Match Analysis: Jake Matthews vs Chidi Njokuani – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-12
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Nashville, Tennessee, United States

Game Overview

Jake Matthews and Chidi Njokuani face off in a welterweight UFC Fight Night bout, both fighters bringing solid records and orthodoxy stances with slight physical advantages favoring Njokuani in height and reach.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jake Matthews holds a 21-7 record showing steady performance and resilience, while Chidi Njokuani has a 25-10 record reflecting more experience but also more losses; recent form slightly favors Matthews with consistent wins.
• No direct recent head-to-head matchups available, making stylistic analysis key; Matthews is known for his grappling and pressure fighting, while Njokuani offers reach and striking superiority.
• No reported injuries or recent setbacks for either fighter, indicating peak physical condition for the matchup.
• Venue in Nashville might favor Matthews slightly as he has fought more often in U.S. and familiar environments; no travel or sanctioning issues detected.
• Matthews fighting with motivation to establish himself as a top contender and bounce back strongly; Njokuani seeks to leverage his experience and reach to maintain UFC relevancy.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chidi Njokuani: -155, Jake Matthews: 130	Jake Matthews	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Chidi Njokuani: -3.5 130, Jake Matthews: 3.5 -180	Jake Matthews +3.5	★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under	Over 1.5: -315, Under 1.5: 230	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Jake Matthews 31%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 91%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 91% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Jake Matthews to win on the moneyline by decision, leveraging his grappling and endurance to neutralize Njokuani's reach and striking advantage while capitalizing on steady recent form.

Predicted Score: Jake Matthews wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Elizeu Zaleski vs Chidi Njokuani – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 11:15 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

This welterweight bout between Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos and Chidi Njokuani promises to be an exciting stand-up battle, with both fighters known for their striking abilities. Zaleski dos Santos is favored due to his recent form and versatility, while Njokuani offers value as an underdog with powerful striking.

Key Factors to Consider

• Both fighters have strong striking backgrounds. Zaleski dos Santos has a record of 25-8-1 with 15 knockouts, while Njokuani holds a 24-10-0 record with 14 knockouts. Zaleski dos Santos recently won via TKO, and Njokuani secured a unanimous decision victory.
• This is the first meeting between the two fighters, making head-to-head analysis irrelevant.
• No significant injuries have been reported for either fighter ahead of this bout.
• The fight takes place at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, which could favor neither fighter specifically. However, Zaleski dos Santos's experience and training might give him an edge.
• Both fighters are highly motivated. Zaleski dos Santos aims to maintain his relevance in the welterweight division, while Njokuani seeks to continue his momentum and secure more prominent matchups.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Chidi Njokuani: +160, Elizeu Zaleski: -192	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Chidi Njokuani: +3.5 -115, Elizeu Zaleski: -3.5 -115	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -120	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos is likely to win due to his recent form and versatility.

Predicted Score: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins by decision or late-round knockout.