The Baltimore Orioles host the Chicago White Sox in a matchup between two teams struggling with their overall performance. The Orioles are slightly favored, with a moneyline of -188, indicating they are expected to win. The over/under for the game is set at 9 runs, with the over favored at -115.
Key Factors to Consider
The Orioles have a slightly better record at 20-36, compared to the White Sox at 18-39. The White Sox have been struggling with hitting and pitching, while the Orioles have shown some improvement in recent games.
Recent head-to-head data shows the Orioles have been performing better against the White Sox, but specific recent head-to-head statistics are not provided.
No significant injury updates were provided for either team.
Weather conditions at the venue are favorable for a game, with minimal rain expected.
Both teams are motivated to win, but the Orioles may have a slight edge playing at home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles: -188, Chicago White Sox: +158
Orioles win
★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread
Baltimore Orioles: -1.5 (+105), Chicago White Sox: +1.5 (-126)
White Sox cover
★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under
Over: 9 (-115), Under: 9 (-105)
Over
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles 50%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Baltimore Orioles at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Orioles are predicted to win, given their home advantage and slight edge in performance.
The New York Mets host the Chicago White Sox in an interleague matchup. The Mets are favored heavily by both recent performance and betting markets, with strong pitching matchups expected. The home team is projected as the clear favorite with the current form and starting pitcher indicators favoring the Mets[2][4].
Key Factors to Consider
NY Mets have a solid win record at home and are starting Griffin Canning (5-1, 2.88 ERA), who has been reliable. The White Sox, while tough on the mound with Shane Smith (1-3, 2.36 ERA), have struggled offensively and away from home this season[2][4].
Recent meetings and available statistics do not suggest a significant history or notable patterns in head-to-head results between these teams, but the Mets are strong at home.
No major injuries reported for either starting pitcher. Lineup changes or last-minute injuries could affect performance, but current data does not indicate significant absences for either team.
The game is set for afternoon with mild weather expected in New York. No unusual external factors are reported impacting play.
Mets are looking to capitalize on home advantage and continue their momentum. White Sox are underdogs and are expected to compete hard against a top-tier home team.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
White Sox: +205, Mets: -250
Mets win
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
White Sox: +1.5 -108, Mets: -1.5 -111
Mets cover -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
O 7.5 -122, U 7.5 +100
Under 7.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets 114%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: New York Mets at 114% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Mets are favored to win due to superior form, pitching, and home-field advantage. Expect a strong pitching duel but with the Mets likely to edge out the White Sox in the later innings.
Predicted Score: New York Mets 4 – Chicago White Sox 2