Match Analysis: Chicago White Sox vs Detroit Tigers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 6:11 PM UTC
- Location: Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago, IL
Game Overview
The Chicago White Sox host the Detroit Tigers in an AL Central divisional matchup. Detroit enters as the stronger team statistically and in current form, but Chicago is playing at home and has shown offensive capability in this series.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers have a 69-52 record, showing solid season performance and currently lead the division. Chicago White Sox are struggling at 44-76, currently last in AL Central. Tigers have won 62.3% of games as favorites, while White Sox have lost 7 of their last 9.
- This series is tied 1-1 so far with Detroit winning the opener narrowly 2-1, and Chicago taking the second game 9-6 after a late offensive surge. Historically, Detroit has been stronger in recent meetings.
- No significant injuries reported for either team impacting the game notably.
- Game played in Chicago, which could favor White Sox hitters slightly. Weather and field conditions are standard with no unusual impact predicted.
- Detroit looks motivated to clinch the series against a division rival, aiming to maintain their lead. Chicago is trying to end a losing skid and snap out of poor form.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Chicago +108, Detroit -126 | Detroit Tigers | β β β β β 70% |
Spread | Chicago +1.5 -156, Detroit -1.5 +130 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | Over 8.5 -122, Under 8.5 +100 | Over 8.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 8.5 4% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Detroit Tigers at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Favoring Detroit Tigers moneyline and run line with confidence, and expect the game to go over 8.5 runs given offensive trends from both teams in the series.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 6 – Chicago White Sox 4