Match Analysis: Owen Cooper vs Chris Kongo – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Motorpoint Arena, Nottingham
Game Overview
Owen Cooper (24, 10-1-0, 4 KOs) and Chris Kongo (17-2-0, 7 KOs) will meet in a 10-round welterweight bout (147 lbs / 66.7 kg) as part of the undercard for Anthony Cacace vs. Leigh Wood. Cooper is the less experienced, younger boxer, with a 40% KO rate. Kongo brings more professional rounds, a higher KO rate (41%), and a significant height advantage (4 inches). There is no prior head-to-head history.
Key Factors to Consider
- Kongo has more experience (19 pro fights vs. 11), higher KO rate (41% vs. 40%), more rounds completed (105 vs. 63), and a height/reach advantage. Cooper is younger and has fought strong competition recently, including a loss to Ekow Essuman.
- No previous head-to-head matchups between the two.
- No injury reports available as of the latest pre-fight research.
- The event is at Motorpoint Arena, Nottingham, part of a major card. Large crowd and high stakes expected. No major weather or venue issues reported.
- Both fighters are motivated: Cooper looking to bounce back from a recent loss and establish himself as a rising force; Kongo aiming to maintain momentum after a recent win and move closer to world rankings.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Kongo: -189, Owen Cooper: 159 | Chris Kongo outright win | High (75%) |
| Spread | Not widely offered for boxing matches, but Kongo is effectively a -2.5 favorite. | Kongo by decision (win by 3+ rounds margin) | Medium (65%) |
| Over/under | Over 8.5: -330, Under 8.5: 240 | Over 8.5 (fight goes at least 9 rounds) | Very High (85%) |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Kongo -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 8.5 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chris Kongo is favored due to his experience, power, and physical advantages. However, Cooper's youth and resilience may push Kongo in the early rounds. The fight is expected to go the distance given the high over/under line (8.5), but Kongo's class and adaptability should edge a close decision.
Predicted Score: Kongo by Decision (UD or SD), after 10 rounds