Match Analysis: Simone Patrizi vs Chris Bungard – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-13
- Time: 3:00 PM UTC
- Location: Newcastle, England
Game Overview
This lightweight Cage Warriors 193 main card bout features Chris Bungard from Scotland facing Simone Patrizi from Italy. Both fighters bring experience with Bungard having 31 pro fights (21-10-0) dominated by submissions, while Patrizi holds a solid record and similar skill set.
Key Factors to Consider
- Chris Bungard has demonstrated a strong grappling and submission game, with 55% of his wins by submission and an average fight time indicating grinding late rounds. Patrizi's recent form shows resilience but less finishing power. Both fighters are well-prepared for a 3-round fight.
- No direct previous matchups between Bungard and Patrizi are found, making this a tactical contest of styles and adjustments in real time.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Fighting in Newcastle favors Bungard since it is in his home region promoting possible crowd support. Patrizi is traveling internationally, which can impact acclimation but is experienced enough to handle.
- Both fighters are motivated to secure a signature win on a prominent Cage Warriors card. Bungard seeks to leverage home advantage while Patrizi aims to boost his standing in a major lightweight division.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chris Bungard: -115, Simone Patrizi: -125 | Chris Bungard | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds: +130, Simone Patrizi +1.5 rounds: -150 | Chris Bungard -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Simone Patrizi -5% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Simone Patrizi at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Chris Bungard via decision
Predicted Score: Chris Bungard wins by unanimous decision after three rounds