Match Analysis: Chris Gonzalez vs Jacob Rosales – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-26
- Time: 11:00 PM UTC
- Location: Lemoore, California, United States
Game Overview
The matchup features Chris Gonzalez, an experienced Bellator veteran and Urijah Faber protégé with an 8-3 professional record, against Jacob Rosales in an LFA 213 lightweight bout. Gonzalez is favored by bookmakers due to his superior experience and skill level.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chris Gonzalez comes in with a solid recent form, showcasing superior striking and grappling skills, while Rosales has struggled against higher-caliber opponents.
- No previous head-to-head matchups are available between Gonzalez and Rosales, making this their first encounter.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are at full health.
- Fight is at a neutral venue in Lemoore, California, with Gonzalez possibly benefiting from his association with Team Alpha Male and Bellator experience.
- Gonzalez has strong motivation to maintain momentum as he aims to solidify his status in the lightweight division, while Rosales is motivated to prove himself against a tougher opponent.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Gonzalez -265 / Jacob Rosales +225 | Chris Gonzalez | ★★★★☆ 74% |
| Spread | No formal spread market available; implied close to -1.5 rounds favoring Gonzalez | Chris Gonzalez to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -185 / Under 2.5 rounds +155 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Gonzalez -8% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chris Gonzalez to win via moneyline
Predicted Score: Chris Gonzalez wins by decision after 3 rounds