad is highly motivated, hoping a victory will draw attention from major promotions like the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-455 (Christian Natividad), 355 (Jose Sandoval)	Christian Natividad	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Natividad -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Christian Natividad is favored to win due to his undefeated record and strong performance in previous fights.

Predicted Score: Christian Natividad wins by unanimous decision or submission.

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Christian Natividad vs. Jose Sandoval Prediction	Christian Natividad Win	-455	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Alexander Soldatkin vs. Prince Aounallah Prediction	Alexander Soldatkin Win	-260	★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Javier Reyes Rugeles vs. Lance Lawrence Prediction	Javier Reyes Rugeles Win	-205	★★★☆☆ 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +151

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $50.26

Match Analysis: Micah Haas vs Christian Natividad – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 18, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: Sioux Falls, South Dakota

Game Overview

This is a highly anticipated MMA match between undefeated fighters Christian Natividad and Micah Haas. Both fighters have impressive records, with Natividad holding six wins and Haas holding seven wins. The fight will be significant in determining the winner's path forward in their careers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Christian Natividad has shown versatility with both KO/TKO and decision victories, while Micah Haas tends to win by decision more often.
• There are no recorded head-to-head matches between Natividad and Haas.
• No specific injury reports have been mentioned for either fighter.
• The match is held in Sioux Falls, South Dakota, but there's no clear indication of home advantage.
• Both fighters are highly motivated to remain undefeated.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Christian Natividad -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Christian Natividad is favored due to his versatility in winning methods and overall consistency.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA