Match Analysis: Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-01
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Chicago Fire Home Stadium
Game Overview
This MLS Eastern Conference playoff matchup features the Chicago Fire hosting the Philadelphia Union. Philadelphia Union enters the game with strong recent form, undefeated in their last 5 matches, and have dominated head-to-head encounters this season. Chicago Fire has been competitive but less consistent, with a recent home advantage that could be crucial.
Key Factors to Consider
- Philadelphia Union is on a 5-match winning streak, with strong defensive performances and impressive balance in squad depth. Chicago Fire holds a decent home record but has struggled against Philadelphia in the season.
- Union have won both meetings this season against Chicago Fire, keeping clean sheets in those fixtures, indicating a tactical advantage.
- No significant injury concerns reported for either side that would drastically impact starting lineups.
- Playoff atmosphere increases motivation for both sides, but Philadelphia has already secured playoff qualification and has shown composure under knockout pressure. Chicago Fire, playing at home, has some momentum but less consistency.
- Philadelphia Union, as conference leaders and tactical favorites, have motivation to maintain dominance and progress. Chicago Fire is motivated by home support and to overcome previous defeats.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Fire: +113, Philadelphia Union: +215, Draw: +260 | Philadelphia Union | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Chicago Fire -0.25: -115, Philadelphia Union +25: -105 | Philadelphia Union +0.25 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3: -118, Under 3: -102 | Under 3 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Philadelphia Union 42% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3 19% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Philadelphia Union at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Union moneyline win
Predicted Score: 1-2