Match Analysis: Chris Gutierrez vs John Castaneda – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-04-27
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Not Specified
Game Overview
Chris Gutierrez and John Castaneda are set for a bantamweight (or possibly featherweight as per some sources) fight in the UFC, with Gutierrez slightly favored in the moneyline odds. Both fighters have a strong record, with Gutierrez being slightly more favored due to his recent performance and statistics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chris Gutierrez has a win-loss-draw record of 21-6-2, while John Castaneda stands at 21-7-0. Gutierrez has shown better striking accuracy and defense.
- There is no previous head-to-head fight between the two, so we rely on general performance metrics.
- No recent injury information is available for either fighter.
- The fight environment, such as crowd support and card placement, could influence the fighters' performance.
- Both fighters will be motivated to win, given the stakes in the UFC.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Gutierrez: -140, Castaneda: 120 | Gutierrez to win | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -380, Under 2.5: 305 | Over 2.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Gutierrez 28% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -12% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Chris Gutierrez at 28% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on recent form and statistics, Chris Gutierrez is likely to emerge victorious.
Predicted Score: Gutierrez by Decision