Match Analysis: Chris Curtis vs Max Griffin – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira (venue not specified)
Game Overview
Chris Curtis faces Max Griffin in a welterweight UFC Fight Night bout. Curtis enters as the favorite based on strong recent performances and more fights at this level, while Griffin is a durable and experienced veteran with a solid striking base. This fight is expected to be competitive and could hinge on Curtis's pressure and grappling versus Griffin's counter-striking and endurance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chris Curtis holds a 31-12-0 record with consistent wins in recent UFC outings, showing good finishing ability and pressure fighting. Max Griffin has a 20-11-0 record, with mixed results but known for durability and toughness. Curtis's activity and form edge Griffin's inconsistent recent performances.
- No direct previous matchup between Chris Curtis and Max Griffin found, so no direct H2H data to influence the prediction.
- No current injury reports on either fighter ahead of the bout, both are expected to be at full health.
- Fight scheduled in a typical UFC Fight Night setting with no unusual external factors reported such as travel issues or weight cut problems.
- Curtis is motivated to solidify his position in the welterweight division after recent wins, while Griffin looks to rebound and stay relevant in the UFC lineup, adding moderate motivation for both.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Curtis -325, Griffin +260 | Chris Curtis | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Curtis -3.5 (-110), Griffin +3.5 (-120) | Chris Curtis -3.5 | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 (-280), Under 2.5 (+210) | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chris Curtis -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 117% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 117% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chris Curtis to win by decision
Predicted Score: Chris Curtis wins by unanimous decision