Match Analysis: Chris Morris vs Theo Pino – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 6:00 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester
Game Overview
The bout between Chris Morris and Theo Pino is a welterweight MMA prelim fight scheduled for three rounds at Cage Warriors 198 in Manchester. Both fighters are making their professional debut with records of 0-0. The fight takes place on November 22, 2025, at 6 PM UTC, in the lightweight division (170 lbs).
Key Factors to Consider
- Both Chris Morris and Theo Pino have no professional fight records, making it difficult to evaluate their performance trends. Their lack of previous professional MMA experience means past performance data is limited, and all projections rely heavily on physical attributes and training backgrounds.
- There are no previous matches between Chris Morris and Theo Pino, as both fighters have not competed professionally before. This makes the matchup evenly matched based on available data.
- No reported injuries affecting either fighter are available from current data.
- The fight is part of the Cage Warriors 198 event in Manchester at the BEC Arena. There are no noted external factors such as travel issues, weight-cutting problems, or other known disruptions affecting the fighters.
- Both fighters are debuting professionally, which implies a high motivation level to establish themselves in the MMA scene. Chris Morris might have a slight home advantage as the event takes place in the UK, potentially boosting his motivation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Morris: -700, Theo Pino: 425 | Chris Morris | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Chris Morris: -1.5, Theo Pino: +1.5 | Chris Morris to cover spread -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Morris -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Morris at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chris Morris is favored to win this bout, with a very narrow margin over Theo Pino due to slightly better odds and predictions from multiple sources. The fight is expected to be competitive and potentially decided by submission or KO, with decision outcomes slightly less probable.
Predicted Score: Chris Morris wins by submission or KO in round 2